Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - May 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/8/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(3/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(3/8/1/2)-(3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2)-(3/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/2)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/2)-(3/2/5)-(6/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/7/9)-(3/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/9)-(6/7/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/9)-(6/7/9/2)-(6/7/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/9)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/9)-(3/4/1/5)-(5/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(5/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZONG'S FAVOR         (shamsie mik)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
LUCKY IS MY NAME Mar07 Feb11 Dec15 Aug19   (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
MYMANROWEN May08 Jan20 Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
PARTY AT JAYS         (washington ri)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 3.50    
MY STORY May09 Apr18 Feb22 Feb02 Dec07 (tillis jerry)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   05/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SLEW Apr26 Mar30 Jun18 May11 Apr30 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
I'M ALL MIXED UP May13 Feb23 Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50    
TIFF WITH JIMMY Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 Feb02 Dec17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
ADDI BUG Apr18 Mar13 Feb23 Nov29 Nov15 (gomez c)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
NAVAGATIONALBEACON Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 Feb25 Feb11 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
KATIE'S C May13 Apr18 Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
LAD-3   05/22/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLING Jan11 Dec10 Nov24 Jul31 Jun04 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
SUPER ET Jan25 Jan04 Dec01 Sep09 Aug12 (hatcher nathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Mar10 Dec14 Sep03 Aug14 Jul22 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
I DONT KNOW EITHER May13 Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00    
ARMS APRIORITY May09 Apr18 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
OUR AMEN May04 Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 Dec30 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
ZEEROCK May04 Apr20 Feb07 Jan05 Dec09 (tillis e)WADE LYNDIE 120 6.00    
UNIFIED LOVE May04 Apr13 Feb22 Feb02 May12 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
LAD-4   05/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZONG TOUGH May07 Mar13 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50    
HOT LE ROY Mar13 Feb03 Jan04 Dec02 Nov15 (wong jonathan)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
RUN ROCKET May08 Apr11 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (fuselier jona)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.50 35% 1.90    
CARLOS PUNCH Apr13 Mar22 Mar06 Feb08 Jan05 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Apr26 Apr05 Mar14 Feb07 Jan20 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRYPTOZONIC Jan25 Dec30 Nov23 Jun03 Mar16 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
LAD-5   05/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCHYALATER Mar22 Feb25 Feb09     (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
ARIEL M D May03 Apr07 Mar16     (jackson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of GORGEOUS MELODY by SARAVA)
MITOLEMYBELLE Apr12 Feb10       (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 120 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of XS BELLE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  IN B. J.'S HONOR Mar21 Feb29 Jan01     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of WAVE GOODBYE by PRIVATE VOW)
SCR  PRESLEYS TURN May03 Apr20 Apr06 Feb24 Jan27 (dixon tim)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of ROCKIN RAH RAH by JONESBORO)
CAPELLA RED Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 (west patricia)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by TEXAS RED out of CAPELLA DANCER by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SIGNING Apr27 Mar24 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CROSS by MIGHTY)
THAT'S ABOUT IT May04 Mar15 Feb09     (cravens ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of TIZZY BE HOT by TIZ WONDERFUL)
ADAMANTLY May03 Apr04 Mar03 Feb03 Dec30 (gonzalez ja)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by ORDAINED out of SENNOCKIAN STORM by STORM CAT)
 
LAD-6   05/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINKY RING BLING Apr05 Mar10 Feb24 Jan26 Jan06 (cravens )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
PINCH ME A PENNY May08 Mar13 Feb18 Jan25 Jan01 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00    
YOUNG TUSCAN Mar14 Aug21 Jul24 Jun25 May27 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
FULL AUTHORITY May04 Apr13 Feb09 Dec15 Nov02 (rufino)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
WISE ANCHOR May08 Mar06 Feb01 Dec28 Nov17 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLIECANDO Apr28 Feb25 Jan28 Dec09 Nov08 (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00    
POMEROY HAZE May10 Apr05 Mar14 Jan26 Jan06 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 3.00    
 
LAD-7   05/22/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALOMEINTHEHOOP May04 Sep04 Aug13 Jul02   (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUN DREAMING May04 Mar15 Feb08 May12 Mar18 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
MIZ JAMESON Jul03 Jun17 May20     (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELMO'S SECRET May04 Mar15 Dec15 Sep05 Aug03 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
SISTER SEEK May04 Jan04 Aug12 May21 May10 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  LASSAROCK Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 Jan14 Dec26 (hirdes john)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
BENT HALO Apr26 Apr04 Mar01 Feb10 Jan26 (witt ern)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SCR  WILLAMINA Apr20 Apr10 Feb29 Feb01 Dec17 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
SCR  BODI ODI Apr28 Apr05 Mar21 Mar01 Feb18 (northrop debr)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00    
SCR  CORA'S LEGACY May04 Apr24 Mar13 Feb17 Jan18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.