Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(6/3/4)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(1/5/2)-(7/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/2/3)-(1/7/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(1/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/6)-(1/7/5)-(7/1/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(7/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(7/1/2/9)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (7/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9)-(7/1/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/9)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/9)-(4/5/1)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/2/4)-(2/6/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-10   WIN (2/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/1)-(2/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/1)-(2/6/8/1)-(2/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A FRIEND INDEED Aug26 Aug12 May14     (balcom cli)CRUZ DIAZ 121 20.00    
2  SQUARE FUN Aug26 Aug19 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.40 39% 1.60    
SCR  JUST PIN ME         (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 8.00 19% 4.10    
4  DREAMINGOFBLING Sep03 Aug12 Apr12 Mar20 Mar07 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 125 12.00    
5  YOUGOTTAWANTIT Aug18 Jul16       (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 125 4.00    
6  DAZZLE ME GINGER         (essex charles)RADKE K 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
7  HAUGHTY KITTY Sep02 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May27 (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
 
EMD-2   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MAMA THORNTON Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 Jul08 Jun18 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 123 8.00    
2  FLYIN BY Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 May21 (johnston kimber)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
3  COASTARANDO Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 May28 Dec04 (perez hilario)CRUZ M 125 2.50 9% 10.10    
4  MY LEGAL BET Aug26 Aug18 Jun03 May07 Mar31 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 6.00 8% 11.30    
5  MARY WALKER Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 May19 Apr28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
6  MS PARKSIDE Aug04 Jul09 Jun09 May20 Apr10 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
EMD-3   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Aug17 Jul27 Jun10 Apr28   (evans justin)CRUZ M 119 1.40 34% 2.00    
2  SHILSHOLE BAY Aug26 Aug11 Jul23     (martinez david )WADE LYNDIE 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  ROCKIT A DAY Aug26 Aug11 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 119 6.00    
4  SODA SPRINGS (CHI) Aug11 Jul08       (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
5  FAR FAR AWAY Sep02 Jul29 Jul15     (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  JEWELED AGAIN Aug27 Aug11       (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 119 10.00    
7  SOLO UN BESO Aug11 Jul15       (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
EMD-4   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENNARD Sep03 Aug18 Aug06 Jul03 Jun09 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 3.50    
2  CANDIED LUTE Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun09 Jun03 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  STEPHEN JAMES Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Sep02 (pirone m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRANKS FIX IT Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun18 Jun10 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
5  ATTORNEY LOUIS Aug12 Jul30 Jul23 Jun11 Jun04 (chatto)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
6  PICK YOUR BID Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 122 8.00    
7  SPIRE Aug25 Aug06 Jul28 Jul08 Jun18 (baze robert)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
EMD-5   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACOUSTIC MELODY Aug28 Aug13       (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of HAY DILLY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  VERONICA'S DELIGHT         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of THAT'S WHY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  COASTAL GIRL Aug27 Aug12 Jul29     (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 11% 8.50    
  (by COAST GUARD out of MS MOSCOW MATTIE by MATTY G)
4  MALIBU DREAMS         (nunnally jennif)NEGRON LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
5  PRINCESS K         (essex charles)RADKE K 119 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PRINCESS HILLARY by MARIA'S MON)
6  MONARCA DE ORO         (rodriguez s)ORTIZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of OUT TO SEA by SEA SALUTE)
7  SPEIGHTFUL CAT Aug26 Aug11       (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of METRY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  CHAI         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of FIND YOUR SPOT by NATIONHOOD)
 
EMD-6   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL RAGAZZO Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun17 May28 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  AFFIRM CHIEF Aug19 Jul28 Jul02 May29 May20 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.80    
3  JEDI KNIGHT Aug27 Aug06 Jul28 Jul02 Jan27 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 15.00    
4  BLAME IT ON KITTY Aug13 Jan23 Jan04 Dec19 Oct15 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00    
5  COOLCROSS Aug27 Aug13 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 6.00 13% 6.60    
6  BABY FRANKIE Aug26 Jun17 May20 May06 Apr02 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 2.50    
7  HARD TO DENY Aug19 Jul28 Aug14 Jul02 Mar14 (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
EMD-7   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCATALICIOUS Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
2  STICKINITTOTHEMAN Aug27 Jul01 Jun10 May27 May13 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 7% 13.20    
3  NOMI LACKEE Aug26 Jul08 May06 Apr16 Apr09 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 8.00    
4  DISTINCTIVE DEB Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 (boyd preston)RADKE K 121 15.00    
5  FOR YOU ONLY Aug27 Aug20 Aug04 Jul09 Jun25 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 20.00    
6  LUVAHAPPYENDING Sep03 Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 Oct16 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
7  ABOVE THE STARS Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  ANNETTE MARIE Sep03 Aug20 May13 Sep18 Aug28 (cryderman candi)WADE LYNDIE 119 5.00    
9  LADY ATTA TUDE Aug27 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 Jan06 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-8   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BELLA Aug26 Jul30 Jun17 May27 May14 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00 9% 10.00    
2  IN THE VAULT Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May06 (velasquez rigob)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
3  BRILLIANT BIRD Aug13 Aug04 Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 (bean a)WADE LYNDIE 123 20.00    
4  REIGN OF FIRE Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun23 Jun04 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  OUR LYLA GRACE Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May27 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  GOLD COAST GIRL Aug20 Aug04 Jul22 Jun18 Apr19 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
7  YOU GO GIRL Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 125 6.00    
 
EMD-9   09/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNE CATTIVE Aug05 Jul01 Jun11 May14 Jul10 (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00    
2  NAN ELIZABETH Aug26 Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  CAUSE SHE'S A LADY Jul23 Jun25 May27 Dec30 Dec10 (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  AVANTI LEAH Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Jun16   (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
5  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 Jul01 (perez hilario)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
6  PEPPER MILL Aug13 Jul09 Jun18 May28 Apr24 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 121 10.00    
 
EMD-10   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIDATE Aug27 Aug04 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HULK Aug05 Jun09 Mar17 Jul29 Jun05 (evans justin)BOWEN ROCCO 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  WINTER SOLDIER Aug27 Jul08 May28 Apr26 Apr05 (essex charles)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00    
4  SUBITO SLEW Aug19 Aug06 May28 Aug28 Aug04 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 125 15.00    
5  DANNY ZUKO Aug27 Jul09 May27 May13 Apr04 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 10.00    
6  NATION OF FAITH Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 Jun25 Jun09 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
7  IMPACT ZONE Aug25 Jan21 Jan02 Nov27 Nov12 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
8  PERFECT ONE Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.