Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/3/7)-(3/2/4/6/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DEL-2   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(3/2/4/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(3/2/4/6/5)-(8/13/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-3   WIN (3/2/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6/5)-(3/2/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6/5)-(3/2/4/6/5)-(3/2/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/4/6/5)-(8/13/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6/5)-(8/13/6/7)-(6/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
DEL-4   WIN (8/13/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/13/6/7)-(8/13/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/13/6/7)-(8/13/6/7)-(8/13/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/13/6/7)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/13/6/7)-(6/1)-(4/1/2/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(4/1/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/3)-(4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/3)-(4/6/7)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCH THE TRAMCAR         (boniface k)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 8.00    
HAY HAY HARRY Aug26         (breen j)CEDENO CAROL 119 1.50 37% 1.70    
CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Aug26         (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
PACO THE TACO MAN Aug30         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 1.20 24% 3.20    
FREE DROP BACH Sep08         (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 10.00    
SCR  CLEVER TIGER Sep07 Jul12       (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 109 10.00    
 
DEL-2   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPE AND HEYWOOD Sep02 Aug24 Aug04 Jun22 May27 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 111 10.00    
LOVERBOY LOU Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
APACHE Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 Jun09 (sullivan ellio)HIRALDO JOHN 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
JUPITER BLUES Aug24 Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 Jun10 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 10.00    
SCR  MR. MOX Jun24 May06 Mar23 Mar05 Nov27 (payne beale)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
MERU Sep07 Aug24 Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 (flores-coba f)RANGEL JOEZER 121 6.00    
POSITIVELY AWESOME Sep13 Aug04 Jul11 Jun12 May29 (kelly blake)ARROYO S 123 4.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  PRINCE FILIP Sep13 Aug12 Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 (simone mic)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 8.00    
 
DEL-3   09/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Sep07 Aug09 Jul20 Oct14 Sep05 (yovanovich dona)MENA E 123 12.00    
LILLI ROSE Aug09 Jul21 Jun26 May22 Feb08 (wagner karin)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
DON'T ANNOY ME Sep07 Aug12 Jul20 Jul12 Jun09 (nazario pedr)ARROYO S 118 5.00 42% 1.40    
EXAGERADORA Sep13 Aug13 Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 13% 6.60    
BIONIC KAT Aug28 Jul05 Jun14 May10 May03 (padilla hugo )IORIO MELISSA 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINED TO DANCE Sep03 Aug27 Jul19 Jun09 May27 (corrales jos)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRL HOP Sep07 Aug27 Jul29 Jul12 May27 (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 4.00    
RED RIVER SUSI Sep09 Jul22       (deiter l)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
MS KAYS COWGIRL Sep04 Jul13 May24 May12 Mar29 (kravets br)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 8.00    
10  LIFESAWINDINGROAD Sep07 Aug09 Jul08 Sep15 Aug11 (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 123 8.00    
 
DEL-4   09/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IVY WAY Aug30 Jul12 Jun09 Oct29 Oct07 (saleem gordon)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
HOPEFUL CURE Sep09 Jul21 Jul13 Jul01 May27 (ashby lynn)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
SCR  PARENT TRAPPE         (mullin mic)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 12.00    
SCR  STEPH'S TOP NICK Sep03 Aug17       (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00 11% 8.30    
SEA IMAGE Sep09 Aug23 Jul05     (strauss beverl)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 20.00    
TOUGH ENOUGH Sep02         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 124 15.00 5% 17.80    
PINK SUNSET Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (pham van)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTY IN MOTION         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 5.00 47% 1.10    
ALLIE'S HALO Aug23 Aug09 Jul08 Jun22 Jun03 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 114 20.00    
10  DIVA OF SEVILLE Aug26 Nov05 Oct02     (stettinius s)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00    
SCR  FLASHY FIG (IRE)         (hendriks r)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00    
12  BELIEVE IN LOV Aug31 Aug17 Aug05     (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00    
13  LEGGS Aug05 Jun20 May31     (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SOUR PATCH GIRL Sep06 Aug20 Aug10 Apr15 Mar28 (cooney s)HIRALDO JOHN 121 20.00    
 
DEL-5   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TOUGH DAME Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May03 (plaza alb)VARGAS A 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Aug05 Jul09 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 10.00    
THE SWEATY FOX Aug06 Jun30 Jun10 May29 Apr21 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
TURN ON THE CHARM Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 May27 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.00    
SCR  WINKIWINKI Aug09 May08 Mar18     (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 2.00    
RITABOOK Aug16 Jul06 Jun17 Jun02 May05 (rigattieri john)MENA E 123 6.00 42% 1.40    
GRACE AND CHARM Sep04 Aug10 Jun15 Mar03 Jan21 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.00    
 
DEL-6   09/22/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($28K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISE BROOKS Sep01 Aug04 Jul12 Jun14 May27 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 119 2.00 19% 4.30    
GOLDIENESS Aug19 Jul05 Jun05 Apr29 Apr02 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 6% 16.40    
MS BOOMBASTIC Sep14 Mar03 Feb08 Jan28 Jan13 (posadas ped)MARIN A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE FOREVERAFTER Aug11 Apr23 Apr02 Jan29 Jan06 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 112 3.00 44% 1.30    
QIA Aug26 Aug04 Jul06 Jun08 Apr11 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00    
HAPPY UNION Sep06 Aug18 Jul21 Jul06 Jun14 (machado antonio)MENA E 119 15.00    
CAN'T COMPLAIN Sep03 Aug11 Jun30 May24 Apr03 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
ARIANA VALENTINA Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (aguayo ramon)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
 
DEL-7   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURFBOARD Aug05 Jul14 Jun22     (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 4.00    
MANTAKETHEBLESINGS Aug24 Jul30 Jul18 Jun19 Jun10 (smith everton)OCASIO M 117 8.00    
TUSCAN RULER Aug26 Jul30 Jul02     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
BATI KING Jun10         (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
FACTOR U AND ME IN Aug24 Jul30 May01     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 117 10.00    
FRANKIE'S EMPIRE Aug26 Jul30 Jun17     (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 3.00 32% 2.20    
MASAKADO Aug03         (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 117 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
DEL-8   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALBOROTO Aug19 Jul06 Jun17     (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
STOMPING MOON Sep02 Jul30 Jun17 May28 Sep17 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.00 70% 0.40    
KAMIKAZE FOX Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Aug23 (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00    
DIVINING STONE Sep10 May25       (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEN'S HERO Jun17 Jun01 Apr09 Jan26   (klesaris steve)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.00 5% 17.60    
MR. ANTONELLI Aug19         (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 121 6.00    
CITY HUMOR Sep02 Aug10 Jun17 Jun09 May25 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.