Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (2/1/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/6/3)-(2/1/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/6/3)-(2/1/8/6/3)-(2/1/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/6/3)-(8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/6/3)-(8/4/3/5)-(6/5/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (8/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/5)-(6/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/5)-(6/5/4/1)-(1/8/9/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-3   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(1/8/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/1)-(1/8/9/7/6)-(10/9/7/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-4   WIN (1/8/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/7/6)-(1/8/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/7/6)-(1/8/9/7/6)-(1/8/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/9/7/6)-(10/9/7/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9/7/6)-(10/9/7/1/3)-(6/8/2/12/14) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-5   WIN (10/9/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/7/1/3)-(10/9/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/7/1/3)-(10/9/7/1/3)-(10/9/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/7/1/3)-(6/8/2/12/14) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/9/7/1/3)-(6/8/2/12/14)-(10/5/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (6/8/2/12/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/12/14)-(6/8/2/12/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/12/14)-(6/8/2/12/14)-(6/8/2/12/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/2/12/14)-(10/5/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/12/14)-(10/5/4/9)-(2/7/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (10/5/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/9)-(10/5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/9)-(10/5/4/9)-(10/5/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/4/9)-(2/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/5/4/9)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/9/6/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/8)-(2/9/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/9/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/3/5)-(2/9/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/3/5)-(2/9/6/3/5)-(2/9/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERCI Jul15 Jun10 May20 May05 Sep24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
MONARCH MAN Jul15 Jun25 May03 Mar02 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Jun25 Jun11 May05 Oct19 Sep24 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
TENSAS ALL OURS Jul22 Jun22 May18 Dec01 Nov09 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 115 15.00    
ZULTAN Jul15 Jun12 May19 Oct15 Jul15 (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
CRIMSON STORM Jul07 Jun11 Apr26 Mar24 Feb22 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG ACE Jun02 May05 Jan27 Dec09 Oct26 (richard c)STOKES J 120 20.00    
SCORING DRIVE Jul07 Jun23 May20 Apr21 Apr12 (richard)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
MOR BIG LEE Jul14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb22 Feb04 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
10  CHICKEN TRUCK Jul08 May19 Apr29 Apr08 Feb23 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 5.00    
SCR  F J'S GEM Apr22 Apr14 Mar05 Feb16 Jan27 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 10.00    
 
EVD-2   08/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B W P SPECIAL Jun30 Jun10 Apr29 Apr15 Feb11 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
LIKEN IT Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 May13 Apr28 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 8.00    
IN THE ARCH Jul22 Jun30 May18 Apr21 Feb11 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 113 2.00 12% 7.20    
MARKITOFF Mar10 Feb22 Jan11 Jan01 Dec16 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
GOLDEN PALACE Jun30 Jun09 May04 Apr20 Mar18 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 5.00 6% 14.60    
OVERTAXED Jul21 Jun04 Apr07 Oct26 Sep21 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00    
TURN ON THE MAGIC Jul23 May21 May08 Apr14 Mar24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Jul13 Jun10 May27 Apr29 Mar16 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 115 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
EVD-3   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEAUX VOTE Jul21 May29 May12 Jan21 Dec20 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
AVENDORE Jul07 Jun17 Apr26 Feb24 Feb01 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 10.00    
CALIFORNIA CALI Jun23 May27 Apr26 Feb10 Jan21 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 4.50    
HONEST ANGUS Jul07 Jun17 May26 May05 Mar19 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00 12% 7.10    
TOLATETOOWAIT Jul21 Jun23 May20 Apr15 Feb28 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
PLANTS AND BIRDS Jul07 May20 Apr26 Mar03 Jan29 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  VIEWING TRAIL Jul07 Jun10 May29 Feb25 Dec10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
LUCKY HARBORAGE Jul21 Jul01 Jun08     (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
 
EVD-4   08/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTS OF TIME Jun10 May26 Apr28 Apr14 Jan25 (ramirez edu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.20 47% 1.10    
CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB) Jun17 May08 Mar10 Feb23 Feb09 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 20.00    
PERFECT PERIGEE Jul14 Jun19 May29 May07 Jan01 (richards cora)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
QUANA DUDE Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May12 Apr22 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
GRAND PRADO Jul14 May26 Apr15 Feb16 Dec28 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
IRISH EXPECTATIONS Jun23 Jun10 May28 May05 Mar18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GENIUS Jul20 Jun16 May26 Apr29 Apr14 (pomier ch)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
BUNKIE'S SONG Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May18 Apr21 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.00 19% 4.10    
GALLANT STAR Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 Jun03 May22 (husak gary)MARQUEZ L 117 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
EVD-5   08/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKROLL Jul23 May21 Apr22 Mar26 Mar02 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 8.00 9% 9.60    
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 May21 Apr29 (husak gary )MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
MUCHO MARVIN Jul14 Jun16 May11 Apr21 Mar15 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
AFLEET ASCENT Jul22 Jun29 May29 May04 Mar04 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 120 4.50    
MR. PRIORITY Jun03 May22 May07 Apr21 Mar15 (husak j)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 12.00    
MAD GOLD Jul08 Jun15 May11 Apr14 Feb23 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
RAP ARTIST May29 May06 Mar23 Jul23   (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00 12% 7.60    
CHIMNEY ROCK May26 Mar15 Jan27 Jan04 Nov23 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
M AND M'S CUSTOM Jul22 Jun15 May19 Apr15 Feb28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
10  FIREINTHESTORM Jun22 May26 Sep25 Sep13 Aug30 (thomas lee)STOKES J 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
11  MIDNIGHT BAYOU Jul20 Oct14 Jun25 May20 Mar20 (zeno benjamin)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
SCR  TRIPPER JOHN Jul14 Jun18 May28 May06 Jan20 (lorefi)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
 
