Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (11/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/1/3)-(11/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/1/3)-(11/1/3)-(11/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (11/1/3)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/1/3)-(4/5)-(1/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/2/7)-(6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(6/5/2)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/4/3)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/6/1)-(8/6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(8/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIXIE'S TIME Jul12 Jun11 Sep22 Sep14 Sep23 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN Jul24 Jul03 Jun04 May21 Sep20 (rogers w)CORA D 125 4.50    
3  HIPNOTIZADA Jul28 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 (smith la)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OLIVE KAT Jul13 May16 Apr26 Mar30 Feb11 (gorham michael )MENA E 119 10.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Jul18 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 6.00    
6  MOONSAFE Jun20 May31 Apr12 Mar24 Feb21 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
7  ASUE Jul12 Jul03 Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.50    
SCR  CLASSY SADIE Jul31 Jul03 Jun13 May31 Apr02 (graci ki)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY Jul17 Jul02 May27 Oct18 Oct03 (girten ti)RODRIGUEZ R 125 8.00    
SCR  SECRET WISPER Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 Oct25 (albright )VARGAS L 123 8.00    
11  TILTED TIARA Jun19 May30 May15 Mar29 Feb29 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  LEVIOSA Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 May18 Apr30 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANTE Jul03 Jun04 May15 Apr22 Apr01 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
SCR  MOMMA KIM Aug04 Jun18 Jun06 May16 Apr24 (nunn douglas)CHIAPPE R 118 2.50    
SCR  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 Oct10 Sep19 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50    
4  REASSESS Jul14 Mar06 Feb14 Jan13   (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00 43% 1.30    
5  WARRIOR ON THE RUN Jul26 Jun26 Jun06 May23 May09 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HUSHEMUP Jun18 May16 Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
SCR  PEACE OUT Jun29 Jun09 May25 Mar29 Feb07 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 121 50.00    
SCR  COMBAT HOOFS Jul31 Jun27 May30 May16 Apr24 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 10.00    
9  AFRICAN ANGEL Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Sep14 Aug30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00    
 
PEN-3   08/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRETARY AT WAR Jul05 Jun19 May31 Mar15 Feb21 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 34% 1.90    
2  LAKE NAKURU Jul25 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  CRAZY KATER Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov18 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50    
SCR  JO JO KATZ Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov14 (graci kim)VARGAS L 123 8.00    
5  HIDDEN PROMISE Jul17 Jun17 May29 May06 Apr29 (martinez)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 6.00    
SCR  THE TWINS SNEAKERS Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 Apr24 Apr08 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 121 15.00    
7  TWIXTER Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HROTHGAR Jul17 Jul05 Jun25 Jun10 Jan18 (mo)LUNA PAUL 121 30.00    
SCR  JACK SLYE Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Mar15 Feb16 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 3.50    
10  PURPLE SHIRT Aug01 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00    
SCR  BATTALION Jul17 Jun01 May11 Dec02 Nov18 (iannotti thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 121 6.00    
SCR  STAFF SERGEANT Jul28 Feb27 Feb14 Jan24 Dec20 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 20.00    
 
PEN-4   08/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA LASSIE Jun25 Nov16 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 2.00    
2  MIKEY'S JEWEL Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 May22 May04 (salinas jos)CALDERON OLIVER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KEEN CONTENDER Jun14 May03 Feb22 Jan18 Nov18 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 121 5.00    
4  INCONTROVERTIBLE Jun25 Jun04 May23 Apr29 Apr16 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00    
5  CAR LADY Jun25 May22 Mar22 Feb29 Jan31 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
6  HAPPY UNION Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May27 Mar30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PEN-5   08/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A TRACE Jul22 Apr17 Mar26 Mar05 Feb14 (nicholson juni)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 3.00 36% 1.70    
2  KESTENNA (GB) Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 Jun26 Jun10 (mo)LUNA PAUL 125 3.50    
3  MOON POOL Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May16 May08 (beattie d)CORA D 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HI HEELED WARRIOR Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 Dec30 Sep20 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  SPECTACULLARI Jul19 May04 Apr02 Mar14 Jun15 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 125 4.00    
6  CARLY HUSTLE Jul19 Jun12 May22 May04 Apr16 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 125 10.00    
 
PEN-6   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 May29 May04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BROKENHEARTED Jul26 Jul12 Jun19 Jun12 May24 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  MY MAN WOODY Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May14 May05 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50    
SCR  JACK CLOUD Jul03 Jun01 May15 Apr18 Mar30 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
5  NORTHWOODS Jul26 Jul12 Jun19 Jun04 May23 (kravets bruce )TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00    
6  V MART Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 May24 Oct03 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  NOTORIOUS REY Jul26 Jul03 May29 May16 May02 (ippolito ma)CALDERON OLIVER 123 50.00    
 
PEN-7   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE NICKEL Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 May24 Dec23 (kravets bruce )TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
2  PACIFIC STATES Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 Mar19 Feb26 (solis jac)RODRIGUEZ R 125 6.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  UNIFIED PLAY Feb03         (stites p)CHIAPPE R 125 12.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE JOHNNY Jun12         (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  RUN ROCKY RUN Jul04 Jun12 May25 Apr12 Feb28 (reynolds )HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50    
6  KUTIA         (kulp bra)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  BE THE MUSIC Jul11 May27 May03 Mar14   (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 125 12.00    
8  TACTICAL HUMOR Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May22 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
9  COCOA BANANA Jul29         (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.