Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(8/1/7/6)-(2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(2/5/1)-(3/4/12/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/4/12/7/10)-(8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (3/4/12/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/12/7/10)-(3/4/12/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/12/7/10)-(3/4/12/7/10)-(3/4/12/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (10/1/13/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/13/3)-(10/1/13/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/13/3)-(10/1/13/6/3)-(10/1/13/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/1/13/3)-(4/1/9/5)-(4/2/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-8   WIN (4/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/5)-(4/1/9/3/5)-(4/1/9/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/9/5)-(4/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG AND BOLD Apr07 Mar24 Feb18 Jan12   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 5.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  BARBACOA Apr21 Apr04 Mar21 Feb25 Jul01 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
3  LEXINGTON RIVER Mar15 Feb08 Jan13 Dec19   (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 15.00    
4  BOBULINSKI Mar03 Feb17       (pearson m)BENAVIDES D 124 6.00    
5  BENZODINI Mar24 Jan07 Dec15 Sep17 Aug23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.00    
6  COPPER STATE Mar21 Mar07 Feb23 Dec13 Nov04 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUSTY GADGET Apr05 Mar24 Feb19 Jan20 Jun23 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
LS-2   04/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTO ROAD Apr07 Mar23 Feb17 Feb04 Oct13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
2  FLEET OF HOOF Mar24 Mar10 Jan28 Jan04 Oct28 (pearson pau)WETHEY JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NORTHVALE ROAD Mar22 Apr23 Jan31 Jan10 Nov22 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
4  MARKS PROMISE Jan25 Jan06 Dec08 Nov17 Oct18 (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  SHADOW MATTER Feb23 Jan12 Dec15 Feb17 Jan14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00    
6  ALGEBRA Mar23 Feb17 Dec20 Oct13 Jun03 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50    
 
LS-3   04/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRENCHED Mar02 Feb02 Oct20 Sep22 Jun17 (clary rena)DIEGO V 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  GASTOWN Apr18 Apr05 Feb24 Jan20 Jan05 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
3  VIEWERS DISCRETION Mar17 Feb03 Nov18 Oct20 Sep01 (davis shawn)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
4  MISSION BELLE Apr05 Feb10 Jan20 Sep13 Aug25 (young bob)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
5  BLOOD ORANGE Mar23 Feb23 Jan26 Jul01 Jun11 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 15.00    
6  OUR DAVINA Mar21 Mar02 Jan19 Nov21 Nov03 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONTOUR Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 Jan12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00 8% 12.10    
8  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Apr05 Mar02 Feb10 Dec07 Nov05 (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  BLAMEITONMIDNIGHT Apr06 Mar10 Feb10 Dec15 Oct26 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 120 2.50    
 
LS-4   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S EXTRA Dec28 Oct18 Sep02 Jul24 Jul02 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  COWGIRLSLIKEBLING Mar29 Feb17 Jul02     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.50 68% 0.50    
SCR  MORE THAN SHAKIN Mar29 Jun24 Jun04 May12 Apr27 (payne w)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.50    
4  SPACE PIRATE Feb16 Jan26 Nov29 Oct27 Oct04 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00    
5  KAYLEE'S SHADOW Mar29 Mar08 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CREAM PUFF REAPER Apr19 Apr07 Mar30 Feb19 Feb04 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00    
7  GOLD MEMORIES Apr06 Mar08 Feb11 Jan26 Jan07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00    
 
LS-5   04/27/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J J JAZZ Feb24 Feb11       (ortiz jav)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 30.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC JAZZ out of G. T. RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
2  SOLECITA Mar22 Feb24 Feb11 Feb03 Apr22 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
3  BRADEE CASH Mar29 May21 Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of CASH'S GAL by SILENT PICTURE)
4  HIGHLANDER HONEY Apr06 Mar16       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of DANCE TEAM by DYNAFORMER)
5  PARIS GARTERS Mar29 Mar16 Jan07 Oct18   (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by BONDI out of MOLLY WARMFLASH by GRASSHOPPER)
6  ON WING Mar29 Mar15       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 30.00    
  (by PRODUCER out of WINGED FURY by WAR CHANT)
7  CRESSONS LIL CHARM Apr06 Mar02 Feb04 Jan05 Sep30 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00 7% 13.40    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
8  GHURAIR IS JIM Mar22 Feb24 Jan05     (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 30.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
9  SHY ANN Mar16         (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of MS ALDEBARAN by ALDEBARAN)
10  TELEKINETIC Mar16         (gustafs)GONCALVES R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of HALF A MILLION by HALF OURS)
11  RON'S LAVENDER Mar29 Mar22 Feb11 Sep12 Jul29 (k)DE CRUZ 124 4.50    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
12  RIVER'S END Mar29 Feb24 Feb03 Jul03 Jun11 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 10% 9.00    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
13  ANNA MARIE Mar22 Feb11 Jul03     (dodson clifford)SANCHEZ M 124 30.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LEROIANA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
SCR  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Mar30 Feb11 Jan26 Jul01 Jun23 (chaparro gay)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00    
  (by CORD'S KOKO NIGHT out of EMBRACETHELADY by EMBRACE THE STORM)
 
