Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/6/4)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(4/1/2)-(5/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(5/1/6)-(3/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(7/2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/6)-(7/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/6)-(7/2/4/3)-(6/8/5/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/3)-(6/8/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/8/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/3/7)-(6/8/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/3/7)-(6/8/5/3/7)-(6/8/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC STORM May14 Mar23 Feb10 Jan28 Oct14 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00    
2  JUDY'S MS. OFFICER Jul12 Jun14 Jun08 May04 Mar30 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
3  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Jul20 Jun22 Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
4  STORMY EMPIRE Jun01 May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50    
5  KITTY MACLEAN Jul12 Jun21 May02 Mar25 Aug21 (granitz a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  RUNNERS HEAT Jul16 Jun22 Jun11 May18 Apr27 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
 
HAW-2   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAD'S FLASH Jul13 Jun14 May28 Apr13 Mar26 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 6.00    
2  BOURBON SPIRIT Jul13 Oct12 Aug27 Jul16   (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 1.60 71% 0.40    
SCR  BALADINE Jul13 Jun15 May31 May14 Apr13 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
4  MAD DRAGON Jul30 Jun25 May25     (bigelow ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TABLE MONEY Jul13 Jun07 May06 Apr16 Mar25 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00    
6  GALLANT BUCK Jul13 Jun07 May11 Feb17 Jan06 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 7% 14.30    
 
HAW-3   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD SECRET Jul26 Jul05 May28 May04 Apr18 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  KENNESAW Jul16 Jul05 Jun22 May21 Apr06 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  D'ARCHER Jul16 Jun18 May11 Apr06 Mar05 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00    
4  NYOMAN Jul05 Jun18 May31 May09 Mar23 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 55% 0.80    
5  Z U SOON Jul26 Jun18 Jun04 May09 Apr23 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
SCR  HURTS SO BAD Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 May28 Apr16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
SCR  JACK VAN BERG Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 Apr30 Apr09 (scalcione )SIMPSON M 122 3.50    
 
HAW-4   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVE IT BABY Jun22 Jun08 Sep08 Jul26   (rivelli larry)FELIX E 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  SUNSET PAYNTER Jul20 Jun08 May05 Apr22 Mar25 (knott nan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50    
3  FROSTED ECLAIR Jul30 May31 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
SCR  LADA KALINA Jul29 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May11 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 118 4.00    
5  SLEEPY CAT May11 Apr09       (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  MAGNA MASSA Jul12 Jun22 May27 May03 Apr02 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 5.00 18% 4.40    
7  HEAVENLY SCENT Jul20 Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
HAW-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S SOLUTION Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 May28 May11 (rednour j)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
2  EL MUCHO Dec30 Dec10 Nov19     (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 10.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of LEFTY'S LEGACY by CHICAGO SIX)
3  LONE RETURN         (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 120 6.00 38% 1.60    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
4  GOD GUNS N GUTS Jul13 Jun17       (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 3.00 14% 6.10    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
5  FLYING CRICKET Jul30 Jul06 Jun07 May07 Mar26 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
6  SAWYER FOX Dec10         (catalano m)MOJICA O 120 4.00 7% 13.60    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ONE OTHER THAN by FORESTRY)
7  ROCKET MAN ATTACK Jul06 Jun18 May25 May04 Apr13 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ICE PELLET by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
HAW-6   08/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA BOY Jul13 Jun14 May25 Apr06 Mar04 (winebaugh cheryl)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
2  MOMENT Jul23 Jun21 Jun11 May18 Apr27 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
3  MILLARD'S SMILE Jul19 Jun22 Jun04 May26 May14 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COALMINER'S KITTEN Jul16 Apr20 Apr01 Feb08 Jan12 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JEFF THE LION Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr20 Mar30 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
6  SOUL COAXING Jun22 Jun01 May11 Jan28 Dec29 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00    
7  GUN RUSH Jul12 Jun21 May31 May14 Apr27 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
 
HAW-7   08/06/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODIFIER Jul23 Jul06 Jun14 Jun04 May18 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 122 30.00    
2  STAR NATION Jul20 Jun18 May28 Apr13 Mar05 (spagnola i)WEATHERLY BAILEY 108 15.00    
3  VITALE Jul20 Jun21 May21 Apr15 Mar02 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAKENEKO Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May21 Apr20 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
5  MCMONEY Jul18 Jun18 May28 Apr21 Mar15 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 7% 13.40    
6  SIMPLE LOGIC Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Oct07 Sep07 (block chris)COLON H 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
7  ANDREW THE GIANT Jun21 Jun04 Mar23 Dec31 Dec18 (ross brad)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Jun25 May21 Apr07     (block chris)MOJICA O 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
9  COMING UP ACES Jul23 Jun21 May14 Apr27 Mar19 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
10  RUSSIAN HAMMER Jul16 Jun25 May28 May04 Apr23 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00    
SCR  BEEALEA Jul23 Jun25 Jun08 Jun01 May14 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.