Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - February 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/3/7/1)-(3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-2   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/1)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/1)-(3/1/2)-(2/1/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/6/4)-(3/1/2/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/1/6/4)-(8/3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/9/4)-(2/1/6/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(8/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4)-(8/3/1/5)-(10/6/9/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/5)-(10/6/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/5)-(10/6/9/3/8)-(4/7/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (10/6/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/9/3/8)-(10/6/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/9/3/8)-(10/6/9/3/8)-(10/6/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/9/3/8)-(4/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/9/3/8)-(4/7/1/6)-(7/11/1/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(7/11/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/11/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/1/8/3)-(7/11/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/1/8/3)-(7/11/1/8/3)-(7/11/1/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 45 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jan20 Jan12 Jun18 Jun02 May11 (range)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
2  MORO TRENDSETTER Jan13 Sep28 Jul04 Jun02 May21 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 11% 7.80    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
3  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jan20 Dec05 Sep11 Aug06 Jul04 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
SCR  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Feb02 Jan20 Jan12 Aug19 Jun22 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
5  TEXAS CLUBMAN Jan13 Aug21 Jul04 Jun18 May27 (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of QUEENLAND by TASTE OF PARADISE)
6  GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Jan20 Jun24 May21 Apr23 Apr08 (castellanos )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 15.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of WAR LASS by WAR CHANT)
7  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jan28 Jan13 Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SHE'S LETHAL by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  ALL MIGHT Feb02 Jan20       (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 123 1.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of SWEET MISS LOU by SUPER SAVER)
 
HOU-2   02/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHWIND Nov24 Nov13 Oct19 Sep28 Aug05 (silva mig)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLASSIC RUNNER Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 Nov24 Oct21 (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00    
3  KITTER KAT Dec07 Nov11 Oct19 Sep27 Jun09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  GHOST CREEK Jan27 Jan06 Dec14 Nov24 Nov04 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 20.00    
5  SHOTSHELL Dec09 Dec01 Nov15 Oct14 Sep07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 1.20 39% 1.60    
6  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Jan27 Jan12 Sep20 Sep12 Sep04 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
7  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Jan27 Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 (gelner j)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 13% 6.60    
8  RATLIFF CITY Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50    
 
HOU-3   02/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS MY MONEY TOO Jan20 Oct25 Aug26 Jun25 Jun16 (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  SUMMEROSA Dec13 Nov21 Nov08 Oct05 Sep02 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  CRIMSON LADY Jan28 Dec11 Nov13 Sep22 Sep01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 49% 1.10    
4  CAT TALE SKY Jan13 Dec16 Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 (young e)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00 ★    
SCR  NORDIC QUEEN Feb03 Nov08 Sep22 May29 Apr11 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 121 6.00    
6  SAN MATEO KAT Jan28 Nov21 Oct26 Oct11 Sep22 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 10.00 ★    
7  HIGHWAY SIXTY ONE Jan13 Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
8  POETIC UNION Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 Nov03 Oct25 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 8.00    
9  WITSEC Jan28 Jan13 Dec08 Nov08 Sep07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
10  TALKATIVE Dec08 Nov08 Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
 
HOU-4   02/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOO INTIMIDATING Jan21 Jun23 Jun04 May20 May07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
2  TURN NORTH Jan27 Aug21 Jul03     (johnson henr)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of AL'S ROSIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  UBSINGINTHEBLUES Jan21 Jan05 Jun17     (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.50    
  (by MR. BESILU out of ONESONGSALLITTAKES by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Jan21         (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DON'T BLAME BUNKER by SILVER CITY)
5  COMES THE SUN         (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00    
  (by GUNNER'S VIEW out of WINNING WONDER by SWORD DANCE (IRE))
6  AXIS OF EVIL Jan27         (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  RIPSTER Jan27 Jan21 Jan05     (george wayne)SALAZAR TERESA 117 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of MISS SECRET HEART by TINNERS WAY)
8  RAROTONGA         (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 122 12.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
9  TRICKTONITE         (silva mig)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 6.00 ★    
  (by AIKENITE out of TRICK CITY by HAT TRICK)
 
HOU-5   02/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE THE BAND MAN Oct07 Sep10 Aug13 Jul24 Jul08 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 2.50 9% 10.30    
2  BELEWS GOLD Jan06 Nov21 May06 Mar12 Feb05 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 121 8.00    
3  BLING BLING BLING Jul01 Jun15 May13 May05 Apr07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  SUPER BRADY Sep09 Aug06 May13 Apr02 Mar17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50    
5  SAINT PIO Jan28 Nov11 Oct27 Oct04 Sep23 (caldwell r)ALVAREZ L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE'S A BOMB Jan12 Dec17 Oct19 Sep22 Aug07 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00    
SCR  FLIP THE COIN JAN Jan06 Jun25 Jun02 May21 May06 (castellanos)WETHEY JR 121 15.00    
8  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jan11 Oct14 Sep29 Aug21 Aug13 (cravens ronn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  CARBON STRYKER Dec29 Nov18 Nov04 Oct12 Aug26 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 2.00    
 
HOU-6   02/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER RED Nov11 Oct27 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
2  HAMAZING WISDOM Dec17 Nov03 Oct14 Aug31 Jun15 (p)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
3  CATHOLIC GUILT Jan27 Jan06 Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 8% 10.90    
4  SPERLE Nov15 Oct25 Aug14 May06 Mar24 (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 119 8.00    
5  THUNDER ROAD Jan06 Dec01 Sep04 Aug27 Jul31 (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 10.00    
6  PRINCE RAMA Jan19 Dec07 Oct27 Oct06 Sep27 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ABSAROKA Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 Oct20 Sep27 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00    
8  LIONS NOT SHEEP Jan19 Jan07 Dec16 Dec08 Jun19 (govea c)GONCALVES R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  REQUISITION Aug14 Jun19 May08 Apr08 Mar17 (davidson brent)BRACHO A 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
10  DEANOS CAPE Jan27 Dec09 Nov29 Nov17 Nov03 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
HOU-7   02/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR PASTOR Jan20 Sep27 Sep06 Aug07 Jun24 (castellanos)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 6.00 9% 10.00    
2  JENNY'S PENNY Jan20 Nov27 Oct06 Sep06 Aug07 (clary rena)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
3  ACCELERATE JUDY Jan20 Dec01 Nov02 Sep27 Aug31 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.00    
4  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Jan26 Dec15 Nov04 May26 Apr14 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
5  BANTERRA Jan13 Nov25 Mar24 Jan22 Dec04 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 2.00    
6  RECLUSIVE Jan20 Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr23 (hurley ti)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PERILOUS LIFE Jan20 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Aug19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
HOU-8   02/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUDDY BUDDY Jan27 Dec31 Dec08 Nov19 Nov04 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
2  JUDGE MCBEE Jan27 Dec31 Nov18 Nov03   (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 12.00    
3  AMERICAN WARRIOR Nov28 Nov04       (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRACE'S HANK Oct21 Sep28 Aug21     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 15.00    
5  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jan21 Jul03 Jun04     (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
6  LUCKY APPEAL Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 (davidson n)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
7  PACIFIC THEATER Jan07 Dec09 Nov13     (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
8  PURE MALICE Nov23 Nov02 Oct07 Sep28 Sep16 (brobe)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 8.00 6% 16.60    
9  RUSTY Nov13 Oct21 Sep19     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
10  CASINO MO Jan21 Dec08 Nov20 Oct28 Sep29 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
11  TIGERS 'N BEARS Nov17 Sep24 Aug31     (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.