LS-6   04/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAM'S TIME Mar29 Feb25 Feb03 Dec08 Nov17 (hjort donna)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZAICI Mar29 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  IMA BIG BOPPER Apr05 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Oct26 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
4  STANS HOME RUN Mar30 Feb25 Feb03 Jan12 Dec07 (hjort don)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  HARD GOLD Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50    
6  GET WITT GONE Mar02 Jan26 Nov08 Oct21 Sep09 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 20.00    
7  THUNDER ROAD Apr07 Mar15 Feb25 Feb09 Jan06 (dodson cliffor)MORA GERARDO 121 8.00    
8  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Jan27 Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 Jun09 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
LS-7   04/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Jan26 Jul03 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  TAHITIAN BREEZE Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Feb02 Jul02 (hurley r)CABRERA DAVID 120 10.00    
3  OCCURRENCE Apr02 Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Aug24 (cappellucci )ALVAREZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAN MATEO KAT Apr06 Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan28 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
5  PLAYMATE Apr06 Mar10 Feb29 Feb18 Feb01 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
6  LADY JAE Feb18 Jan27 Nov25 Oct28 Sep16 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 ★    
7  ROSES ARE GRAY Apr05 Mar17 Mar02 Feb15 Jan20 (g)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
SCR  DULCIA Mar21 Feb15 Feb04 Dec13 Sep10 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 120 4.50    
9  WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Feb02 Jan12 Jul01 Jun03 May07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
10  CAFEZINHO Apr06 Mar08       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 42% 1.40    
11  RESOURCE Mar30 Jun24       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00    
12  CAIRO MOON Apr02 Feb26 Jan31 Dec20 Nov25 (cappell)GONCALVES R 120 20.00    
13  WATCH THIS MUNNY Mar22 Feb23 Feb03 Jan12 Oct25 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Nov02 Jul15 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
 
LS-8   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ATHENA Apr06 Mar24 Mar02 Jan27   (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of ROSE GUITAR by STAR GUITAR)
2  DIAMOND GAL Jul20 Jun15 Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 (lewis jeh)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
  (by DIAMOND out of ADIRONDACK GAL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
3  LITHE SPIRIT Mar17         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SPOOKY WOODS by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Feb19 Nov10 Oct05 Sep13 Dec23 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 124 4.50 45% 1.20    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CALL ME BABA by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 Jan21 Nov08 (mckinney kyndr)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
SCR  ROCKHILL NOELLE Apr06         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  EXCLUSIVE ACCESS Mar17 Jan07 Nov08     (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
8  CALLE REINA Dec30 Nov11 Sep30 Aug13 Jul01 (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ETCHING by PAYNTER)
9  CIRCA STAR         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00 6% 14.60    
  (by TAPITURE out of SILENT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  CLIMB TO GLORY Mar30 Mar17 Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 (pearson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
LS-9   04/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROJO Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 Feb25 Feb09 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 12.00    
2  TOTAL SURPRISE Mar15 Feb21 Feb01 Jan06 Nov29 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  ABSAROKA Mar30 Mar01 Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 123 2.00    
4  CATHOLIC GUILT Mar16 Mar01 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  BIG BROTHER Feb15 Jan20 Dec08 Oct27 Aug05 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 30.00    
6  SILENT POWER Mar14 Feb01 Jan05 Nov02 Aug03 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
7  YAK Dec15 Sep27 Sep11 Jul05 Jun08 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 10.00 9% 10.50    
8  EXETER Mar16 Feb18 Feb03 Jan19 Jan07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RESOLVE NOW Feb19 Jan27 Jan19 Dec15 Dec02 (eoff terr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 123 30.00    
10  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Mar08 Feb18 Feb10 Jan06 Nov11 (hjort donna)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.