Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(1/4/6)-(5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/7/1)-(7/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(7/6/5)-(9/6/8/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(9/6/8/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(9/6/8/4/7)-(3/1/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/6/8/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/4/7)-(9/6/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/4/7)-(9/6/8/4/7)-(9/6/8/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/8/4/7)-(3/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/4/7)-(3/1/6)-(1/5/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/5/3/2)-(6/10/4/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(6/10/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/10/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/2/1)-(6/10/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/2/1)-(6/10/4/2/1)-(6/10/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY CASTLE Jun01 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
2  VIESTE Jun23 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02   (schiano-dicola )BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
3  JUNIPER GRACE Nov24         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  MIRACLE SONDE         (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 8.00 14% 6.40    
5  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jun17 Jun01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.00 23% 3.40    
6  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Jun17 May25 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 (bowman d)ADAMS L 115 10.00    
7  JUST ASK ME Jun17 Sep28 Sep07 Jun02 May12 (william)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 18.30    
 
CT-2   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACCACI Jun17 May27 May06 Feb23 Feb04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 0.60 64% 0.60    
2  BESTLA Jun01 May11 Mar17 Mar04 Jan07 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
3  CURLIN'S DOVE Jun17 May27 May06 Apr06 Nov17 (sterling michae)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50    
4  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jun17 May27 May06 Apr20 Mar31 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Jun17 May06 Mar30 Mar04 Feb11 (jones micha)ESQUILIN J 120 8.00    
6  HOVEL Jun09 May12 Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 108 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOICE OF NOW Jun09 May05 Mar23 Dec10 Nov19 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 10.00 7% 14.20    
2  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Jun22 May27 Apr14 Mar11 Feb25 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
SCR  CAIRO BREEZE Jun09 May19 Apr22 Mar03   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 0.60    
4  SMOKIN SMITTY Jun22         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
5  TAP SECRET         (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  GAMMA SQUEEZE Jun22         (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
7  MR MAJESTIC Jun22 May27 May04 Feb25 Feb08 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 30% 2.40    
8  DANNY'S WINKSTER Jun22 May04 Apr28 Mar02 Feb11 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
 
CT-4   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR'S ESTATE Jun20 May20 Mar10 Feb02 Jan12 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00    
2  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jun02 Apr14 Feb22 Feb02 Oct29 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
SCR  HE'S ON THE LINE May20 May14 Mar16     (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
4  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 Mar10 Feb17 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 116 5.00    
5  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Jun17 Jun01 May11 Apr07 Mar30 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
6  REATA'S CASTLE Jun16 May25 Apr14 Mar31 Feb08 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 7% 13.20    
7  NOW HOOK'EM Jun23 Jun02 Apr14 Aug25 Jul30 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 1.20 64% 0.60    
 
CT-5   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLEN CAN DO IT Jun22 Apr28 Apr15 Mar31 Mar11 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
2  HOPPING HENRY May05 Mar31 Feb02 Jan19 Dec16 (sterling )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50    
3  THE ILLUSIONIST Jun23 May26 Apr21 Mar10 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
4  ENTRY TIME Jun15 Jun02 Apr14 Mar31 Feb15 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIFTY FIFTY Jun22 Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 Jul02 (mcdonald)BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00    
6  JEFFERSON NATIVE Jun22 Jun02 May11 Nov03 Oct15 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
7  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY May26 Apr21 Apr01 Feb15 Nov25 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FIBER STRONG Jun22 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Jan12 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 5% 18.90    
9  EPIC TIME Jun15 Dec16 Nov11 Oct05 Aug27 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 57% 0.80    
 
CT-6   07/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO STEP SALLY Jun16 May12 Apr06 Jan14   (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
2  QUEEN CASHMERE Feb08 Jan20 Jan06 Dec14 Oct30 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50    
3  RUNNING FREE Jun16 May04 Mar23 Feb24   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
SCR  BALLYMENA (GB) Jun16 Mar16 Feb15 Jan05 Dec14 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BROADWAY PEGGY Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
6  BAYLIS STREET May20 Mar17 Feb20 Jan28 Jan08 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 9% 9.80    
7  MIDNIGHT PASS Jun24 May12 Mar09 Feb24 Jan25 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
SCR  HEARDITALL Jun17 May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTERN BAY Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Oct29 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  OUTLIER Jun21 Jun04 May18 Apr29 Apr16 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AL LOVES JOSIE May25 Apr15 Feb25 Feb11 Jan21 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
4  DONTMESAWITHME Jun09 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00    
5  NO CHANGE May19 Apr22 Mar11 Nov12 Oct08 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  SOUND OFF Apr11 Feb08 Jan31 Jan20 Dec06 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
7  CLASSIER May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 Jan02 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOATING BY May27 May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MYGIDGETMARIE Jun10 May26 May04 Apr15 Mar30 (huet terry)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Jun24 May11 Apr01 Mar18 Feb17 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
4  TEQUILA FOG Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
5  SHERIFF'S KID Jun10 May27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 (price r)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
6  DANCER'S MELODY Jun24 Jun11 May18 May11 Apr20 (mckenzie da)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
7  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jun17 Feb23 Jan21 Jul01 Jun22 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
8  GOLDEN SWEETS May26 May06 Apr15 Mar23 Feb23 (bass cur)BUTTERFLY L 120 20.00    
9  SOMMER VELVET Jun10 Nov14 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 (fulmer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
10  VOLNAY Jun17 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 Jan01 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  MIKEY'S JEWEL May24 May11 Apr28 Apr19 Mar17 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.