Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (2/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6)-(2/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/6)-(7/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CBY-2   WIN (7/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/8)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/8)-(3/5/2)-(5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/3/2)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CBY-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/4/7/5)-(5/1/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-6   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(5/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CBY-7   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDOW SHAKER Jun10 May19 Oct29 Oct12 Sep29 (bedford kat)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 15.00    
LYRICAL Jun24 May29 Apr30 Apr14 Apr02 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
ATLANTIC PRINCESS May29 May02 Apr08 Feb15 Jan31 (kenney ryan)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
ROYAL BONUS Jul08 Jun24 May21 Apr28 Apr15 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.00    
BEBOP BABY Jul01 Jun11 May18 Mar10 Feb20 (roberts blai)MURRAY M 124 10.00    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Jun21 May05 Apr15 Apr01 Mar05 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 9% 10.70    
CELTICS WILDCAT Jul08 Jun21 Jun10 May05 Apr22 (donlin larry )SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 11% 8.10    
 
CBY-2   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUND JORDAN Jun24 May29 Jun15 Jun01   (peters vi)ULLOA JOAN 124 15.00    
  (by KELA out of ONE WON ELEVEN by EMAILIT)
TOTAL SURPRISE Jul01 Jun17 May28 Sep17 Sep01 (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of AMBUSHER by RAHY)
LL'S CLASSY DUDE Jun24 Jun04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug24 (mckinley fran)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
  (by CLASSY GENT out of ANDREA'S JOSIE by ALKE)
RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN Jul03 Jun17       (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 4.50 5% 17.50    
  (by LEA out of SUPREME MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
MR INSENSITIVE Jul09 Jun24 Jun04 Sep10 Aug18 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 4.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of BLUE GARTER by U S RANGER)
TAHKODHA KNIGHT Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Sep15 Sep08 (hanson vic)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00    
  (by SHEER TRICK out of TAHKODHA QUEEN by TAHKODHA HILLS)
REJECTION HURTS Jun24 Jun11 May11     (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LOVE THE BREEDING by HENNY HUGHES)
POSITIVE PETEY Jul09 Jul01       (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SARIE MARAIS by UNBRIDLED)
 
CBY-3   07/19/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT JOY         (rosin )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
LIL SASSY JONES         (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 5.00 7% 13.50    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SMOKEN DREAMS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
CLOUDLESS BLUE         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of SUBTLE SPLENDOR by POLITICAL FORCE)
SASSY MAMA Jul09         (bethke tro)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SASSY MOLLY by MINESHAFT)
ON SPEED DIAL         (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 118 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of THIGH HIGH BOOTS by STORM BOOT)
NORTHERN ANGEL         (rosin w)WADE LYNDIE 118 4.50    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of ANGEL IN LACE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
CBY-4   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S SISTER Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 Oct27 Sep19 (bedford katli)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
HURRICAIN HUNTER Jul01 Jun14 Mar26 Mar08 Jan09 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
BADGER KITTEN Jun25 Jun03 Aug24 Jul30 Jul17 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
A THOUSAND DREAMS Jul03 May05 Apr08 Feb01 Jan14 (rarick wade)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 5.00    
LOCK IT DOWN Jun24 Jun07 Oct22 Sep14 Aug04 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
 
CBY-5   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HI HO CHEERIO Jun21 May01 Mar27 Mar05 Feb19 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.80 63% 0.60    
BOTANY Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 Mar16 Mar02 (litfin nevad)FUENTES A 124 4.50    
DILLON ROCKS Jul03 Jun03 Dec13 Nov21 Sep23 (gutierrez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
I WILL STAND         (riecken b)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
COCO BRAVADO Jul01 Jun10 May20 Jan15 Jan07 (arnett g)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00    
CANNONBALL COMIN Jul03 May06 Mar20 Mar08 Feb25 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.00    
 
CBY-6   07/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'TNOSWEETIE Jul01 Mar30 Mar10 Feb20 Jan29 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00    
TANTIMA Jul08 Jun24 Nov15 Oct22 Sep14 (biehler mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50    
JEWEL AZUL Jul08 Jun24 May27 Apr19 Mar26 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 57% 0.70    
WITHHERBOOTSON Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 Oct13 Oct06 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
GIVE EM SHADE Jul02 Jun24 May27 May14 Apr30 (smith geo)ULLOA JOAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BALIMOS Jul02 Jun04 May04 Dec16 Dec02 (rosin w)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
DURA THE EXPLORER Jun24 May27 May05 Apr05 Mar05 (carmichael mi)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BARBARA ROHLOFF Jul08 Jun11 May27 Dec02 Oct29 (rosin cot)VALENZUELA A 119 5.00    
 
CBY-7   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED TWISTER Jun28 Jun07 Apr22 Mar04 Feb03 (richard chris)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
KIRA FEVER Jun17 May29 May02 Apr19 Mar11 (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 18% 4.50    
MISS MAC MAC May27 Sep03       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 3.50    
ARTISTIC VISION Jun21 Apr26 Apr11 Jan16 Dec17 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT SARENA Jul01 Jun11 Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
SAILING ALONG Jun28 May05 Mar25 Mar17 Dec16 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Jun21 Apr24 Apr03 Jan27 Jan08 (silva migu)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.