Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(5/1/4)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/2)-(5/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/2/3)-(4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(4/6/5)-(3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/2)-(2/13/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/13/4/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/13/4/10)-(3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/13/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/13/4/10)-(2/13/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/13/4/10)-(2/13/4/10)-(2/13/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/13/4/10)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/13/4/10)-(3/5/1)-(6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/8)-(8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-9   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/8)-(8/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
HAW-10   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA PERFECT BEE Jul14 Jun29 Jun22 Jun02   (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 124 6.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of PERFECT LA COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  GOOD YEGG Jul28 Jul07       (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.50    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of CUPID'S BEST by POSSE)
3  FLYING CRICKET Oct21 Sep23 Sep16 Sep03 Aug17 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
4  DOMINANT D Aug03 Jul07       (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by DOMINUS out of TALLYMOOR by DEHERE)
5  FINDAWAY         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 0.80 44% 1.30    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BELLEOFTHEPRAIRIE by U S RANGER)
6  MY LAST ESCAPADE Jul28         (slager mike)LOPEZ A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
 
HAW-2   08/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SMOKING Jul21 Jun16 May05 Apr13 Mar20 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  NO NANNETTE NO Aug04 Jul21 Jul11 Jun23 Jun15 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 15.00    
3  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jul14 Jun16 May12 Apr28 Apr07 (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 5.00    
4  TIMELESS GLORY Jul21 Jun23 Jun15 May25 Apr28 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  IZZY'S MONSTER Jul21 Jun23 May25 Apr28 Apr07 (villa francisc)COLON H 126 0.40 53% 0.90    
 
HAW-3   08/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Illini Princess Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHITE LIES Jul14 Jun16 May19 Apr14 Aug31 (miller r)MOJICA O 115 10.00    
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
2  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Jul14 Jun16 Sep10 Aug10 Jul06 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
3  JOURNEYIST Jul14 Jun16 May19 Aug31 Aug10 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
4  WANDA STRONG Aug08 Jun16 Jun09 Aug24 Aug02 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 5.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of WHERE'S WANDA by STRAIGHT LINE)
5  KATIE M'LADY Jun16 Aug31 Aug10 Jul06 May31 (boyce michele)FELIX E 127 0.60 61% 0.60    
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
 
HAW-4   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEQUAYA Jul25 Jun30 Jun08 May12 Apr07 (cook brian)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
2  LOST SUNSET Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May05 (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  HIP HOP EMMY Jun30 Jun09 May25 Sep04 Aug20 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr07 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 3.00    
5  WRITTEN CONSENT Jul07 Jun26 Jun08 May05 Apr07 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
6  HOLY STAR Aug06 Jul18 Jun23 Apr20 Apr06 (weir l)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
 
HAW-5   08/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINBALLER Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May11 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
2  BOURBON TEDDY Jul28 Jun22 May19 May04 Apr21 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00    
SCR  DRAGON DREW Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Mar28 Mar09 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 3.00    
4  FAMILY TRADITION (IRE) Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 Apr27 Apr07 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
5  THREEFIFTYSEVEN Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr19 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
6  DINOS DIXIE Jul28 Dec03 Nov23 Oct28 Sep23 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY Jul28 Jul13 Oct03 Aug30 Aug02 (reid r)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.80    
 
HAW-6   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILMA MANKILLER Aug01 Jun29 Oct12 Aug31 Aug13 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00    
2  LONG TALL WOMAN Oct10 Sep03 Jul26 Jul15 Jun11 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
3  FIRST HILL Aug01 Jun29 May20 Apr10 Mar06 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  PURR SEA Jun29 Jun15 May19 Feb14 Jan12 (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00    
5  BEEHIVE Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 May05 Mar30 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50 ★    
6  WHITE LIES Jul14 Jun16 May19 Apr14 Aug31 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00    
 
HAW-7   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GET N TIPSY Aug01 Jun25 May23 May08 Apr08 (haran john)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
2  LADY MERCEDES Jul13 Jun22 May09 Feb15 Jan25 (forster t)EMIGH A 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  NORMANJITO (FR) Jul08 May16 Apr06     (walsh bre)BEALMEAR C 111 5.00    
4  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun30 May29 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00 15% 5.80    
5  SPICY ITALIAN Jul11 Nov04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug17 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
SCR  CHURCH PEW Aug01 Jul07 Jun09 May26 Feb25 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 10.00    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (gonzalez agusti)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
8  OFF THE LAM Jul27 Jun15 May12 Feb24 Feb02 (gutierrez faus)COLON H 118 10.00    
SCR  R KATIEBUG Aug01 Jun16 May05 Apr14 Mar24 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.50    
10  SPICY DELIGHT Jul27 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr21 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS KALAMOH Jun25 Feb14 Jan10 Dec09 Nov24 (matthews ran)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 15.00    
12  STARINA Jul31 Jun30 May14 Apr25 Jan18 (catalano m)MOJICA O 118 5.00    
13  CALISUE Jul11 Jun16 May25 May05 Mar30 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
HAW-8   08/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAVENDER EARL Aug09 Jul23 Jun22 May18 Apr27 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  JEFF THE LION Jul28 Jul07 Jun01 May04 Sep04 (boyce michele)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00    
3  AHEADOFTHEGAME Jul28 Jul07 May18 May07 Aug26 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  BEEALEA Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 May26 May12 (manley steve)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
5  COOL QUARTET Jul20 Jun13 May23 May01 Jan05 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.80 9% 10.30    
6  STRONGER TOGETHER Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May25 May12 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
7  LAND MARK DEAL Jul30 Jun15 May26 May04 Apr16 (manley steve)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-9   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RARE ACTION ATTACK Jun16 May19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
2  ALLOTROPE May26 May04 Mar31 Feb02 Jan12 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
SCR  SENSE OF SELF Aug04 Jun23 Jun16 May26 May12 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 30.00    
SCR  BALI BABY Aug08 Jul28 Jul06 Jun30 May04 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
SCR  FRANKEL BABY Aug11 Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 Apr27 (vanden berg)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00    
6  GET THE CANDY Jul28 Jul21 Jun08 May19 Feb07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
7  LIPLINER Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Aug17 Jul27 (childers vance)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
8  FROSTED ECLAIR Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 Jun08 May25 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
HAW-10   08/18/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY HELENA Aug08 Jul25 Jul07 Jun10 May10 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 111 12.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC ATTACK Aug04 May12 Aug23 Jul30 Jun18 (childers vance)EMIGH A 122 20.00    
SCR  PRINCESS TENKO Aug11 Jul14 Jul05 Jun08 May05 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
4  DESSERT FIRST Jul06 Jun15 May14 Apr27 Mar23 (lopez elias)FELIX E 122 8.00 8% 12.00    
5  ADIVA Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May25 May03 (haran john)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
SCR  TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Aug04 Jul25 Jun25 May23 Apr25 (martinez a)ORM CORY 122 3.00    
SCR  LOTTA ROSES Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 May19 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
8  ALL ABOUT ME Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May01 Apr14 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 65% 0.50    
9  PACIFIC VIEW Jul18 Jun08 May26 May12 Apr07 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.