Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-1   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(11/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-2   WIN (11/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/10/4)-(11/10/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/10/4)-(11/10/7/4)-(11/10/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/10/4)-(3/10/8/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ALB-3   WIN (3/10/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/8/2/9)-(3/10/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/8/2/9)-(3/10/8/2/9)-(3/10/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/10/8/2/9)-(7/4/8/2)-(2/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/6/2)-(7/4/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ALB-5   WIN (2/11/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/11/8)-(2/11/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/11/8)-(2/11/1/8)-(2/11/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-1   10/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLIE'S PAL May13 Apr29 Feb12 Jan22 Dec13 (ascencio arn)GARCIA ENRIQUE 118 15.00    
2  JERSEY JOE Sep09 Sep01 Jul08 May13 Apr02 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00    
3  SEEULATERGATOR Sep16 Jul23 Jul09 Apr16 Apr09 (l)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
4  FOLLOW THE FACTS Sep07 May20 Apr29 Apr08 Sep17 (chacon sebedeo )ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
5  BLUEGRASS FAITH Sep16 Sep01 Aug04 Jun23 May13 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
6  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Sep17 Apr25 Mar27 Mar08 Jan31 (valerio raymond )MEDELLIN A 121 3.50 27% 2.60    
7  AWESOME BID Sep01 Jul23 Jun25 Apr25 Mar25 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
8  AWESOME STORM Sep16 Aug25 Jul29 May06 Feb12 (rojero lu)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
SCR  DIXIE STREET Sep17 Sep03 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 124 2.50    
 
ALB-2   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OVER ME Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jul09 (sedillo carlos)VALDEZ S 122 20.00    
2  ENDALE ARCH Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul29 Jun19 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 122 20.00    
3  AUSPICE Sep16 Sep03 May06 Mar05 Feb07 (chacon)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 10.00    
4  DISTORTED GUY Sep03 Jun16 May06 Dec19 Nov13 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOT MEMORIES Sep17 Jun25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 (ortega joe)CARRENO J 122 10.00    
6  RIO HATO Jul30 Jul22 Jun17 May13 Apr15 (meraz jua)AMAYA RUIZ 124 15.00    
7  MOTOWN CLASSIC Sep24 Aug03 Jul07 Jun18 May28 (valerio raymond )MEDELLIN A 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  OTTOMAN EMPIRE May06 Apr21 Mar12 Feb17 Dec17 (g)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  DANJERUS STORM Sep24 Aug18 May21 Feb28 Feb14 (marquez alfre)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
10  WHAT AN IDEA Sep03 Aug11 Mar19 Jan31 Dec14 (fincher t)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 6% 15.40    
11  REIGN OF SPEED Aug04 Jul21 Jun17 Jun04 May13 (alvarez sergio)ROSENDO J 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
 
ALB-3   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($40.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA SUMMER Sep11 Aug25 Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 25.00    
2  PEPPER MILL Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
3  EMILY SMILES Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun07 May06 (silva jos)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  BRAVE CINDERELLA Sep03 Jul16 Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
5  REVENOOR WOMAN Sep03 Jul16 Apr02 Mar05 Jan08 (gonzalez andres)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
6  LOCK IT DOWN Sep09 Aug24 Jul27 Jul19 Jun24 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
7  SAILING ALONG Sep27 Aug20 Jul19 Jun28 May05 (s)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
8  FOR LOVE NOT MONEY Sep03 Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 Jan07 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
9  WHISTLING HOME Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 Apr17 (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOANA Sep04 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (hone bart)CARRENO J 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
ALB-4   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Casino Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONIOS MARK Mar26 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 Nov14 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 118 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
2  MUSICS MY VICE Aug06 Jul09 Oct30 Sep25 Sep10 (fincher w)VERGARA P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of MUSIC IN THE STORM by TRIAL BY JURY)
3  SWEET MONEY Sep20 Sep03 Feb28 Jan22 Dec12 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SWEET IRISH EASTER by IRISH OPEN)
4  LET HIM BE Aug18 Jul09       (marr jo)FUENTES T 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
5  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Sep24 Jul14 Jun16 Apr22 Mar12 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 118 20.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of DESERT LADY by BIG SKY CHESTER)
6  SMARTSREALGOOD Sep10 Jul23 Jun23 Jun10 May07 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 118 3.50 ★    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
7  STILL IN THE TRAP Sep03 Mar26 Feb28 Jan01 Nov01 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by PROCEED out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
8  THRUTHESTORM Sep16 Jul23 Mar26 Feb28 Jan08 (f)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of THRUTHELOOKINGLASS by ALYDAR)
9  VALENTINO WHO Jul23 May07 Mar26 Feb28 Feb12 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
  (by COMFORT out of WEEKENDS FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  RYDERS UP Sep10 Jul16 Jun11 May29 May13 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 118 25.00    
  (by COMFORT out of E BAR PROSPECT by GOLD FEVER)
SCR  WEEKEND WARRIOR Sep17 Sep02 Jun16 May14 May06 (leyba j)MARQUEZ LARRY 118 20.00    
  (by HESINFRONT out of TALENA by LAUGH TRACK)
 
ALB-5   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Billy Powell Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILMAS IRISH ROVER Sep01 May14 Apr29 Apr15 Feb28 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 120 3.00 ★    
2  FIRE WHEN READY Sep01 Jul30 Jul15 Jun11 Jun03 (matt we)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  IZA DADDY Aug04 Jun18 Apr22 Apr08 Jan10 (c)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
4  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Sep13 Aug16 Jul29 Jun26 Jun07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 4.50    
5  MAGIC MOSCO Sep09 Sep01 Jul23 Jun18 May06 (green greg)CARRENO J 120 10.00    
6  GLENDORA MINECAT Sep15 Sep01 Jul16 Jun23 May06 (rojero lu)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 20.00    
7  COLOR ME GONE Sep17 Sep03 Jul23 Jul08 Apr02 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 15.00    
8  MAD LUTHER Sep01 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun03 (matt wend)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NORTHCUT Sep15 Aug09 Jun24 Apr10 Mar12 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 8.00    
10  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Sep01 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 (armstrong)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00    
11  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Sep01 Jul29 Jul12 May29 May06 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 9% 10.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.