Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/3/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/10)-(6/3/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/10)-(6/3/7/10)-(6/3/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/10)-(5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/10)-(5/4/9)-(5/4/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/9)-(5/4/3/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(5/4/3/8/2)-(1/11/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-3   WIN (5/4/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8/2)-(5/4/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8/2)-(5/4/3/8/2)-(5/4/3/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8/2)-(1/11/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/8/2)-(1/11/5)-(5/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/11/5)-(1/11/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/11/5)-(1/11/5)-(1/11/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/11/5)-(5/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/11/5)-(5/4/6/8)-(8/2/5/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/8)-(5/4/6/8/2)-(5/4/6/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/8)-(8/2/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/8)-(8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (8/2/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/2/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10)-(8/2/5/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY HILL Jul09 May26 Mar30 Mar05 Feb24 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
2  BABY LOCKOUT Apr08 Feb24 Jan14 Dec09 May06 (beavin judy)GALVAN JHAIR 124 12.00    
3  IRISH WRIT Jun25 Jun11 May30 Apr22 Apr01 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  MISS SINGH ANGEL Jul29         (kanhai joseph)BURNINGHAM J 124 20.00    
SCR  KASENS TRIBE Aug12 Jun29 Jun15 May26 May11 (daigle wal)ALBERT S 116 15.00    
6  TWISTED BRADE Aug13 Jul24 Jan27 Aug15 Jul21 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
7  LAST PENALTY Aug05 Jul08 Jun01 May11 Apr15 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE X FACTOR Aug07 Jul09 Jun19 Jun02 May04 (broussard jervo)MCMAHON J 124 4.50    
9  MALLORI'S MAGIC Aug07 Jul17 Jun24 Jun05 May20 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 6.00    
10  SUM CHARM Jul29 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May11 (ney john)BARRERA J 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN SMILES Jun17 May28 Apr19 Jan19 Dec01 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 124 2.50    
2  CATCAKE Aug04 Jun29 Jun10 Apr28 Feb17 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 7.00    
3  MISS KENNEDY Aug05 Jun17 May21 Mar08 Feb20 (duke steven)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
4  SWEET VIDALIA Aug07 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 May18 (bryant george )GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  G'S SQUEEZE Jun17 May28 Mar26 Mar01 Jan16 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Jun23 Jun06 May02 Apr22 Mar15 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
SCR  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Aug06 Jul24 Jul01 May29 May07 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
8  SERIOUSLY SAM Jul06 Jun16 May25 May13 Apr15 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 15.00    
9  MISS JANA Jul29 Jul01 May18 May04 Mar26 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
LAD-3   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINONESOON Aug12 Jul04       (washington )SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 15.00    
2  COUNTRY GUY         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 8% 11.00    
3  CLEARING CUSTOMS         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 119 10.00 9% 10.30    
4  AUTUMN ROB Jul20         (ducoing sturge)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
5  MINOR DISCREPANCY         (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 35% 1.80    
6  JACK THE WHISTLE Aug05         (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 111 15.00    
7  YAKETY YAK Jul28         (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
8  STOVALL         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00 9% 10.80    
9  HERCULES N LOVE Jul04         (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 119 20.00    
10  NOT LIKELY Aug19         (zenon charle)MAGNON H 119 12.00    
11  FRUIT CUP Aug19         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00    
 
LAD-4   08/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKIN Aug05 Jul01 May27 May14 Apr23 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Aug05 Jun03 Feb10     (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 120 4.50    
3  ANGOLA VACATION Aug05 Jul14 Jun22 Jun01 May10 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 10.00    
SCR  LINCOLN PRODUCTION Jul29 Jul02 Jan08 Nov27   (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
5  CLEARLY A JET Jul29 Jun19 May22 May06 Apr04 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 12.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Aug10 Jul24 Jul01 May28 May06 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
7  WILD FIST Jul27 Jun30 Jun08 May10 Feb09 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 124 25.00    
SCR  CLASSIC WARRIOR Aug06 Jul03       (gomez davi)ALBERT S 115 30.00    
SCR  PUNCHIE Aug05 Jul01 Jun19 Jan08 Dec16 (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00    
SCR  RONALDS GATSBY Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 May22 May06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50    
11  OWEN THE ICE MAN Aug19 Jul29 Jun12 May22 Feb10 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
12  COCAL Jun08 May26 May25 Apr29   (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 124 20.00    
 
LAD-5   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROMPTON Aug12 Jun26 May21 May08 Mar26 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
2  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Jul29 Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 Apr08 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 113 6.00 ★    
3  OSCAR CHOICE Aug14 Jul23 Jun18 Oct29 Sep17 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
4  PERFECT TOM Aug13 Jul22 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Jul29 Jul17 Jun26 Feb17 Feb02 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
6  GILDERSLEEVE May21 Apr29 Mar08 Jan27 Jan11 (ward)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
7  SILVER CHALICE Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May10 Apr14 (terre david)ROSIER R 122 8.00    
8  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 May21 (husak j)POMPELL L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  XANTHUS WRATH Jan14 Nov02 Oct14 Sep05 Jul29 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
10  G'S STORM Jul29 Jul06 Jun08 May09 Apr12 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00    
 
LAD-6   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLUS BOLUS Aug12 Jul04       (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of COUNTRY CANDY by INTIMIDATOR)
2  MAKE IT SPEND IT Aug12         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DREAMY BLUES by CURLIN)
3  BANDERA BLING Aug12 Jul03       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
4  YES JACK Aug12         (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of YES BETH by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
5  BLAME DENNIS         (arey anthony)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SLEWPY'S STAR by STAR PROGRAMMER)
6  SCAT FREE         (duhon o)MCMAHON J 119 6.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SCAT SISTER by SCAT DADDY)
7  FUNNYFLAME         (duhon o)BOREL H 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  GHOSTLY TIME Aug12 Jul03       (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SKIP THRU TIME by TIME BANDIT)
9  MR. SHORTY Jul04         (johnson henry)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  SNIMM         (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARIBBEAN JACK out of INDIAN RIVER DOLL by INDIAN PROSPECTOR (FR))
 
LAD-7   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECLARE WAR Jul31 Jun25 Jun05 May20 May07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
2  BOSSHOG THEM DUKES Jul31 Jun11 May22 Mar26 Mar05 (foster m)BOREL H 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
3  CRIMSON STORM Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 Apr26 Mar24 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 122 8.00    
4  TIME TO MOVE Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 Apr13 Feb18 (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
5  CHICKEN TRUCK Aug04 Jul08 May19 Apr29 Apr08 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
6  MAJOR DEAL Aug12 Jul31 Jul08 May20 Apr28 (tillis e)GALVAN JHAIR 118 30.00    
7  STELLAR TAP Jul29 Jun24 Apr28 Mar31 Feb11 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 9% 10.70    
8  CHIEF ALPHA Jul31 Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 Apr20 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  BIG SCULLY Aug12 May20 Feb23 Feb11 Jan08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00    
10  SHADY GRADY Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 May20 Nov11 (romero geral)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KISS PRINCIPAL Jul03 Jun16 Mar25 Feb26 Jan08 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
12  STOCKPILER Aug12 Jul17 Jun22 Jun10 May22 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.