Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(4/1/3)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/4/1)-(3/8/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/8/5/7)-(4/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/7)-(3/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/7)-(3/8/5/7)-(3/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/7)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(6/3/2/11/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/3/2/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/3/2/11/8)-(4/1/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-7   WIN (6/3/2/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/11/8)-(6/3/2/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/11/8)-(6/3/2/11/8)-(6/3/2/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/2/11/8)-(4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/11/8)-(4/1/3)-(3/5/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-8   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. VALENTINO Oct21 Oct12 Sep07 Jul04 Jun17 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 1.60    
2  BRAZIL NUT Jun16 Apr30 Mar17 Mar04 Jan20 (k)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 20.00 ★    
3  MOROLICIOUS Oct12 Sep23 Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 (davidson n)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
4  GHOST CREEK Dec14 Nov24 Nov04 Oct26 Sep28 (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 8.00    
5  BREAKING THE BANK Nov13 Oct14 Sep21 Sep02 Jul20 (hodgson b)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00 21% 3.70    
6  LEA ME BE Dec18 Nov09 Oct19 Sep24 Sep08 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  GOLDBRIDGE Sep12 Aug13 Jul04 Jun23 May28 (t)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
8  GLENDALE Nov17 Oct26 Oct14 Aug26 Aug10 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
HOU-3   01/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANADA CANDY Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 Aug16 Jul26 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  LA MORENA Nov30 Nov13 Nov02 Oct20 Sep30 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 1.80    
3  SUMMER LIGHTNING Dec02 Oct12 Jul21 Jun11 May21 (kotara ronald)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00 11% 7.80    
4  HOT TUB HOTTIE Nov25 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Sep30 (padilla c)TRIANA JR 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  CASINO QUEEN Nov25 Nov02 Oct25 Oct11 Sep30 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 3.00 ★    
6  CALI Nov30 Nov11 Oct28 Oct04 Aug31 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 121 10.00    
7  EAGLE EXPRESS Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul02 Jun16 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
 
HOU-4   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANATLAN Jul01 Jun16 Jun03 May28 Apr27 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  IBERIAN RUNNER Sep09 Aug04 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 3.50    
3  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Aug27 Jul16 Jul04 May11   (schneider w)BRACHO A 121 30.00    
4  GUITAR BOY Aug07 Jul04 Jun15 May13 Apr15 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 14% 6.00    
5  HARD GOLD Jun25 Jun02 May13 Apr23 Mar31 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50    
6  WILL THE THRILL Dec05 Nov20 Jun16 May13 Apr29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 4.00 58% 0.70    
7  I'M A COWBOY Aug26 Jul16 Jun15 May28 May13 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00 ★    
 
HOU-5   01/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMAYIM Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 Aug28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 4.00    
2  EZMOSH Dec07 Nov18 Nov01 Feb17 Oct12 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 121 12.00    
3  ENGLANDER Nov11 Nov01 Sep29 Jul02 Jun15 (gustafson austi)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
4  VARNISHED Dec02 Nov10 Oct27 Dec01 Nov07 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 20.00    
5  SNIVELING Dec14 Nov23 Sep09 Jul14 Jun17 (govea cesar)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00 8% 11.60    
6  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Nov11 Sep29 Aug31 Aug19 Jun15 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00    
7  CATHOLIC GUILT Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 Sep09 Aug31 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PEACOCK KITTEN Aug03 Jul01 May25 Apr12 Feb24 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
HOU-6   01/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Darby's Daughter Division Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVERTIDA Dec01 Nov14 Oct28 Jun03   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 30.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GET TIED ON by TASSO)
2  SUCCESSFULPATH Nov21 Jul02       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 117 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SIGNALPATH by ESKENDEREYA)
3  TOO MUCH DREAMING Sep24 Aug31 Jul02 Jun03 May07 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 117 4.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
4  TOO MUCH KIKI Dec14 Jul01 Jun03     (calhoun willi)JARA FERNANDO 122 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SOFT MUSIC by ACTION THIS DAY)
5  HIGH TONE WOMAN         (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 117 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by BRADESTER out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
SCR  FLYING FIRST CLASS Nov28 Jun03       (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of REAL STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
7  SPECIAL NOTE Jul02 Jun03       (young e)WADE LYNDIE 117 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of RUDITA by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
 
HOU-7   01/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A IRISH LAD Dec16 Dec07 Sep22 Aug19 Jun23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
2  COLONEL KLINK Dec11 Nov14 Oct14 Jul22 Jul09 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
3  HACKER Dec01 Nov13 Oct14 Aug21 Jul09 (padilla c)TRIANA JR 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
4  SWEET BAKER Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 Sep13 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00    
5  BELEWS GOLD Nov21 May06 Mar12 Feb05 Dec03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
6  POMEROY HAZE Nov30 Nov14 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 5.00 36% 1.80    
7  AMERICAN CODE Dec08 Nov15 Aug24 Apr19 Feb20 (ruggeri nicole)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00    
8  PINKY RING BLING Dec02 Nov21 Nov03 Oct14 Sep23 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 4.00 6% 14.40    
SCR  MEGA BOND Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 Oct06 (davidson brent)BRACHO A 121 30.00    
10  JALEN JOURNEY Dec02 Nov08 Oct28 Sep29 Sep09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50    
11  FLIP THE COIN JAN Jun25 Jun02 May21 May06 Apr22 (castellanos jai)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 8% 11.30    
 
HOU-8   01/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST My Dandy Division Purse ($75K) 3 C/G PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARFA SKY Jul01 Jun03       (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of PERENNIAL SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
2  SILENT BLING Jul03 Jun03       (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 117 4.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  FOO FLIGHTER Nov24 Nov13 Sep29     (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of FOOLISH MANDATE by FULL MANDATE)
4  UNBRIDLED BLING Nov17 Oct21 Sep13     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 117 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of HERE'S THE DEAL by HALF OURS)
5  HEZAKOOLKAT Jul03 Jun03       (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 117 20.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of KAT'S INFATUATION by SILVER CITY)
6  OZZIES WINGS Y G Nov17 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May07 (mendoza v)WADE LYNDIE 117 6.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  BANDERA BLING Aug29 Aug12 Jul03     (jacks e)DIEGO V 117 15.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
 
HOU-9   01/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY NOT WINE Nov04 Aug19 Jul02 Jun15 Apr15 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 12.00    
2  GO SPEED RACER GO Nov03 Sep29 Aug31 Jul02 May29 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  OCELOT Dec22 Nov04 Oct06 Sep29 Sep22 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 123 1.60 49% 1.00    
4  RUSSIAN TANK Nov25 Nov11 Oct19 Oct06 Sep23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
5  KAZAN (IRE) Nov23 Aug27 Aug12 Jul02 Jun23 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 10.00 23% 3.40    
6  CLIFF DIVER Dec16 Nov01 Oct06 Sep23 Jul23 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 5.00    
7  BLUE BOON Dec15 Nov03 Sep23 Sep07 Oct26 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 ★    
8  COTTONWOOD Nov25 Oct06 Sep23 Aug21 Jul10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50    
SCR  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL Nov14 Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 Jun10 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.