Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (7/4/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/8/5)-(7/4/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/8/5)-(7/4/2/8/5)-(7/4/2/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/2/8/5)-(10/3/11/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/8/5)-(10/3/11/7/6)-(7/1/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-2   WIN (10/3/11/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/11/7/6)-(10/3/11/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/11/7/6)-(10/3/11/7/6)-(10/3/11/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/11/7/6)-(7/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/11/7/6)-(7/1/6/2)-(2/4/11/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-3   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/2)-(2/4/11/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/2)-(2/4/11/8/10)-(4/1/5/9/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-4   WIN (2/4/11/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/11/8/10)-(2/4/11/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/11/8/10)-(2/4/11/8/10)-(2/4/11/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/11/8/10)-(4/1/5/9/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/4/11/8/10)-(4/1/5/9/10)-(3/9/2/10/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-5   WIN (4/1/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/9/10)-(4/1/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/9/10)-(4/1/5/9/10)-(4/1/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/9/10)-(3/9/2/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/9/10)-(3/9/2/10/6)-(3/7/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (3/9/2/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/10/6)-(3/9/2/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/10/6)-(3/9/2/10/6)-(3/9/2/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/2/10/6)-(3/7/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/10/6)-(3/7/8/2)-(7/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/2)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/2)-(7/4/3)-(2/7/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-8   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE CITY GIRL Jun29 Jun10 May28 Feb24 Feb03 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
2  SWEET SASSICAIA Jul27 Jul15 Jun11 Jun02 May11 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 115 4.50 15% 5.80    
3  RAISE THE PRAISE Jul21 Jun24 May20 Apr19 Feb12 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
4  COPPER MOON Jul29 Jun29 May20 Apr22 Mar12 (richards c)MARQUEZ L 115 3.00 17% 4.90    
5  RUMPUS Jul21 Jun18 Apr30 Apr08 Mar26 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MRS. NECAISE May25 Apr12 Mar15 Feb12 Jan14 (ladner herman)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
7  TWO JET Jul20 Jul08 Jun01 May10 Apr12 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  ZINASDESTINYVIRAGO Jun18 May27 Nov07 Nov02 Sep28 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 10% 9.40    
9  MISS G G Jun23 May27 Apr26 Jan05 Dec15 (terre david)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
SCR  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Jul29 Jun25 Jun02 May12 Mar18 (broberg karl)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
11  TARGET VISION Apr22 Feb20 Jan29 Sep10 Aug21 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 120 20.00    
SCR  CAJUN GUMBOW Jun29 May26 Mar22 Oct14 Aug26 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 110 3.00    
SCR  A RUNNIN AFLEET Jul20 May26 Mar15 Feb04 Dec22 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 115 6.00    
 
EVD-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALAXY BUILDER Jul20 Jun22 Jun01 Apr08 Mar03 (pomier chasey)VARGAS P 115 3.00    
2  ADIEU LE CHAT Jul08 Jun10 Feb16 Jan29 Jan01 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
3  WAR SONG Jul14 Jun16 Oct05 Aug24 Jul30 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 110 4.50 15% 5.50    
4  TRAELEE Jul08 Jun23 May26 Apr28 Feb16 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 20.00    
5  LT. BONURA Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 May12 Apr22 (richards c)MARQUEZ L 115 15.00    
6  PRAY IDE SING Jul20 Jun24 Jun01 May12 Apr22 (sanche)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  COACH KENNY Jul27 Jun23 May20 Apr20 Mar25 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  REECE'S PRIORITY Jun01 May07 Jan12 Dec19 Dec10 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
SCR  CLEAR HUMOR May18 Apr22 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 (constantine caro)ROSIER R 118 8.00    
10  TANGO CHARLIE Jul01 Apr29 Feb23 Jan05 Dec10 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 55% 0.80    
11  OVERDELIVER Nov05 Oct22 Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 (cox l)STOKES A 118 12.00 8% 11.60    
 
EVD-3   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE VISION Jul27 Jun23 May27 May06 Apr07 (giangrosso russ)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  DR STRICKLANDS ACE Jul22         (averett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 8.00 5% 18.50    
3  BLACK ACE Jul08 May18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar24 (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 4.50    
4  JUST A WIN Jul28 Jul06 May27 May03 Apr15 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 6.00    
5  FOLLOW THROUGH Jun29 Apr28 Jan20     (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 12.00    
6  HIGH ARABIAN Jun24 May27 Apr30 Apr12 Mar25 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 4.00 10% 9.40    
7  CANT ATTACK ARCH Jul08 Jun24 Aug07     (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
8  JUST ANOTHER WIN Jul08 May19 Apr27 Feb12 Jan14 (woodley j)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
 
EVD-4   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHELSEA'S GLORY Jul28 Apr20 Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
2  HOLIDAY RUN Jul27 Jul08 Jun04 May18 Apr07 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  TRUVY'S BANDIT Jul28 Jul14 Jun23     (averett ronni)VARGAS P 115 15.00    
4  WICKED TOUGH Jul13 Jun17 May13 Apr14 Feb16 (west henry)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  ROCKY BOY         (escobar a)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 20.00    
6  HALF CRAZY Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May10 Apr27 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 115 5.00    
7  MINE YOUR BIZ Jul28 Jun30 May26 Mar22 Mar12 (peterson j)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
8  ALWAYS LOGAN Jul15 Jun10 Apr20 Dec29 Nov16 (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PALLATON Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 Feb28   (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
10  HOLIDAY FOREVER         (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  CHIPEEE Jul27 Jun30 May10 Apr13 Feb21 (prejean)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 6.00 11% 8.40    
12  WILDCATS'S MEOW Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Apr20 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
 
