Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAN-1   WIN (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/7)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/7)-(1/2/5)-(8/6/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(8/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(8/6/9/2)-(4/3/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-3   WIN (8/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/9/2)-(4/3/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/2)-(4/3/9/6)-(1/7/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FAN-4   WIN (4/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/6)-(4/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/6)-(4/3/9/6)-(4/3/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/9/6)-(1/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/6)-(1/7/4/2)-(2/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-5   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(2/1/7)-(4/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-6   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(4/1/8)-(3/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $3.60 
FAN-7   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8)-(4/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-8   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(3/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FAN-9   WIN (3/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6)-(3/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   10/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSES FOR WEEJ Sep30         (manley ste)SIMPSON M 120 10.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MARY JEANS WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
IT'S ON Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01   (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 120 10.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of LEI IT ON ME by BENNY THE BULL)
GREEN GRACE Sep27 Jul07 Jun21     (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of C K GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
JUST AT MIDNIGHT         (becker sco)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of JUST MEMORIES by ROSSINI)
HUCKLEBERRY HUSTLE         (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
  (by CONGRATS out of WHISTLEBERRY by AFLEET ALEX)
WILDISH Aug29 Aug15 Aug01     (martin dawn)ORM CORY 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of VERWILDERN by MUSKETIER (GER))
BAR MONEY Sep12         (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 4.00 9% 10.50    
  (by FIRING LINE out of BAR HOPPIN by ANIMO DE VALEROSO)
MS KS DYNASTY Sep12         (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GRABIT by TAPIT)
 
FAN-2   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONACOUNTA Sep05 Aug26       (irion hea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.50 51% 0.90    
FAST KYLIE Sep23 Jul25 May04 Apr02   (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
BRIANA HARPER Aug26 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (essenpreis)SIMPSON M 126 4.50    
SCR  W W VALID Sep05 Jul25 Jul08 Jun13 May30 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 4.00    
FANCY HILL Aug29 Jul09 May26 Mar30 Mar05 (bahena fer)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
RAIN ATTACK Aug27 Aug02 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (childe)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 6.00    
DON'T TELL ALYCE Sep19 Sep02       (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 12.00    
HARPER BRIANA Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 Jun13   (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 10.00    
KONA KONNECT Sep23 Jul16       (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 10.00    
 
FAN-3   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKLAHOMA HEAT Sep05 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun24 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.50    
FATHER PATRICK Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ARGYBARGY BUCK Sep05 Aug26 Aug05 Jul11 Jun24 (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 124 15.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS PRAYER Sep03 Aug20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 (witthauer j)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 12.00    
STAY STRONG Sep05 Aug26 Aug05 Jul18 Jul04 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 4.00    
KEEN RESPONSE Sep16 Aug26 Aug08 Jul05 May30 (mosier ha)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 15% 5.80    
OPTION Sep26 Sep05 Aug26 Aug15 Jul16 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 15.00    
STORM BORN Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 (castro)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 3.50 39% 1.50    
KANITHAPPEN Sep26 Aug26 Aug05 May23 May02 (randazzo f)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 6.00 15% 5.90    
 
FAN-4   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREPE YARNS Sep18 Aug27 Jul09 Jun17 Jun01 (mosier ha)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHIFFON by MALIBU MOON)
HALF THE BATTLE Sep30 Sep05 Jul29     (lamew bria)MOLINA F 120 15.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MAXIMUS DECIMUS Sep30 Sep04       (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 4.50 19% 4.10    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY FIONA by GHOSTZAPPER)
ICONICUS Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 Nov13 Oct15 (pompell ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by IRONICUS out of STEF'S INHERITANCE by LEESTOWN)
NEVER SORRY Sep27 Sep09 Jul01 Jun15 May19 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 120 3.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of UNREPENTANT by PLEASANT TAP)
MY TENNIS SHOES         (lopez elias)LOPEZ A 120 15.00 6% 16.70    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of JUST WAITING by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  STORMYSTORMYNIGHT         (hughes w)NO RIDER 126 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MIDNIGHT LACE by MARQUETRY)
CHERRY ORCHARD Sep16 Sep04 Aug17 Jul30 Jul19 (hughes w)ORM CORY 120 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STARVING ARTIST by PAYNTER)
TEMPLE FOOL Sep16 Sep03 Jul29 Jul15   (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 10.00 14% 6.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DUEL FOOL by U S RANGER)
10  UH OH IT'S MAGIC Sep30 Sep16 Oct28 Oct13 Oct02 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VIVID STORM by SUPER SAVER)
 
