Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/8/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(6/3/5)-(6/9/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/9/5/2)-(7/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/2)-(6/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/2)-(6/9/5/2)-(6/9/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/5/2)-(7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(5/9/2/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/9/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/8/7)-(5/9/2/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/8/7)-(5/9/2/8/7)-(5/9/2/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/2/8/7)-(3/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/2/8/7)-(3/1/2/8)-(7/6/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8)-(7/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/4/5)-(7/6/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA DAMA DORADA Jun17         (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 3.50    
1A  ROAD TO ROYALTY Aug08 Jun06 May23 May08 Nov22 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 77% 0.30    
2  KITTY TIN TIN Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Aug23 Jul18 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEEPING PASSION Apr30 Apr09 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 3.00    
4  MIDNIGHT EMPRESS Jun05 Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
5  MIAMI TWOFER Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 May22 May07 (gutterso)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
6  JOURNEY OF FIVE Jul01 Jun18 Jun05 May14 Oct25 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  KAZ' ROSE Jul10 Jun05 May21 May06 Apr18 (englehart jeff)COA J 120 5.00    
8  DEBBIE DARLING Jul10 May20 Mar02 Feb11 Nov26 (d'alessandro)BERRIOS C 124 4.00 ★    
 
FL-2   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ROD LINCOLN Jun25 Jun11 May28 Nov14 Sep26 (areche thal)CAMILO D 122 5.00    
2  UNCLE VIC Jul09 Jun25 May28 May06 Oct31 (dea)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
3  NORGAY Jul09 Jun24 Feb18 Dec31 Dec01 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  HUTCH Jul09 Nov20 Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  THUNDERING MARCH Jun25 Jun11 May28 Nov20 Nov07 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 3.50    
6  OUTSTANDING DEBT Jul09 Nov22 Nov14 Nov21 Nov09 (cotrone )DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   07/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COACH BAHE Jun26 Jun11 May27 May14 Nov20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 126 3.50    
2  R BOY CHEEKUM Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Nov21 (thompson m)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
3  GOLDEN REIGN Jul01 May29 May20 Apr28 Mar21 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  HORSE BE WITH YOU May26 Apr13 Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00    
5  CENTRAL LOVE Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 May22 Nov06 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUR MAN MIKE Jun26 Nov20 Oct23 Oct04 Sep25 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
FL-4   07/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY TIME Jul09 Jun17 May20 Oct09 Sep12 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
2  NOBLE DISGUISE Jul05 Jun14       (lecesse )DAVIS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MIDNIGHT DISGUISE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  DANNEEL Jun30 Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr14 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS VIGILANCE by WAR PASS)
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Jul09 Jun17 May29 May22 Nov06 (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of NICKEL by NICHOLAS)
5  SHINE MY TIARA Jun25 May20 Jul29 Jul03   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STORM THE TOWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  AMERICAN SAINT Jun20 May25 Apr05 Feb14 Dec20 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
7  UNBRIDLED SISTER May28 Nov20 Nov06     (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of BEAUTIFUL HELEN by PRIME TIMBER)
8  MAJOR MAYHEM Jul09 Jun25       (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MAJOR THREAT by COLONEL JOHN)
9  TURNUPTHEMUSIC Jul09 Jun17 May29 Apr29 Apr14 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
FL-5   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREPARE FOR GLORY Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 May21 Nov13 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARGARITA SUNRISE Jul08 Jun12 May21 Apr30 Nov07 (tasso mark)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
3  MARTINKELLY Jul02 Jun13 May29 May08 Apr22 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
4  HOLY COWBOY Jul08 Jun12 May28 May13 Apr30 (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00    
5  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jul10 Jun19 Jun01 May25 May17 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
6  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jul12 Jul01 Jun08 May29 Apr29 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00 ★    
7  CONFORMIST Jun26 May14 Nov21 Aug28 Jul12 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 3.00 65% 0.50    
 
FL-6   07/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDDIES ROCKET Jul09 Jun25       (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
1A  CREWS IN TO WIN Jul04 Jun25       (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 4.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
2  SHEZENTICING Jul04 Oct18 Sep11 Aug15 Aug01 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by ENTICED out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
3  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 May22 May13 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00    
  (by FREUD out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  WITT LASTING SPEED Jul09 Jun11 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
5  INTENTIOUS Jun25         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by SOLOMINI out of PUNKIN'S PRIDE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  NURSE BUNNY Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 Nov20   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 12.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of JULIANN'S APPROVAL by COMEONMOM)
7  GOING HOME NOW Aug07 Jul17 Nov22 Oct24   (turetsky e)ROHENA JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of MISS DRAGON LADY by VICTORY GALLOP)
8  WORLD BANK Jul04 Jun11 May20 May06 Nov20 (sells rachel)COA J 120 3.50 6% 14.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DONYA by ANABAA)
9  BEAUTY'S BANGLE         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of SUTRA by MEADOWLAKE)
 
FL-7   07/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Jul01 Aug28 Jul25 Apr08 Mar18 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
2  FLASH KISS Jun24 Apr28 Mar08 Jan11 Dec17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 12% 7.40    
3  WINNING CONNECTION Jun29 May05 Apr20 Feb29 Feb04 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
4  RILEY BEE Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May22 May06 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
5  REUNION TOUR Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May29 Nov20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
6  LORENZEN Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 Nov15 Nov06 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
7  TAKE THE EDGE Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 May13 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00    
8  BLUE LIEUTENANT Jul09 Jun25 May29 Apr12 Mar24 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   07/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE SPEAKS WELL Jun25 Jun11 May29 May14 May06 (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 124 8.00    
2  CAMBU Jul10 Jun24 Nov22     (torelli stac)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
3  PEACEFULPERSUASION Jun11 Apr08 Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ANOINTED SPIRIT Jun25 Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul10 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 ★    
5  BIG HUTCHY Jun11 May21 Mar08     (grabowsk)DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  THIRTY OYSTERS Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Nov20 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
7  BENCH PRESS Jul09 Jun25 Aug24 Jul19 Jun21 (o'callahan car)COA J 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
8  HARDLY WORKING Jul09 Jun25 May29 May14 Oct10 (mcclung s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 15.00    
9  DANCINWITHJAKE Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May29 Nov20 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.