Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-5   WIN (5/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/8)-(5/7/8/2)-(2/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ALB-6   WIN (5/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ALB-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-8   WIN (3/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9)-(3/8/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/1/9)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-9   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-5   09/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDREABANANAS Aug06 Jun24 May13 Apr30 Mar05 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 10.00 5% 17.90    
ICY REBEL Sep07 Aug06 Mar14 Feb12 Jan31 (pierce w)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
SCR  BULLDACIOUS KROME Sep07 Jul09 Jun24 May20 May06 (barrios b)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
MOONLIT FOREST Sep14 Aug26       (bolen bradle)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
REALLY A STORM Sep14 Jun24 May29 May13 Apr30 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
MS JAZZ Sep02 Jul09 Jun11     (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LEONA Sep07 May20 May06 Mar14 Feb12 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
LENDA HAND May20         (hudson je)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA BRISA Sep13 Jun17 Mar26 Mar14 Feb12 (aldavaz h)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
 
ALB-6   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANYON DEL ORO Sep15 Sep07 Aug26 Apr02 Feb28 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 121 12.00    
MAJORWAYHOME Sep09 Aug20 Jan03 Dec19 Nov30 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
STYLE BENDER Sep09 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr16 (martinez fra)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 20.00    
GATLING GOLD Sep09 Jul14 Jun24 May13 Apr29 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
TSUNAMI GOLD Sep14 Jun16 May20 Apr29 Apr16 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
HIT A NOTE Sep20 Aug19 Jul21 May13 Apr16 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00    
HIT BTWEEN THE ICE Sep01 Apr29 Jan17 Sep17 Aug24 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
HALF COURT SAM Sep08 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 May29 (lambert c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50 11% 7.70    
 
ALB-7   09/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRT FLIRT Sep14 Aug06 Jul10 Mar29 Feb22 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
CITYONTHENILE Sep03 May21 Mar26 Jan31 Dec06 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
TOOTIE Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
SAILING ALONG Aug20 Jul19 Jun28 May05 Mar25 (s)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
WILLSHERWONTSHE Sep02 Aug05 Apr22 Apr09 Mar07 (olguin ever)TORRES J 124 6.00    
WE ALL AGREE Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jul10 (barrio sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
NOBLE MISS Sep02 Jul23 Jan08 Dec06 Oct23 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
 
ALB-8   09/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATION OF LAWS Aug05 May20 Mar12 Jan03 Dec20 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
WON SASSY RIDE Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 Apr29   (wheeler trav)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
CAIRO MOON Mar26 Feb28 Feb14 Jan29 Jan15 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
ISLA JANE Aug05 Jun18 Apr29 Sep25   (aldavaz h)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 122 15.00    
BIG CREEK FIRE Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09   (lavanwa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 10.00    
SHAME ON CHARLOTTE Sep07 Jul22 Jul08 May20 Apr15 (gonzalez a)MEDELLIN A 122 3.50    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 (lavanway dayson)TORRES J 124 12.00    
MAUI SUNRISE Aug26         (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
LUCKY AND DARING Jul22 Jul09       (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ALB-9   09/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Jun02 May05 Mar19 Feb16 Jan18 (green greg)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
JUMPING JILL FLASH Sep10 Aug20 Jan28 Jan07 Nov24 (silva jos)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00    
ELDORADO DREAM Sep10 Sep02 Apr01 Mar08 Feb22 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Sep10 Aug05 May13 May05 Apr08 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
BORN TO REIGN Sep11 Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 Apr17 (m)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TIZ FOR REAL Sep10 Aug26 Jul28 Jun17 Mar19 (lambert t)ROSENDO J 124 10.00    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Sep16 Jul28 Jul08 May13 Apr08 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 May21 Apr19 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.