EVD-5   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL INDIVIDUAL Jul06 May20 May03 Apr15 Feb16 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 115 12.00 10% 8.70    
2  BELLO CREEDO Jul28 Jul08 Jun12 May20 Apr26 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 6.00    
3  IZZY'S BABY BOY Aug03 Jul22 Jul01 May19 Apr29 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 3.00    
4  CHIEF CHARLIE Jul07 May20 Apr20 Feb18 Jan11 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  MIAS MOONBEAM Jul06 Jun22 May25 May03 Mar22 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
6  I'M D'CAT Jul06 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Feb16 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 5.00    
7  COLONIST Jun29 Jun15 Apr20 Mar12 Feb19 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 118 20.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jun25 Jun04 May27 May11 Apr29 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00    
9  COMPLEX SYSTEM Jul22 Jul01 Mar03 Jan20 Jun26 (peterson j)ALBERT S 113 20.00 8% 12.10    
10  EAST LEX Jun29 May25 May06 Mar08 Jan26 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-6   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM OF CARLOS Jul07 May04 Jan06 Dec08   (peterson j)ALBERT S 118 20.00    
2  PALANTE Jul29 Jul07 May19 Apr29 Jun30 (woodley j)POMPELL L 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
3  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Jul22 Jul06 Jun24 May22 May05 (cormier houston)STOKES J 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 Jun02 May04 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
5  THA ILLEST DEAL Jun02 Apr29 Feb23     (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 15.00    
6  FRIEND'S DO CARE Jul21 Jul07 May26 May13 Apr28 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00 8% 12.30    
7  CARLOS'S MAMA Jun22 May10 Apr08 Feb22 Dec20 (bernard john)STOKES A 118 15.00    
SCR  BERNIE SPECIAL Jul22 Jun02 Apr29 Jan06 Dec01 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
9  RAZZ Jul29 Jul06 Jun15 May13 Apr19 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
10  CUSTOM PRAYER Jun15 May18 Mar11 Feb16 Jun25 (ladner ra)THORNTON G 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
11  STRAY CAT STRUT Jul28 Jul14 May05     (averett ronn)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
12  ST JOE Jul07 Jun09 May26 May10 Apr27 (stemmans don)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May19 Apr27 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 8.00    
SCR  JACKIE MOON Jul29 Jul07 Jun02 May19 May05 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
 
EVD-7   08/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANCH WATER Jul21 Apr28 Mar26 Feb22 Feb04 (landry allen)MAGNON H 118 10.00    
2  THE BOSS SOSS Jul21 Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 Mar26 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.50 10% 8.70    
3  CREEKSIDE Jun03 May10 Mar11 Feb10 Jan05 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  CALICOCO Jul03 May22 Mar23 Feb24 Feb05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
5  TACTICAL VISION Jun15 May20 Apr27     (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00    
6  Z'S GUITAR Jun30 Jun03 May18 Apr28   (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
7  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Jul27 Jul15 Jun17 May26 Feb16 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  MANLY DEEDS Jun30 Feb25 Jan27 Jan13   (chatters benard)ROSIER R 118 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
EVD-8   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHINE GUN MAN Jul01 Jun02 May06 Apr08 Mar16 (sanchez c)THORNTON G 115 4.00    
2  BAYOU JAM Jul08 Jun09 May13 Apr26 Mar26 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 115 15.00    
3  COSMIC TRAIN Jun23 May19 May05 Mar26 Mar12 (delhomme jerry)MELANCON G 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  STRONG EAGLE Jul01 May25 May05 Apr08 Feb25 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GLUCKSTADT Jul29 Jun24 May25 Apr22 Mar12 (sanchez juan)NIEVES EMANUEL 113 8.00    
6  BALLINONABUDJET Jul22 May19 Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 115 3.00    
7  RIGHTANDJUST Jul10 May27 Apr08 Mar02 Jan26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
 
EVD-9   08/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLIDAY FLOWERS Jun19 May28       (ingram steve)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of FLOWERSFORLADY by FLOWER ALLEY)
2  GRACE HAZEL Jul07 May19 Apr15 Mar09   (terre david)THORNTON G 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MANDY D by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
3  DELTA NIGHTS         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 6.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of PROM by FESTIVAL OF LIGHT (GB))
4  EASY ACES Jul20 Jun30 May11 Mar10 Jan27 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of EASY LIMIT by STORM CAT)
5  TAP IRON FIST Jul20 May18 Apr15 Feb12 Jan13 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
6  PORTO DEL ACE Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 May19 May06 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 9% 10.30    
  (by HARD ACES out of FRANCESCA DEL PORT by PORTO FORICOS)
7  SWEET ALEXIS Jul07 Jun23 Mar25 Feb24 Feb09 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 118 4.00 11% 8.50    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SWEET CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  REINE LE FER         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of REINE DES ANIMAUX by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.