Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/5/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3/6)-(2/5/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5/6)-(2/3/4/5/6)-(2/3/4/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3/6)-(5/6/4)-(2/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(2/9/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(2/9/4/6)-(5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/6)-(2/9/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/9)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/6)-(5/1/2)-(2/8/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/8/5/1)-(4/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/8)-(3/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/1)-(4/8/7/3)-(1/6/8/11/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/3)-(4/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/8)-(1/5/6/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/3)-(1/6/8/11/5)-(6/4/8/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/6/8/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/11/5)-(1/6/8/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/8/11)-(1/5/6/8/11)-(1/5/6/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/6/8/11)-(1/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/11/5)-(6/4/8/1)-(9/6/12/1/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/8)-(1/3/6/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (9/6/12/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/12/1/3)-(9/6/12/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/12/1/3)-(9/6/12/1/3)-(9/6/12/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITRATE Jul20 Jun24 Oct18 Oct04 Sep17 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 10.00    
2  STRONG HEADED Aug04 Jul01 Jun11 May18 Oct16 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 57% 0.80    
3  ANTIPOISON Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 May29 Apr22 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PREFECT May12 Apr15 Mar25 Jan21 Jul01 (kirby t)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BATTALION Jan08 Nov14 Oct16 Sep30 Aug21 (klesar)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00 7% 13.40    
6  AMERICAN UNITY Jul03 Jun07 May25 May06 Jun24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MINT GAME Jul13 Jun02 May12 May05 Nov07 (magana j)ALVELO C 126 5.00    
8  FERMAT Jul21 Jun18 Jun02 May12 Nov07 (mcmullen maril)ROSADO JOHAN 123 50.00    
SCR  SHADY MUNNI Jul21 Jun09 May27 Apr13 Mar31 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80    
10  TIJUANA BRASS Jun09 Aug31 Aug09 Jul08   (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
11  WICKED MAD Jul21 Jun25 May28 Jan11 Nov24 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Aug05 Jul15 Jan28 Nov23 Oct27 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
 
LRL-2   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORIAN RIVIERA Jul22 Jul01 May31 May07 Apr27 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00    
2  ILLUSION OF HOPE Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 Dec29 Dec03 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
3  NEED A MARKER Jul22 Jul01 Apr16 Mar11 Feb17 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00    
4  ONE LAS OLAS Jun17 May28 May05 Mar19 Feb05 (robb j)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AWAY TO RETURN Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Jun26 Jun03 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.60 69% 0.50    
6  CHEM MAJOR Jul23 Jul01 Apr28 Mar24 Feb05 (carrascojr victo)CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD MY STETSON         (demario charl)ALVELO C 120 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of STAINLESS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  CLASSIC JOKE         (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CARAMEL CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  PURE REALIZATION Jul16 Jun04       (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 120 20.00    
  (by BROAD RULE out of PURE ANTICIPATION by PURE PRIZE)
4  WITHOUT PRETENCE         (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PONDER LEA by MORE THAN READY)
5  CHAT BLANC         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MAGNIFIQUE by LE FABULEUX)
6  LEGENDARY PHANTOM Jul16         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  CATALEYA STRIKE         (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 120 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EIFFEL TOWER by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  NEAT         (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
9  BELTANE Jul27         (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00 25% 2.90    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
10  BREAK THE CHAINS         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAID IN SILENCE by BERNSTEIN)
 
LRL-4   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSULTANT Jul13 Jun17 Nov07 Oct23 Oct14 (klesaris robert )CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  BEYOND THE PALE Jul06 Jun17 Sep18     (hodsdon daniel)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Jul30 Jun24 May27 Mar31 Mar11 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00    
SCR  WILLOW WOOD Jun17 May29 Feb15 Jan21 Dec24 (delacour ar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
5  RICCIO Jul08 Jun17 Mar18 Feb18 Dec30 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  REEL WELL Jun17 May31 May05 Oct29 May26 (mcdermott s)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
7  NORTHERN TICK TOCK Jul14 Jun04 May06 Nov04 Oct15 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
8  BONDED (IRE) Jul29 Jun04 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 118 10.00    
SCR  JARDANI Jul19 Jul03 May27 May05 Apr13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60    
 
