Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/5)-(8/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(8/2/5)-(7/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/5)-(8/2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/2/5)-(8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/5)-(7/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5)-(7/1/5)-(10/7/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(10/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(10/7/5/3)-(3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (10/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3)-(10/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/5/3)-(3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5/3)-(3/1/2)-(6/3/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/3/2/7)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7)-(6/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7)-(4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/7)-(4/7/2)-(3/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(3/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Aug11 Jun18 May29 Mar17 Nov02 (bennett gerald )STANLEY O 117 8.00    
SCR  REVEILLE SONG Aug14 Jul24 Jun21 May27 Jan26 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 110 3.00    
3  BEAST BUNNY Jul31 Jul12 Jun19 Mar17 Feb26 (pappada micha)WALKER M 119 4.00    
SCR  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) May29 Apr07 Mar24     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 6.00    
5  THAT'S MY CAT Jul03 Jun07 Dec28 Dec03 Nov20 (hardesty l)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 117 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  COSMOLOGICAL Aug04 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr20 (ramirez ricar)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
7  MAGIC LIFE Aug10 Jul12 Jun19 May30 Jun08 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 117 2.50 57% 0.70    
 
PID-2   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPID MISSED         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00    
  (by CUPID out of TRI AGAIN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  A ROSE FOR TINA         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of SCORE BOYERA by SCORPION (IRE))
3  Z INDY LINDY Aug02         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of LINDZ WINZ by VRONSKY)
SCR  TWISTED EMPRESS         (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
5  A THOUSAND PLANS         (brooks e)ALLEN M 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
6  CHASING SPRING         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IN STEP by BAWLD HORNET)
7  SHOCKING FACTS         (brooks gerald)WALKER M 120 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BLANKET BAY by SMART STRIKE)
8  MAIDEN LANE Jul17         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BRABBLE by BERNARDINI)
 
PID-3   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. COMMANDER Jul21 Jul01 Jun15 May21 Apr27 (king l)RIQUELME J 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
2  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Aug01         (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of MS. RHETTA by FOREST DANGER)
3  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES         (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
4  DISCO CENTS         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NURSE DISCO by DISCO RICO)
5  BUNDABURG Aug01         (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S GONNA FLOAT by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SCR  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Aug01 Jul12 Jun03 May05 Apr08 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BETSY ROSS by GALILEO (ARG))
7  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Aug02 Jul11 Jun14     (kulp bra)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 59% 0.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of VALENTINE'S PEARL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
PID-4   08/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMANDING Aug14 Aug08 Feb02 Dec13 Nov09 (valdez moises)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
2  FINLANDIAS NEAT Aug02 Jul10 Jun04 May21 Apr19 (herring)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00    
3  MR. YASUDA Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun14 Apr29 (schaber debb)AYALA J 124 12.00 5% 17.50    
4  STAR CRUISER Jul25         (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 20.00    
5  BLOWN OUT Jul25 Jul11 Jun13 May15   (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 119 10.00 7% 12.90    
6  FLAT BUSTED Aug07 Jul25 Jun26 Jun12 May30 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
7  DAD'S LIL SPARK Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 Jun12   (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
8  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Jul25 Jun12 May24 May03   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 3.50    
SCR  GEMINI MOON Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun14 May23 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 6.00    
10  YARDMAN Aug08 Jul11 Jun26 May30 Oct06 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
PID-5   08/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERY LITTLE BIT Aug02 Jul05 Sep21 Aug22 Jun27 (lucarelli sha)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  CLASSY HALO May09 Sep06 Aug15 Aug03 Jul25 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN ISLE Jul21 Apr09 Feb10 Dec10 Nov27 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 May06 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
5  WATERLOO SUNSET Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 May17 Oct13 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
SCR  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Aug06 Jun18 May28 Apr14 Feb24 (bennett gerald )STANLEY O 122 5.00    
7  STIMULUS CHECK Aug09 Nov16 Oct24 Oct09 Sep06 (iorio jr)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   08/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR ICE Aug10 Jul26 Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
2  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jul24 Jul11 Jun21 May24 Sep19 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  FLASHY TOO Jul22 Jun24 Mar11 Jan29 Nov25 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  MOLISE Aug01 Jul05 Jun12 May05 Sep07 (martin n)RIQUELME J 124 8.00    
5  MERINO WOOL Aug01 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 May24 (rojas e)STANLEY O 122 8.00    
6  AZTEC PRINCESS Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 May24 Mar22 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  SERENADE A KITTEN Apr21 Apr09 Mar09 Feb15 Dec26 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
8  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Aug01 Jul17 Jun20 Jun13 May16 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
 
PID-7   08/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Avery Whisman Memorial Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODIE GOOMER Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 Jun07 Oct25 (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 8.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
2  HUSH OF A STORM Jul25 Jul03 May28 May11 Mar18 (morey e)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
SCR  HE'S A MESS Aug18 Jul25 Jun06 Nov02 Oct25 (miller d)NO RIDER 120 6.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
4  NICE ACE Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 Oct23 Sep19 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 125 5.00 49% 1.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of A LADY WITH AN ACE by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  SURLY FURIOUS Aug06 Jul03 May06 Apr01 Mar11 (wismer g)GALLARDO A 118 2.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  FRANZ JOSEF Jul25 Jul03 Jun26 May29 Mar25 (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SILENT EMOTION by GHAZI)
7  FROSTED GRACE Jul08 May29 May05 Mar18 Feb25 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of CLASS by THUNDER GULCH)
 
PID-8   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAENA BUE Jul30 Jun21 Dec11 Nov13 Oct18 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
2  KRUSIN ROCKET Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 May06 Mar19 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
3  ASPLUNDER Aug10 Jul18 Jul05 Jun19 May30 (hayes leland)SPIETH S 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  ADIOS DINERO Jul29 Jun30 Jul23     (bennett gerald )STANLEY O 117 8.00    
5  UNCAPTURED LYON Jul11 Jun21 Jun06 May17 Mar15 (rini anthony)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
6  DONTINVADEMYSPACE Jul05 Jun06 May16 Sep20 Sep10 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 110 6.00 10% 8.90    
7  SPIRITED DEBATE Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May29 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  SUMMER BOSS Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May08 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  VELOCIMO Jul18 May30 May21 Apr19 Mar17 (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 117 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.