Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - July 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/9)-(1/8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/9)-(1/8/3/9)-(1/8/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/9)-(9/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/9)-(9/4/3/7)-(2/10/9/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (9/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/7)-(9/4/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/7)-(9/4/3/7/1)-(9/4/3/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/3/7)-(2/10/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3/7)-(2/10/9/3)-(4/1/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/3)-(2/10/9/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/3)-(2/10/9/3/1)-(2/10/9/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/9/3)-(4/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9/3)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/2)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/2)-(4/2/6)-(6/3/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/3/2/9)-(3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/9)-(6/3/2/8/9)-(6/3/2/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/2/9)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORINNA Jun15 Nov17 Oct20 Oct01 Aug17 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MAGGIE K Jun13 May23 May08     (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 121 30.00    
COLOR CRUSH Jul09 Jun26 Jun18 May27 May07 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50 6% 15.10    
SCR  VOLATILITY Jun18 May27 Apr09 Mar04 Dec26 (lawrence ja)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00    
WARRIOR ON THE RUN Jun26 Jun06 May23 May09 Apr16 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Jun18 Jun08 Oct10 Sep19 Aug22 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
WINGS OF A SONG Jun19 May29 Dec08 Oct17 Sep23 (schoenthal phil)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
AFRICAN ANGEL Jul11 Jun18 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
FILTERED LIGHT Jul04 Jun18 May29 May15 Apr22 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  GETAWAY PALACE Jun26 Jun17 May27 Oct20 Sep19 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 114 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREEN STAR Jul03 Jun11 May29 May10 Feb01 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 125 10.00    
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jul01 Jun08 May18 Apr17 Mar27 (padilla-prec)BURKE JERMAINE 125 6.00    
I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jul03 May29 May08 Mar07 Jan25 (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUDY ROD Jul15 May22 Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 (dandy ron)RODRIGUEZ R 125 6.00 33% 2.10    
BIG BROWN SHOES Jul07 May08 Mar20 Feb19 Feb12 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 125 4.50    
A T M AWESOME Jul18 Jul03 Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 (zalalas michael)CORA D 125 20.00    
ADY'S MUNNY May08 Mar13 Nov10 Aug08 Jul14 (kravets bru)RAMOS C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
RELISHMENT Jul15 Jun03 May27 May09 Apr24 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 20.00    
HASHTAG WINNING Jun13 May24 Mar21 Feb16 Jan25 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
PEN-3   07/26/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTOR U AND ME IN Jul10 Jun25 May28 Nov28 Oct23 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 8.00    
CHIEF REIDER Oct19 Sep06 Aug18 Jul19 Jun09 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
MACHO HONCHO Jun13 May24 Nov08 Sep21 Aug31 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 12.00 8% 11.50    
CHUCK ADAMS Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 Jun04 May23 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
SCR  J R JONE Z Jun27 Jun05 May24 May02 Apr15 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
SHARP SENSATION Jul02 Feb06 Dec27 Dec05 Nov27 (mccaslin john)CORA D 123 12.00    
MR. REDOLFO Jun20 Oct17 Sep19 Aug29 Mar03 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
UNCLE REMI Jul11 Jun20 Mar08 Feb03 Jan13 (smith law)VARGAS L 123 12.00    
BROKENHEARTED Jul12 Jun19 Jun12 May24 May03 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 14% 5.90    
10  MINTENON Jun20 May29 May01 Apr19 Feb02 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
PEN-4   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACH BE WITH Q Jul12 Jun18 May18 Apr30 Mar25 (brown howard )RIVERA D 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
LA LIMA Jul12 Jun18 May31 May15 Mar08 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SERENE WARRIOR Jun18 May22 May04 Mar14 Feb29 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 5.00    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jul12 May29 May03 Apr12 Mar22 (kravets b)VARGAS L 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Jul10 Jun26 May31 Apr06 Mar26 (kravets bru)RAMOS C 123 12.00    
COLLIN'S GREY LADY Jul12 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May07 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 2.50 10% 8.70    
RANDOM LUCK Jul03 Jun01 May11 Jan29 Jan03 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 6.00    
 
PEN-5   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP DEM TALKING Jul12 Jul02 Jun18 May29 May14 (nicholson juni)ORTIZ JOSHUA 113 12.00    
NORTHWOODS Jul12 Jun19 Jun04 May23 May04 (kravets bru)RAMOS C 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
NOTORIOUS REY Jul03 May29 May16 May02 Mar06 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 123 30.00    
V MART Jul03 Jun19 May24 Oct03 Sep10 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
SKYHOOK May16 May01 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 116 2.50    
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Jun26 Jun13 May17 May02 Mar08 (smith r)FLORES E 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
 
PEN-6   07/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOD FOODIE Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 May08 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 114 12.00    
RAGING BEAR Jun27 May23 May10 Mar13 Jan18 (albright amy)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
SUNSHINE HARRY Jun27 Jun13 May23 May02 Mar01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Jul15 Jul01 May26 May13 May01 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
MR. TUTTLE Jul15 Apr15 Mar06 Feb07 Dec27 (pattersh)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
CITIZEN MACK Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May24 May03 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
STARSHIP GOTHAM Jul01 Jun04 May22 May08 May01 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
WINNING CANDY Jul03 Sep13 Aug16 Jun22 May26 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 3.50    
BRONX TALE Jun27 May10 Mar21 Mar06 Feb19 (kravets bru)RAMOS C 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   07/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIFFY BUG Jul05 Jun25 May30 May16 May03 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
ENSUING GRACE Jul17 Jun13 May30 May16 May03 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHE LOVES MUNNY Jul03 Jun16 May20 Apr24   (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
MITI FAST FLOWER Jul19 Jun25 May23 Sep28   (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50    
JUMP A FOX Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 May30 May16 (meister s)AGUILAR M 125 6.00    
FOXEY G Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May23 (kravets bru)RAMOS C 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.