Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(6/3/4)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(5/4/2)-(7/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(7/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(7/3/8/5)-(5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/5)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE LADY Apr27 Feb15       (grabowski jo)HARKIE K 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Sep26         (grusmark karl)ALVARADO R 117 12.00    
SASSY TALLAHASSEE Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (sells rachel)COA J 124 3.50    
RULER OF THE NIGHT Aug29 Jun26 Jun05 May08 Apr25 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  VAGUELY FAMOUS         (buckley )DAVIS A 121 8.00    
OUR FIRST LADY Sep27 Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
MENILY Oct10 Feb26 Jan05 Nov26 Apr10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARINTHEMAKING Oct10 Sep12 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 3.50 8% 11.80    
1A  SNEADS Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 Jul17 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 3.50    
HOLY COWBOY Oct03 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
RUNABOUT Sep26 Aug02 Jul11 Jun01 Apr14 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
GRIT AND GLORY Oct10 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00    
RINGGOOD Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
LABAN M MO Sep26 Aug16 Jul18 Jun13 May22 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
FL-3   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Oct09 Sep12 Aug28 Aug02 Jul25 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
STREET COP OFFICER Oct02 Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jun30 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00    
POMPOUS PRINCE Oct03 Jul29 Jul02 May25 Aug26 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 5.00 5% 17.60    
COLTEN GOES Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
WYNN GIANT Oct09 Aug28 Jul17 Jun27 May22 (englehart je)HARKIE K 119 2.50    
DOC ADVANTAGE Oct09 Sep12 Aug09 Jun12 Nov21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
FL-4   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEY OF FIVE Oct11 Sep27 Jul05 Jun12 May16 (huertas nirka)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
BENEVOLENTLY Oct15 Jul29 Aug04 Jul04   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
SARAH'S PRIDE Aug16 Jul19 Apr06 Mar12 Jan26 (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
ROSEINTHESKY Oct11 Sep26 Jul19     (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 15% 5.60    
MY INNER VOICE Sep12 Jul31 Jul18 Jun02 May12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 1.00 38% 1.60    
SLY SLOANE Sep13 Jul11 Jun13 May31 May02 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.00    
MY LITTLE ONE Oct11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
 
FL-5   10/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. LLOYD Sep25 Sep12 Aug16 Aug08 Jul03 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 10.00    
SMOKIN' ALONE Oct17 Sep05 Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
MASSEY HALL Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50    
MIAMI CHROME Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 May23 (breed r)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 124 12.00    
ALL TIME CLASSIC Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
FL-6   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSSIPING PANDO Sep25 Jul04 Jun23     (progno michael)COA J 121 6.00 9% 10.50    
CHASIN' YOU Sep27 Sep13 Mar05 Feb25 Jan06 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 121 5.00    
THEWIPERSONTHEBUS Oct11 Sep18       (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 10% 8.90    
REGAL EMPIRE Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jun19 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
LOZ Aug23 Aug07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep25 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
DANCINWITHJAKE Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
DANCING WITH RICO Oct11 Aug16 Dec11 Nov13 Oct26 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
WATERMELON CRUSH Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug25 Aug10 (sabine micha)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
 
FL-7   10/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE SHOT Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 Aug08 Mar25 (oyola d)NAVARRO J 124 12.00    
1A  MATTY'S EXPRESS Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Oct03 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
ALMENDRO Oct03 Sep05 Aug08 Jul10 Jun13 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Oct04 Jun28 Jun12 May24 Nov14 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 6.00    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Oct09 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 Jul18 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00 7% 12.70    
DROSEL DIEM Oct09 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
FATHER WALSH Aug16 Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 May22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
NUTSIE Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 4.00 8% 12.20    
 
FL-8   10/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Aug29 Jul31 Jul11 Jun20 Jun13 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
PAULIES ANGEL Oct11 Jul04 Jun26 May29 May08 (bond br)NAVARRO J 121 20.00    
GIANT BOTTLE Oct11 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul11 (henry n)VENTURA JOSE 124 20.00    
INDYAN PENNY Sep27 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHWAY Sep27 Sep03 Jul16 Jun03 May05 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 1.50 51% 1.00    
DONS LAST CALL Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug15 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00    
FRANKIE C Sep27 Sep13 Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 (bireta donna)DIAZ J 114 10.00    
BARBARA'S SPIRIT Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Jun14 May16 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.