Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/2/3)-(3/6/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(3/6/9/7)-(4/9/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/7)-(3/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/7)-(3/6/9/7)-(3/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/7)-(4/9/1/5)-(2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/7/5)-(4/9/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/1)-(13/9/3/1/11) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(13/9/3/1/11) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BTP-8   WIN (13/9/3/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/9/3/1/11)-(13/9/3/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/9/3/1/11)-(13/9/3/1/11)-(13/9/3/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACSINTA Jul02 Jun08 Mar30 Mar03 Oct12 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 5.00    
ISLE BE THERE Sep18 Aug02 Jul24 Jun01 Apr29 (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
ROYAL ITCH Jun28 Jun14 May23 May16 May03 (wilson david )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
COURT COSTS Jun19 May30 May07 Apr21 Mar25 (smith mike )ROMERO M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAY YES ANNI Jun27 Jun19 May28     (caramori caio)MURGIA A 119 4.50    
CASERTA         (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
FABULOUS PHILLY Jun13 May30 May03 Apr25 Jul21 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 2.50    
 
BTP-2   07/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL STORY Jun27 Jun04       (jensen jus)WEATHERLY BAILEY 125 3.50 58% 0.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
ROCKET LAUNCHER Jul05 Jun27 May30 Aug08   (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 2.50    
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
GOGO NEV'S Jun20 May11       (campos paulo)ORANTES CESAR 110 4.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
FATHER FRANK Sep07 Aug19       (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 5.00 9% 9.90    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
MY TICKET Jun27 Jun14 Jun05 May15 Apr08 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
CARSON N SPENCE Jul05 Jun05 May15 May04   (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
 
BTP-3   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIANE'S ANGEL May31 May11       (andrade hugo)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
PEEKABOOWILLIE         (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of GO GO BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
LATE BLOOMBOPPER Jun05 Dec30 Dec13 Nov13 Sep27 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
MY CARMELITA Jul03         (antonuik jerry)MURGIA A 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BIG ATLANTIC out of MY MARGARITA by TIZDEJAVU)
SHE IS DYNAMIC Jun20 May31 May11 Apr25 Sep22 (donjuan ser)ROMERO M 114 3.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
BTP-4   07/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAGGART JOE Jun19         (johnson je)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SALTY SCATT by SCAT DADDY)
MISBEHAVIN Jul04 Jun05 Apr10     (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CORFE CASTLE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
BUEN SAMARITANO Jul04 May29       (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BIT OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Jul05         (andrade hugo)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DARK CORNER by INTO MISCHIEF)
EL CORDOBES (IRE) Jul04         (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 119 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GRAMS FUTURE by RAISON D'ETAT)
BAMBY BOOM         (alvarez nery)SOSA LAUREANO 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KLIMT out of SACRED MOON by MALIBU MOON)
LA MEDUSA Jun15 May25 May03 Apr07   (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY ENCOUNTER by FED BIZ)
SCR  FIRE LORD         (white willi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN LATINA by CONGRATS)
BANIDOSO         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by VEKOMA out of MS DELFY by DIXIE UNION)
 
BTP-5   07/18/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL SNOW Jun27 Jun05 May15 Apr23 Mar20 (cristel mark )CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Jul03 Nov29 Nov09 Oct11 Oct01 (castillo rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00    
SYLLABUS Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May24 May03 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00    
MIDNIGHT GRIND Jul03 Feb21 Jan31 Sep07 Aug01 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
ABOVE THE SKY Jun22 May31 May03 Mar27 Mar10 (nunez maur)BATISTA X 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MO MESA Jul06 Jun28 Apr12 Mar16 Feb10 (cambray andre)ORANTES CESAR 113 15.00    
R QUEEN CANDY Jun19 May19 Feb21 Feb03 Jan03 (van thomas)MCKEE J 118 3.00    
KACHOW Jun26 Jun01 Apr23 Mar30 Dec11 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 4.50    
MIRO MOGO Jul04 Jun06 May24     (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 118 10.00 29% 2.40    
 
BTP-6   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C GRAND Jun29 May18 Apr27 Mar29 Feb15 (smith larry)COLON H 118 6.00 7% 13.10    
SACRED CONNECTION Jun29 Jun15 May18 May04 Mar01 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  SILVERY MOON Jun13 May28 May07 Mar07 Dec16 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.00    
APPLE LOVER Jun14 Jun01 May03 Mar29 Mar02 (ashmore m)HESS SARA 118 8.00    
RED JAG Jun21 May24 May02 Feb15 Jan13 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
HEBRIDES Jun22 Jun12 May25 Mar01 Jan13 (orantes yoni )ZONETT KEYNER 123 5.00    
 
BTP-7   07/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE TEMPTATION Feb28 Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 Dec26 (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 4.50 8% 11.40    
GAPPER Jun28 Jun07 May04 Apr27 Feb03 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
CLEVELAND POWER Jun26 Jun12 May09 Apr02 Feb14 (lopez e)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00    
SCR  RED HEAD KID Jun22 May23 May09 Nov30 Oct30 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
BLAZING BURROUGHS Jun28 Sep20 Aug26 Aug09 Jul29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  BAD BOY BOOGIE Jun27 Jun12 May22 Mar13 Feb15 (romero oscar)SERPA ANGEL 123 6.00    
 
BTP-8   07/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STITZY Jun27 Feb15 Jan03 Dec15 Apr15 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 15.00 6% 15.80    
MACHO RONNIE Jun20 Jun06 May20 Apr28 Mar09 (mcgovern shan)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
DEVILS RED Jun20 May17 Apr27 Apr16 Oct01 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00 11% 7.80    
SAILOR'S CHANCE Jul03 Jun20 Mar14 Mar02 Feb08 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00    
PERFECT PAINTING Jun20 May30 Mar20 Mar09 Feb22 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
FUTURE VICTORY Jun20 Jun05 May16 Apr27 Mar20 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
ELI Jul03 Jun14 May17 May02 Dec13 (hernandez debbie)MURGIA A 123 20.00    
BUZZER Jul03 Jun01 May25 Apr27 Mar16 (baez sergio)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
POET OF LIFE (IRE) Jun20 Jun06 May16 Apr23 Mar16 (haehn terry)ROMERO M 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
10  IOYA AGAIN Mar16 Nov17 Sep03 Aug09 Jul13 (van thom)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.50    
11  COUNTY COURT Jun14 May17 May02 Mar16 Mar02 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Jun26 May24 Apr25 Mar09 Feb29 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00    
13  LINK TO DESTINY Mar16 Feb07 Oct06 Sep09 Jan14 (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.