Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/1/4)-(2/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(2/1/6)-(6/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(3/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(3/8/7/2)-(2/4/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/2)-(2/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Jul29 Nov08 Sep26 Oct13 Aug31 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  FULL MOON FEVER Jul04 Jun11 May27 Mar02 Jan04 (englehart je)HARKIE K 122 3.00    
3  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 May22 May01 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  RAW COURAGE Jul10 Jun24 Nov14 Oct24 Oct10 (khan s)DAVILA A 122 15.00    
5  REINER Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 Feb11 Jan19 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MATTY'S EXPRESS Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May27 May14 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50    
 
FL-2   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOVIO Jul29 Jun19 Jun05 May22   (clarke matth)HARKIE K 124 2.50    
2  SHASI Jul16 Jun24 May03 Apr20 Mar22 (mastin k)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
SCR  TOMAKI Jul29 Jan19 Nov06 Oct16 Sep27 (reed a)COA J 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  SOULFUL TARA Jul29 Jul01 May06 Apr23 Mar11 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
5  CRASH THE CREASE Apr25 Mar22 Feb29 Feb09 Dec09 (johnston rob)PEREZ E 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
6  WORLD CRUISE Jul10 May21 May07 Oct18   (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
FL-3   08/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD MAGIC Jul24 Jul08 Nov22 Nov14 Nov01 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  KINGDOM ON PAWS Jul28 Jul10 Jun18 May29 May11 (davis ed)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
3  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 May22 Nov06 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50    
4  LOVE THAT BIRD Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 Jan28 Jan14 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  STREET COP OFFICER Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 May20 Feb18 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 4.50    
6  PETROLO Jul09 Jun11 Apr19 Mar08 Nov10 (bond kevin)COA J 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
FL-4   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN REIGN Jul23 Jul01 May29 May20 Apr28 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  BARREL OF QUESTS Jul04 Jun12 May01 Apr14 Mar22 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60 34% 2.00    
3  MO TRUMP Jul16 Jun12 Nov14 Oct31 Oct16 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00    
4  AULA Jul16 Jul01 May25 May02 Mar22 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
5  BERT BERT BERT Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 Jun04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
6  HONORABLE AVENUE Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 May27 Mar21 (o'callahan car)COA J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-5   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Jul31 Jul08 Jun24 May29 May21 (murphy timothy)COA J 120 10.00    
2  MORQ Jul15 Dec29 Dec02 Nov21 Oct19 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
3  ONOFRIO Jul10 Jun24 May29 Apr28 Mar28 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00    
SCR  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Jul31 Jul22 Jun24 May29 Apr19 (davis ed)DAVIS A 120 4.00    
5  AIR FORCE CROSS Aug05 Jul08 Jun26 May25 May12 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  NO SURRENDER Jul04 Jun28 May27 Mar28 Feb10 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  BOOKWORM Jul12 Jun06       (giddings m)DE EMANUEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACDONOUGH Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 Jun03 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 5.00    
2  CENTRAL STATION Jun24 Jun03 May20 Apr29 Jun12 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
3  VAUNTED Jul10 Jun24 May20 May06 Apr18 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
4  CASHEL KITTEN Jul14 Aug22 Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CONNECT THE BROCKS Jul24 Jun17 May22 Mar17 Feb17 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50    
6  RETAIL MAN Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 Jun16 May27 (miller-saul beth)PEREZ E 120 4.00 ★    
7  THE MIGHTY DON Jul31 May20 May07 Mar14 Jan04 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
FL-7   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL PEBBLES Jul31 Jul17 Jun18 May20 Oct18 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
2  PRINCESS SONYA Jun17 Nov15 Jul31 Jul12 Jun06 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  KAZ MUSIC Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 May15 Mar22 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  SUPER SLIDE Jul30 Jul16 Jun18 May28 Nov01 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  FEDALIA Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 May22 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 122 12.00    
6  PRACTICAL RACHEL Jul24 Jun06 May16 Apr09 Mar05 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
7  DARN THAT SONG Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 Jun03 May14 (sells rachel)COA J 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
8  CHASING DAYLIGHT Jul24 Jun20 May24 Apr18 Mar28 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
FL-8   08/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLTEN GOES Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 Nov06 Oct25 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
2  JACOBA Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 Jun18 May29 (pettine )DAVIS A 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Jul17 Jul04 Jun10 May21 May06 (dixon lin)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00 8% 12.30    
4  RED FORTRESS Jun18 Nov13 Oct11 Sep26 Sep05 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  LARZ Jul17 Jun11 May21 May06 Feb08 (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
6  DROSEL DIEM Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 May27 May06 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
7  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Jul31 Jul04 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00    
8  MAX FOSTER Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00    
SCR  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jul23 Jul10 Jun19 Jun01 May25 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.