FAN-5   10/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE MAINE Sep26 Aug30 Aug23 Jun15 May28 (campbell j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
DRIFTING WEST Sep28 Aug26 Jul19 May09 Feb17 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 12.00 10% 8.90    
TRIPLE CHROME Sep12 Sep02 Aug05 Jul25 Jul05 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
GEORGE'S VISION Sep26 Sep05 Aug05 Jul18 Jul11 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.50 12% 7.30    
WILLOW RIDGE Sep26 Sep09 Jul25 Jul18 Jun20 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.50    
BAM BAM CAM Sep26 Sep09 Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 6.00    
READY REDDING Sep26 Sep02 Aug03 Jul25 Jul04 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.00 18% 4.70    
KRAMDEN Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 126 10.00    
 
FAN-6   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHTAILING IT Sep19 Sep02 Aug19     (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
CARICIA Sep19 Aug19 Jul08     (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCAPITURE Sep08 Jul25 Jun16 May20 May04 (wells duane)ORM CORY 124 10.00    
TAPICITA Sep10 Sep02 Jun25 May13 Apr21 (durham mik)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 6.00    
BORDER STAR Sep26 Sep02 Aug17 Jul19 Jul08 (manley ste)SIMPSON M 126 4.00    
DRAGONFLY KISSES Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun10 (straub marvel)LOPEZ A 124 12.00    
BLAZE BEAUTY Sep19 Aug02 Jul09 Jun07 May21 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
FAN-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M YOUR VALENTINE Sep30 Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
LORD SHAFTESBURY Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 15.00    
MY KINDA TETON Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jul11 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.50    
PLAIN OR PEANUT Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ACCELERITAS Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Mar11 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
THACKER FROMM Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Aug08 Aug01 (laux clay)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 12.00    
LAGRUE Sep30 Aug08 Jul29 Jun20 Jun10 (foxworth l)SIMPSON M 124 6.00    
MARY'S BOY Sep30 Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul04 (retana gabe)ORM CORY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-8   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-11:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLARD'S SMILE Sep26 Sep16 Aug30 Aug13 Aug06 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
LOOK AWAY Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 (jones jeff )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
NULLARBOR Sep30 Sep16 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 (manley steve)ORM CORY 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
MAC PANDOWDY Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 Aug19 Jul29 (juarez)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 12.00    
ARROW STRIKE Sep23 Aug26 Jul29 Jun27 Jun13 (butler ger)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
LONESOME DREAM Sep26 Sep16 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 15.00    
LASTFORTINOFAMILY Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 Jul25 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.50 21% 3.70    
COPPER CROSSING Sep26 Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
SLAVA UKRAINI Aug30 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 120 4.00    
 
FAN-9   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIAISON Sep19 Sep02 Aug20 Aug03 Jul08 (wainwright john)LOPEZ A 124 8.00    
DOCS SEVEN May31 May14 Apr25 Apr09 Mar09 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
IGGY BIGS Sep05 Aug12 Aug03 Jul12 Dec18 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
DOROTA Sep19 Aug15 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
PALAGO Sep26 Sep16 Aug27 Aug10 Nov25 (martinez a)ORM CORY 124 6.00    
LICHITA Jul01 Jun03 May02 Apr18 Mar30 (jansen ken)SIMPSON M 124 10.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  RACEDAY ATTIRE Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun11 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 126 6.00    
MY MORNING GAL Sep19 Sep02 Aug01 Jun17 May30 (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
SALLY'S SUPRISE Sep23 Aug24 Aug17 Jul13 Jun29 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.