Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(8/2/9/3/6)-(1/4/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/2/9/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6)-(8/2/9/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/9/3/6)-(1/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9/3/6)-(1/4/5)-(7/8/4/11/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/8/4/11/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/8/4/11/2)-(5/4/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/8/4/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/11/2)-(7/8/4/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/11/2)-(7/8/4/11/2)-(7/8/4/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/4/11/2)-(5/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/11/2)-(5/4/6/7)-(2/1/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(2/1/5/3)-(1/11/2/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(1/11/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/11/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/2/9/7)-(1/11/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/2/9/7)-(1/11/2/9/7)-(1/11/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROWWOOD Jul22 May25 Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 0.80 30% 2.30    
2  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Jul22 Jun10 May27 May18 Apr14 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
3  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jul22 Jul06 Jun19 May19 Apr21 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  BEST VIRGINIA Jul22 Jul06 May05 Apr13 Mar04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  SUPERSTASIA Apr28 Mar18 Feb25 Jan26 Jan12 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00    
6  MOIRAINE May25 Apr28 Apr13 Nov26 Oct27 (spriggs)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
 
CT-2   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRINGALE Jul21 Jun09 May13 Mar11 Jan26 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
2  GILLIGAN Jul21 Jul06 Jun17 May28 May13 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR May20 May06 Apr27 Apr14 Apr01 (pennella rh)ESQUILIN J 122 30.00    
SCR  BIG HAMBONE Jun18 May13 Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
5  MY MIRACLE MAN Jul15 Jun15 May18 Apr14 Mar11 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 2.50    
6  TOUGH TO TAME Jul21 Jun24 Jun02 Feb24 Feb11 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  WE B SHACKIN Jul21 Jun15 May13 May06 Apr01 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA J 110 4.50    
 
CT-3   08/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERY VENUS Jul22 Jul01 Aug12 Jul22   (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 6.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SAFE AT FIRST by HONOUR AND GLORY)
2  XTENDED STREAK Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May19 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
3  PALACIO         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DESERT DAYLIGHT by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
4  LAURA'S GRAND Jul24 Jun02 May20 Apr28 Apr07 (pyke joseph)MARRERO CARLOS 124 20.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of GRAND NAJMAH by GRAND REWARD)
5  TAPTAP Jul24 Jun02 May20 Apr28 Apr07 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  PLAYING FOR TWO Jul27 Jan06       (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LET'S PLAY TWO by GRAND SLAM)
7  CAJUN CASHEW Jul22         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
  (by MR. PRANKSTER out of SOFIE S by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
8  SCARLET REBEL Jul22         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RED HOT DIVA by DEVON DEPUTY)
9  OPPO TACO Jun10 May11       (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 7% 12.90    
  (by BANDBOX out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
10  BIT OF BLESSINGS Jul31 Jul22       (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
 
CT-4   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROMATIC LASS Jul01 Jun01 May12 Mar10 Jan19 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 1.20 65% 0.50    
2  MUSIC LASS Jul29 Jun30 May12 Apr29 Dec17 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
3  ST MAARTEN GIRL Aug05 Jul14 May13 Apr15 Mar30 (gazzier kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
4  HESSICA Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 May04 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.80 13% 6.80    
5  AIM'S JUBILEE Jul27 Jul07 Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 (reggetts stephe)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WICKED SAUCY Jul20 May27 May18 Apr27 Apr15 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
 
CT-5   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATERLOO ROSE Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 Jun15 Dec10 (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
2  SO RED THE ROSE Jul22 Jul01 Jun15 Jun10 May20 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOCA BIRDIE Jul22 Jun23 May12 Apr28 Mar31 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
4  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Feb23 Jan21 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 10% 8.70    
5  UPSY DAISY DO Jun15 May20 Apr13 Mar02 Jan13 (aylor w)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
6  MOJO MATTERS Jul22 Jul14 Jun15 Apr13 Mar30 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00    
7  STYLISH PAINT May25 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 52% 0.90    
8  URKILLINGMEBETH May21 Apr30 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
9  FONDA ROMANA Mar02 Jan13 Oct22 Sep10 Sep01 (hummer richa)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
10  CHANNEL SCENT Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 (sewell l)CECIL Y 122 12.00    
11  LIFE IN FLASH May20 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 (harting chris)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE SURPRISE Jul08 Jun10 May05 Aug06 Jun09 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
2  LACE REVOLUTION Jul22 Jun10 May05 Mar02 Feb09 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
3  OCEAN LILLY Jul22 Jun11 Apr15 Jan19 Jan07 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
4  MOONLIT SHADOW Jul20 Jun17 May13 Apr15 Feb25 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  HAPPY CLOUDS Jul21 Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 Mar18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 49% 1.10    
6  BABY MAN Jul22 Jun10 May05 Feb24 Jan12 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 8% 11.70    
7  AZZURRA Jul22 Jun17 May05 Apr15 Jan18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TUNSTALL Jul16 Jun18 May02 Nov23 Nov01 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BOP Jul01 Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr01 (craig e)HO WESLEY 116 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  JUBA'S PARADE Jul29 Jun23 Jun01 Nov19 Oct29 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 0.60 33% 2.10    
3  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  PRINCESS HALO Jul28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun24 (craig lewis)ESQUILIN J 120 30.00    
5  JUMPIN JACK BRASS Jul14 Jun02 Feb24 Jan06   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  SILVER RULES Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Nov11 Oct20 (kopecki)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
7  PHILMARY CASTLE Jul01 May26 Mar24 Jan20 Nov18 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
8  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 May25 May11 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
 
CT-8   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKETABILITY Mar17 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
2  EMMA AND I Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 Nov23 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 112 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  SHERIFF'S KID Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May27 Apr15 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
4  SALTY SAUL Jul13 Jun16 May06 Apr14 Mar04 (jones micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00    
5  CICI UNIFIED Jul22 Jul13 May02 Apr07 Mar20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
6  WEST VIRGINIA PAM Jul22 May14 May05 Jan05 Dec03 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
7  MISS WILD Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May25 Feb11 (hillega)NAVARRO J 120 12.00    
9  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Jul13 Jun17 May06 Apr21 Mar30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  ONEPRETTYTHING Jul22 Jul01 Jun06 May21 Apr29 (smith o)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
11  FLAT DISCOUNT Jul29 Jun24 Jun09 May26 May10 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.