Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/6/1)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(4/5/7/2)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(6/2/3)-(1/4/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(1/5/4)-(4/10/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/10/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/10/9/6)-(6/5/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/10/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/6)-(4/10/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/6)-(4/10/9/6)-(4/10/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/9/6)-(6/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Jan05 Nov09 Oct28 Aug23 Jul20 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.20 30% 2.30    
2  E J'S REVENGE Dec15 Sep22 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.00    
SCR  HELL'S KITTEN Dec02 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
4  NO FOOLING DUDE Feb14 Jan04 Dec15 Dec06 Nov09 (obed-letts ketu)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
5  SCOTTY SILVER Mar17 Feb22 Jan06 Nov26 Nov09 (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   03/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER REDESDALE Feb22 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20   (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Feb22 Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec13 (shanle)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
3  Z MYSTIQUE Feb22 Feb10 Jan12 Dec06 Nov22 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  HOT ROD LOVE Feb22 Feb01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 (johnson deway)ADAMS L 111 12.00    
5  COOLKID Feb10 Feb01 Dec01 Nov10 Oct11 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 3.00    
6  TIZAFASTBULLET Feb22 Jan12 Dec10 Nov24 Oct27 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 7% 12.60    
 
CT-3   03/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLORINE Feb23         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
2  HEY MACARENA Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Dec02 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUPER SNEAKY Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 Dec02 Sep29 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 4.50    
4  DREAM OF GOLD Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 Jan11 Nov29 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 0.80 39% 1.60    
5  LOVE NOTION Nov03 Oct12 Sep17 Dec31 Dec02 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
6  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Feb23 Feb02 Dec08 Dec02 Nov17 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 12.00    
7  SONGTELLER Feb23 Jan31 Jan12 Dec08 Nov03 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 12.00 12% 7.30    
 
CT-4   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST HAVE FAITH Feb22 Dec07 Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
2  SMOKIN LADY Mar01 Jan03 Dec14 Nov20 Oct26 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 Jan13 Dec07 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Dec14 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.50    
5  ROMAN CANDLE Feb15 Jan27 Nov17 Oct27 Sep21 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 109 4.00    
6  MISS LAUREN Feb24 Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov18 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
CT-5   03/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S PUNCH Feb17 Jan27 Jan03 Nov29   (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
2  OUR BREW Feb17 Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FANTASY FROST Feb01 Jan11 Nov30     (tobin l)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
4  THETA Feb07 Jan11 Dec06 Nov08   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 22% 3.60    
5  TRUE BUCKPASSING Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec09 Nov29 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 119 2.50 6% 16.30    
6  BLUSHING BIP BOP Feb23 Feb14       (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
7  VIESTE Feb01 Jan11 Jan05 Dec02 Nov24 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Feb17 Jan26 May19 Jan28 Oct20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
2  MOON FALL Dec13 Nov30 Nov11 Oct13 Sep08 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
3  CANDY FOR JUBA Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov25 Oct12 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50    
4  TIME TO CHOOSE Mar01 Feb09 Feb03 Dec14 Mar09 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREATANDGOOD Feb17 Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  GIACOMO CASANOVA Feb17 Jan11 Dec12     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 3.00    
 
CT-7   03/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Feb22 Jan27 Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
SCR  I'M THE MONEY MAN Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec08 Dec01 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00    
SCR  ROAD SLEW Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 Nov30 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
4  VAGABOND VIRGIN Feb22 Dec09 Nov01 Oct18 Sep15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 43% 1.40    
5  HOT FUDGE SONDE Feb23 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
6  NEVERPOPTHECORK Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec08 Dec01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
8  PLAY IT LOUD Feb23 Feb09 Feb01 Oct25 Aug27 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
9  PAYMENGOLD Feb23 Feb01 Dec08 Dec01 Oct14 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
10  C R'S MANDATE Feb22 Jan11 Dec08 Nov18 Oct14 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER Feb02 Dec30 May20 May06 Feb08 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   03/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENADE SOLDIER Feb21 Feb09 Oct08 Sep15 Aug11 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 117 2.00    
2  LUNA WEST Feb23 Jan11 Dec16 Nov10 Sep07 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
3  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Jan11 Aug26 Aug18 Aug03 Jul15 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
4  BERNIE'S DREAMING Jan11 Nov09 Aug31     (butts e)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
5  CALERA LOVE Nov03 Sep22 Sep01 Jun15 May11 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  PALMARY Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
7  MIDNIGHT PASS Mar02 Feb23 Jan11 Nov16 Oct05 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
8  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.