Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (8/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/7)-(8/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/7)-(8/1/5/7)-(8/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/9)-(8/1/2/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/9)-(8/1/2/5/9)-(8/1/2/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE PAYROLL Jun08 May18 Jan21 Dec10 Nov17 (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  LADY MIA (FR) Apr27 Oct06 Sep14     (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Apr20 Apr11 Feb22 Feb03 Apr12 (schultz linds)IORIO MELISSA 116 20.00    
4  AFANDI Jun28 Jun02 Nov04 Oct13 Jul27 (dunham bernard)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALL ME SPICY Apr28 Mar31 Feb09 Jan13 Dec17 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 121 8.00    
6  LOVE APPEALS May26 Apr04 Oct19 Aug12 Jul15 (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
7  QUEEN KARIMA Apr13 Feb17 Sep04 Jul28 Jun17 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50    
SCR  PACIFIC ROSE Jun28 Mar09 Feb16 Dec09 Nov12 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
 
MTH-2   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINS FIRE Jun22 Jun01 May18 May11 Apr26 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00    
2  MOUNT TRAVERS Jul07 Jun14 May26 Apr27 Mar09 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  GONNA BE EPIC Jul12 Jun28 May26 May11 Apr27 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00    
4  COCO SHELL Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Mar26 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 2.00    
5  VIKRAM Jul04 Jun16 May25 Apr21 Mar14 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5% 18.70    
6  GIVE IT A GO Jun28 Jun16 May27 May12 Apr15 (gonzalez )CAMACHO JR 124 4.00    
7  DURKIN'S CALL Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May25 Apr26 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
MTH-3   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISAPPEARANCE Jun29 Jun08 May04 Apr20 Apr07 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 121 3.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  BRASSTOWN Jun29 Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00    
3  RECKLESS PLACE Jun15 May27 Apr27 Mar27 Mar06 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
4  ACHILLES HEEL Jul07 Jun22 May26 Mar20 Feb20 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00    
5  PORCH SWING Jul12 Jun15 May25 May12 May03 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 116 6.00 6% 15.40    
6  FINALIST Jun25 May28 May06 Apr22 Apr08 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 15.00    
7  OLYMPIC ROMP Jun29 Jun15 May04 Apr08 Mar26 (crowell )HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WANDERING WEST Jun29 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr24 (sweezey ke)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
MTH-4   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTINCTIVE Jun29 Jun10 May04 Mar30 Feb23 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  ANADOR (FR) Jul04 Jun08 Apr13 Mar16 Feb25 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  CINDY'S SONG Jul04 Jun08 May04 Apr20 Apr06 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
4  MERCY MERCY Jun25 Jun10 Mar27 Feb28 Feb07 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 114 12.00    
5  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Jun28 Jun15 Nov03 Oct08 Sep03 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.00 ★    
6  RED WIND Jul04 Jun08 May12 Dec10 Nov25 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
7  MYSTIC DREAMS Jun15 Jun08 Feb08 Jan31 Jan06 (mazza j)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
8  BIZYMALINE Jul04 Jun08 May10 Apr12 Mar23 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  VINGATIVA Jun25 Jun13 May29 May03 Apr26 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jersey Shore Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JASPER'S PRIDE Jul06 Jun08 May19 Aug27 Aug12 (spina charles)NO RIDER 116 30.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of CHEROKEE CHAMPION by MAX'S PAL)
2  PROPRIETARY TRADE Jun02 May05 Apr06 Mar07 Feb10 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO'S SONG by UNCLE MO)
3  BOOK'EM DANNO Jun08 Jan13 Nov05 Oct08 Sep09 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 122 0.60 45% 1.20    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  BUCCHERINO May05 Mar25 Nov11 Oct08 Sep09 (velazquez al)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLIMBUSTO by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  LET'S GO MARK Jun29 Feb11 Jan06 Dec20 Nov23 (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 116 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  LITTLE NI Jun09 May11 Oct20     (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ELRAAZY by MALIBU MOON)
 
MTH-6   07/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT PASSION Jun09 Sep15 Aug27 Jul21 Sep10 (milne joan)IORIO MELISSA 115 10.00    
2  PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) Jun02 Oct13 Sep22 Sep10 Jul30 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CORACLE Jun29 Nov12 Aug27 Aug13   (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 110 5.00    
4  BINGO'S BIRKIN Jun08 Jul21 Jun30     (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 15% 5.90    
5  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jul07 Jun29 Jun01 May18 Oct06 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  SPEIGHTFULELECTION May25 Apr20 Sep10 Aug19   (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 1.50 41% 1.50    
7  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Jun09 May11 Sep15 Sep02 Aug27 (sweezey j)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00    
SCR  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Jul05 Jun01 May18 Dec20 Nov21 (krebs steven)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
SCR  VIOLETS SMILE Jul05 Jun01 May11 Oct08 Sep09 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
10  SINGLEBERYLBOURBON Jun28 Jun09 May18 Oct06 Sep15 (sweezey j)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA SIERVA C Jul03 Jun23 May18 Apr05 Mar18 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00    
2  DAME CATHERINE Jun15 Mar29 Feb16 Jan19 Dec28 (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUCKIN' LUCKY Jul06 Jun30 Jun22 Jun08 May25 (simone micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 1.00 41% 1.40    
4  POWER AND GLORY Jul03 Jun25 Jun08 May25 Nov19 (thompson glenn )RUIZ ELISEO 121 20.00    
5  AMY MULE Jun23 May19 May04 Apr10 Mar10 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  RAW POWER Jun23 May18 Dec08 Sep15 Aug25 (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 7% 12.90    
7  GENERAL ROBINSON Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 Apr25 Apr07 (delgado jorg)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 10.00    
8  SHE CAN SCAT Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 Apr07 Mar06 (servis jo)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50    
 
MTH-8   07/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MT SURIBACHI Jun10 May11 Nov08 Oct17 Oct10 (smylie timothy)MOYA F 121 15.00    
2  DRIPPING GOLD Jun16 May02 Sep09 Jul27 Jul01 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  RONSTADT Jun22 May25 Apr26 Feb25 Jan24 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOHS Jun22 Apr07 Mar01 Feb03 Dec24 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
5  JAMIE DREAMS Jul05 Jun12 Apr09 Mar07 Feb02 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00    
6  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jun22 Apr13 Mar01 Jan27 Jan03 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  BE HERE Jun22 May25 Apr13 Mar17 Sep10 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
8  AGENT CREED May17 May02 Feb17 Jan15 Dec16 (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 121 5.00    
SCR  CONCEALED CARRY Jun25 May28 May01 Mar20 Jan31 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 4.50    
SCR  OCEAN CITY Jun22 Oct12 Sep06 Aug12 Jul15 (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50    
 
MTH-9   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN HAPPY PAPPY May20 Nov25 Nov02 Aug27 Jul30 (spina c)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
2  JESUS' DREAM Jul01 May22 Mar27 Feb26 Dec19 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 117 3.50    
3  CHIEF ENGINEER Jun23 May27 Dec13 Aug20 Aug04 (cash russ)BOCACHICA J 116 8.00    
4  MR. PENNY PINCHER Jun09 May19 Jan21 Jan06 Nov22 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA Jul07 Jun22 Nov18 Nov10 Oct21 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.00    
6  DUDEWITHANAME Jul07 May27 Aug13 Jun10 May05 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREE DROP BACH Jun15 May23 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.