LRL-5   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIA MIKE Jul27 May18 Apr29 Mar07 Feb22 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00 10% 8.90    
2  PARADISE PRIDE Jul27 Jul12 Jun26 Jun06 May10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  NORTHERN THUNDER Aug03 Jul21 Jun18 Jun04 May29 (mohan dav)HERNANDEZ F 123 50.00    
4  GRAN ANDREWS Jul14 Apr08 Feb26 Oct30 Sep30 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.00    
5  NEVER CHANGE Aug02 Jul14 Jun18 Jun09 May18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 6.00 12% 7.40    
6  SAVOY Aug03 Jun24 May13 May07 Apr15 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 20.00    
7  GALATIANS Jul21 Jun04 May18 Apr02 Feb19 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50    
8  VELVET GHOST Jul27 Jun04 May20 Apr29 Apr06 (corrales jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
LRL-6   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOO MANY KISSES Jul22 Jun16       (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 2.50    
2  TEA ROSE Jun04         (burdick barbara)MONTERREY R 121 6.00    
3  BANDONARUN         (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOVE MAMI LOVE Jun17 May06 Apr15 Mar02 Feb02 (joseph saff)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  ALWAYS FORWARD Jul30 Jul09 May27 Mar05 Feb12 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 121 50.00    
6  SMOKE N SIN Jul09 May27 May14 Apr07 Jan13 (mcclure dia)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 126 50.00    
7  LITTLE JOSIE WALES Jul21 Jul06 Jun04     (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 121 3.00 19% 4.40    
8  GOLDEN CHARM Jun16 Jun04       (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
9  MAGIC IN THE PARK         (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 121 15.00    
SCR  FLITTER Jul22         (vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 8.00    
11  BAY STREET         (voss kathar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 15.00    
 
LRL-7   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OLLY (IRE)         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  LA TRAVIESA Jul16 Jun02 May12 Nov19 Oct12 (matz r)CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
3  BRZINA Jul16 May28 May06 Apr16 Mar11 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
SCR  GIFT OF GAB Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 May27 Sep16 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00    
5  AWESOME JAZZ Jun25 Apr20 Oct28 Oct21 Sep17 (merryma)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAST LANI Jun25 May27 Oct28 Sep17 Aug25 (mcmahon hug)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
7  GOLDEN HEART Jul13 Jun10 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
8  DIVA READY Jul13 Nov24 Nov06 Aug19 Jul16 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
9  LOLA FLO Jun22 May18 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 123 4.50    
10  BITTY BOSS Jun25 Sep13 Aug19 Jun22 May14 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
11  NOBLE BELIEF Jul22         (dilodo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00 7% 13.40    
 
LRL-8   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUT FROM CLASS Jun25 Jun04 Apr28     (keil s)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Jul16 Jun23 May19 May06 Apr01 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 3.00    
3  CHARMING WAY Jul30 May20 Mar26 Mar03 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
4  ITALIAN DRESSING Jun23 May19 Apr14 Mar26 Mar03 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00 22% 3.50    
5  FLIRTATIOUS LASS Jul05 Jun02 May12 Nov20 Sep30 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
6  NORTHERN GLOW Jul16 Jun16       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 1.40 53% 0.90    
7  MAMA G'S WISH Jul16 Jun15 Jul06 Jun22 May25 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00    
8  MISS GEORGIE Jul21 Dec30 Nov12 Sep30 Sep04 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENNIE HIGHWAY Jul30 Jun23 Aug27 Jul29 Jul17 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 11% 8.20    
2  CHICA RABIOSA Aug05 Jul21 Jul05 Dec31 Dec17 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 30.00    
3  ANONYMOUSLY Jun04 May12 Jan28     (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHEKNOWSTHEDRILL Aug06 Jun24 May26 Mar18 Feb26 (parram )BRICENO GREGOR 119 50.00    
5  NIBBLES Jul27 Jun14 May28 May06 Apr06 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 123 20.00    
6  CONGRESS HALL Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 May26 May11 (mcfarlane b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
7  CUPIDS DREAM Jul07 Jun23 May11 Apr01 Mar18 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE Jul12 Jun05 May11 Apr08 Mar25 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 15.00    
9  PRUDENT SONG Jun11 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb08 (kirby t)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 1.80 33% 2.10    
SCR  MISS DILLINGHAM Jul10 Jun10 May29 May10 Apr05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60    
SCR  SWEET TALIA Jul23 Jun09 Apr30 Apr06 Mar19 (mcfarlane b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00    
12  INSTINCTIVE Aug04 Jun07 May11 Dec16 Nov06 (moore micha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.