Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(3/4)-(5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/7)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(11/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (11/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/3/5)-(11/3/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/3/5)-(11/3/6/9/5)-(11/3/6/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/3/5)-(1/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (11/3/5)-(1/8/2)-(1/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/10/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/10/2/3)-(1/8/10/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO COLOR MAP Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May23 Mar15 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
2  GONNA BE DANCING Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 May09 Nov09 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RILEY BEE Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Jun03 May14 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
4  KOBE'S LEGACY Aug15 Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00    
5  CRUNCH B B B Jul31 Jun12 May23     (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  BAD WATER Aug15 Jul18 May20 Apr23 Mar31 (smith troy)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
7  SCHIFFHAUER STRONG Jul24 Jun21 May24 May08 Apr24 (lecesse )DAVIS A 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
FL-2   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLIFDEN PUNCH Aug15 Jul31 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
2  CHRISTMAS DINNER Aug15 Jun27 May24 May08 Oct05 (breed d)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
SCR  NO STONE UNTURNED Jul04 Jun06 Nov08 Oct12 Sep26 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
4  LA CAFETERA Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 6.00    
5  INVESTMENT GRADE Jul31 Jul19 Jun06 May24 May16 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
6  THROWING STONES Jul31 Oct19 Sep14 Jul11 Jun06 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  LADY TEUFLESBERG Aug09 Jul11 Jun19 May31 May16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 8% 11.30    
 
FL-3   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FABRICATE Aug01 Jun21 Apr16 Sep21 Aug20 (fadlovich )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
2  LEFT LEANING LUCY Jul12 Jun19 May09 Apr13 Mar24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
3  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Jul28 May28 Dec02 Oct14 Jun19 (barker edwar)HARKIE K 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  SMALL PEBBLES Aug09 Jul03 Jun21 May31 May17 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  THE NEW MIAMI Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jun27 (vasquez ramon)ROHENA M 124 8.00    
6  REMOANE Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 4.50    
 
FL-4   08/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE'S FINALE Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 May29 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
2  MISTER LARRY Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 May31 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
3  COACH BAHE Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May30 May02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00    
SCR  CO CONSPIRATOR Aug16 Aug01 Jul03 Jun15 May20 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
5  DON'T POKE THE CAT Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun11 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  THE GREAT CASBY Jun16 May26 Mar29 Feb24 Feb02 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 10.00    
7  ROYAL SUSPECT Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 May30 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
FL-5   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PRO Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (lopez arcad)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 15.00    
2  M. C. DOUBLE R Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul10 Jun12 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
3  REUNION TOUR Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 May20 Apr29 (ferraro )DAVIS A 124 4.00    
4  MOON HUNTER Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 May26 (sells rachel)COA J 124 5.00    
5  BUMBLE MONSTER Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May16 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  GENTLEMAN BURGLAR Jul31 Jul10 May14 Apr20 Mar30 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00 19% 4.10    
7  SMART STORM Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May31 May16 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
FL-6   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 Jun12 May29 (sells rachel)COA J 124 12.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
1A  BABI DREAMS Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 May22 May02 (sells rache)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
2  ROXEN Aug16 Jul23       (barker edwar)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
  (by EFFINEX out of KNOXVILLE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  ADMIRE MY CROWN Jul22 May04 Apr08 Nov17 Jul23 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
4  OUR FIRST LADY Aug15 Jul18 Jun26 May22 Nov08 (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
5  GLORY BOUND CLARA Aug08         (bartlett)DAVIS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  RULER OF THE NIGHT Jun26 Jun05 May08 Apr25 Sep26 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SALT WATER REIGN by SALT LAKE)
7  FUNNY HONEY Nov14         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDENMINE by MINESHAFT)
8  WITT LASTING SPEED Aug15 Jun26 Jun12 May29 Nov21 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
9  MA MI JO DREAMS Jul25 Jul04 Jun05 May13 Nov19 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00 ★    
  (by FREUD out of JUST CAT by CITY ZIP)
SCR  TINTAGEL Aug15 Jun13 May31 Nov01 Oct10 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OLYMPIC MEDALLIST by MEDALLIST)
11  RUBYS MISSION Aug15 Jul31 May22 Nov08 Sep05 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of REDDY FOR RUBYS by PRECISE END)
 
FL-7   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRA LAD Jul26 Jun27 May29 Jan11 Dec09 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  PRODUCTION CREDIT Aug16 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIMMEDAMONEY Aug05 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May22 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00 ★    
4  DEVIOUS BANKER Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
5  CANDYROCK Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
6  DOUBLE VISION Aug16 Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 (progno michae)DAVILA A 122 20.00    
7  BOWING SNOWMAN Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 (muller j)SONE Y 122 15.00    
8  WARALO Jul26 Jul03 Jun12 Nov23 Nov12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
9  SON OF DARKNESS Aug14 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May22 (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 5.00    
10  DEVIL OR ANGEL Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 May29 Nov22 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
FL-8   08/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATERI EMPIRE Aug15 Jul05 Jun21 May31 May17 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  FUNNY PURSUIT Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jun19 May24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  SARATOGA BEAUTY Jul03 Jun19 May17 May09 Mar27 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50    
4  KAUFY FUTURES Aug15 Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 May24 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
5  DO WHAT IT TAKES Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 (dean victor )HARKIE K 124 8.00    
6  SUBSIDIARY Aug15 Aug01 May31 May17 Jun13 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
7  COMFORTABLE CAT Aug15 Aug01 Sep22 Aug08 Jul12 (marino josep)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 12.00    
8  TRACI'S GIRL Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 May31 (sparling wa)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.