EVD-6   08/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE LINE RULER Jun16         (castille carrol)MELANCON G 118 15.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of SHEZA ROMAN RULER by ROMAN RULER)
LIGHTOFMAINE         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PONTIANA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
DARK SKYER Jul14         (richards cora)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELIEVEINSOMETHING by ETBAUER)
COAL DANCER         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DANCE TILL TWO by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Jul14 Jun16       (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
BUCKSKIN JERRY Jul14         (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BUCKSKIN DOLL by DIXIE UNION)
COSTA LADY         (boxie jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 12.00    
  (by COSTA RISING out of AKIANE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MY IDEA         (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SILLY IDEA by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  STORMY COUNTRY DAY         (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 12.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of ZARBA'S PRODUCTION by RUN PRODUCTION)
10  C C LLAM Jun03 May13       (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 118 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
11  ASTROLOGY GIRL Jul07         (ali a)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SPICY ABBY by WITH DISTINCTION)
12  JAYDYN CAT Jul07 Jun03       (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of NO FAIRY TALE by IDE)
SCR  STEEL GUITAR         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
14  STAND BY TIME         (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of ARKANSAS ALLEY by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  DISCREET DEAL         (reeves a)ROSIER R 118 20.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of DISCREET CONTEST by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
EVD-7   08/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPISTAR Jul15 May14 Apr16 Mar15   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
OCELOT Jun17 Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 Feb24 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50    
MUFFIN NUTS Jul21 Jul01 Jun23 May20 Apr26 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 115 20.00    
TOUCHDOWN JOE Jul13 Jun23 May20 Apr21 Mar03 (noel dane)VARGAS P 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
TAMBOURINE STAR Jul14 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAX MAN Jul15 Feb02 Dec10 Aug04 Jun04 (david b)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
PLAY MO Jun23 Jun11 May19 May03 Feb20 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 115 3.00    
PAYNT BATTLE Jul07 Jun19 May28 May03 Apr08 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
IBERIAN RUNNER Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 Jun02 May21 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  DEER CROSSING Jul13 Jun03 Apr12 Mar16 Feb10 (delhomme)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  CHARLI MICHAEL Jul03 Jun16 May03 Apr15 Mar16 (terre david)ROSIER R 115 20.00    
 
EVD-8   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCAKE Jun29 Jun10 Apr28 Feb17 Dec16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 10.00    
MAESTRIA Jul04 Apr27 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  GOLDEN SMILES Jun17 May28 Apr19 Jan19 Dec01 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 118 6.00    
AKIANE'S SOLDIER Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 Nov02 Aug20 (boxie s)STOKES A 118 20.00    
BLESSED ASSURANCE Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Apr15 (dison m)POMPELL L 115 12.00 14% 6.40    
BOX OF PICTURES Jun04 Mar18 Feb17 Jan28 Jan16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.00    
COUNTRY LADY Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar08 Feb10 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 113 2.50 28% 2.50    
SIENNA BREEZE Jun10 May13 Apr27 Apr19 Mar18 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-9   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCARD GOLD Jun15 Apr26 Apr13 Feb28 Feb01 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
SHADY STAR Jul15 May05 Apr01 Feb18 Nov20 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
LITTLE STAR TARGET Jul13 Nov10 Oct08 Aug11   (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 15.00 6% 15.80    
PLENTY OF CENTS Jul13 May28 May15 Feb18 Jan11 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 10.00    
PAYOFF CYCLE Jul13 Jun22 May11 Apr13 Mar10 (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEPUTY KNIGHT Jul08 Jun23 May30 May21 Apr26 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 14% 6.10    
R T'S D'ORO Jun15 May10 Apr14 Mar04 Feb11 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 115 3.00    
WHEELS TURNING Jun09 May19 Apr26 Feb22 Jan25 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 12.00    
IDE LIKE HAWAII Jul22 Jun09 May19 Apr27 Apr08 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 115 6.00 21% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.