Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (3/2/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/4/9)-(3/2/10/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/4/9)-(3/2/10/4/9)-(3/2/10/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/10/4/9)-(1/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/10/4/9)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3)-(1/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/3)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/3)-(1/7)-(8/10/6/5/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-3   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(8/10/6/5/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(8/10/6/5/4)-(3/4/2/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-4   WIN (8/10/6/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/5/4)-(8/10/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/5/4)-(8/10/6/5/4)-(8/10/6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/6/5/4)-(3/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/5/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(8/6/1/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(8/6/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/7)-(8/6/1/4/5)-(7/2/4/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (8/6/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4/5)-(8/6/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4/5)-(8/6/1/4/5)-(8/6/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4/5)-(7/2/4/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4/5)-(7/2/4/9/1)-(6/8/9/5/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-7   WIN (7/2/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/9/1)-(7/2/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/9/1)-(7/2/4/9/1)-(7/2/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/4/9/1)-(6/8/9/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/8/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/5/1)-(6/8/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/5/1)-(6/8/9/5/1)-(6/8/9/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/06/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A WIN May27 May03 Apr15 Feb01 Jan06 (landry ray)STOKES J 119 5.00    
RIPTIDE ROSE Jun10 May20 Apr26 Apr15 Mar19 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
WORLD OF HURT Jun03 May12 Apr26 Feb15 Feb01 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCARLET STORM Jun03 Apr29 Apr12 Jan27 Jan14 (courville )MARQUEZ L 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
SIKARA SIKARA Jun08 Apr29 Apr08 Feb23 Jan27 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 113 10.00    
SCR  STAR FASHION May20 Mar26 Mar03 Dec29 Nov26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 4.00    
CHICKIETOWN STAR May10 Jan11 Dec08 Oct06 Sep19 (cormier winston)MCMAHON J 123 15.00    
R T'S GEM Jun10 Apr26 Feb28 Feb17 Jan19 (sam w)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
MOR KISSES May29 May11 Apr22 Jan13 Dec02 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
10  ENTITLEMENT Apr26 Mar12 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
EVD-2   07/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELD OF VISION Jun24 May13 Apr15 Feb18 Jan28 (courville ric)VARGAS P 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
STORMIN SUNDAY May27 Apr19 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 (roberts ken)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00    
SMOOTH RIVER Jun24 Jun02 May11 Dec21 Dec02 (latour nich)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00 7% 13.00    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Jun15 May27 Apr29 Apr14 Mar23 (thompson kev)MAGNON H 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
DIAL UNCLE JOEY Jun24 May22 May05 Apr14 Feb25 (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 118 5.00    
ALL OF US Jun04 Apr22 Apr12 Mar23 Feb28 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
RAZZ Jun15 May13 Apr19 Mar26 Feb16 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 123 8.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCE Jun15 May18 Apr28 Apr13 Mar25 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 10% 9.30    
 
EVD-3   07/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATE'S ATTACK Jun15 May29 May15 Apr12 Dec20 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  TIO BLAS Jun19 Apr13 Mar01 Feb16 Jan05 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 10.00    
SCR  WHEN'S TEE TIME Jun17 Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.00    
SEEHOSS Jun17 May27 Apr19 Mar24 Feb10 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 15.00    
SCR  ONE TIME GEM May13 May03 Feb11 Jan15 Aug19 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 118 2.50    
SCR  U S NAVY CROSS Jun17 May27 Apr30 Apr22 Jan28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.50    
I'M D'CAT Jun24 Jun03 May13 Feb16 Jan08 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 115 12.00 25% 3.00    
 
EVD-4   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPPED OUT Jun10 May06 Apr15 Feb22 Feb03 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 15.00    
BODE'S LIGHT Jun10 May06 Feb22 Jan27 Dec21 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
MEAN CRUISER Jun01 May12 Apr14 May26 Apr20 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 12.00    
APPLEWOOD Jun10 May25 May06 Apr15 Feb03 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MATH MAN Jun10 May20 Apr26 Mar26 Mar10 (jackson darre)VARGAS P 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
TROPHY DADDY May13 Apr20 Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 115 8.00 13% 6.70    
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Jun16 May26 Mar24 Mar16 Mar03 (richards co)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
SCREENPLAY Jun25 May20 Apr22 Apr13 Feb16 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
HERE COMES MAGIC Jun19 Jul13 Jun29 Apr16 Feb25 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
10  LOUIS LE GRANDE Jun23 Jun09 Jun04 May07 Apr29 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
EVD-5   07/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAYLOR'S SECRET Jun11 Mar12 Feb11 Jan22 Oct19 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
GOODNIGHTLOVING Apr28 Apr15 Feb11 Jan13 Dec02 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 8.00 5% 18.20    
KATIE'S KARAT Apr28 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Nov23 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
JERSEY HOTTIE May18 Apr28 Apr12 Jan26 Dec22 (cox l)MCMAHON J 115 2.50 9% 10.40    
SCR  GOLDEN SMILES Jun17 May28 Apr19 Jan19 Dec01 (magnon ryle)LEDET THEODRICK 117 3.50    
ANGELA'S CELERITY May18 May04 Apr08 Feb03 Jan13 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 115 4.50    
START WELL May27 May04 Apr13 Mar19 Mar08 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
CASHEW Jun02 May05 Feb15 Jan21 Dec19 (gelner jay)ALBERT S 113 10.00    
 
EVD-6   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACY BILLE Jun03 Apr21 Mar02 Jan27 Dec01 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of LUTE SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Jun03 Feb10       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SEA OF LIGHT Jun03 Apr27 Mar26 Feb17 Jan22 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 123 4.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIVINE PROVIDENCE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
LIKE THIS Jun08 Dec22 Dec04 Nov11   (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SWEET SUMMER SUN by QUIET AMERICAN)
BEAUDEAN Jun01 May18 Apr29 Feb23 Feb09 (granger randall)STOKES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ZARLA by RUN PRODUCTION)
UP N GONE Jun03 May10 Apr28 Mar11 Feb23 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
SYVESTAR May04 Mar22 Feb24 Feb05   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUPREME BEAN by SUPER SAVER)
MARVINS' POSSE May27 Apr27 Mar11 Feb25 Jan27 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
UNCLE HUTCH Jun15 May18       (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 15.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of KATIE B'S WAGER by HALF OURS)
10  MECKES PRIORITY Jun24 Jun12 Jun02     (dussette alv)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of MECKE'S REFLECTION by MECKE)
 
EVD-7   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIAS MOONBEAM Jun22 May25 May03 Mar22 Feb28 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SERMONONTHEMOUNT Jun09 May25 Apr26 Mar22 Mar01 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
COOL INDIVIDUAL May20 May03 Apr15 Feb16 Aug17 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 115 8.00    
FLASHING ANGELBABY May27 Apr14 Feb25 Feb10 Jan05 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 4.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  SANCOCHO (MEX) May20 May06 Apr22 Apr07 Mar18 (gonzalez adr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
DEALIN' STELEN May25 May03 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 (toups brent)STOKES A 120 15.00    
INDIMAAJ Jun09 May04 Apr13 Mar16 Feb16 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
FREEDOMFI Jun12 May20 Apr14 Feb25 Feb04 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 115 5.00    
MASTERLY (ARG) May25 May04 Apr20 Feb18 Feb10 (courville ri)BARRERA J 110 12.00 6% 14.70    
10  BET AGAIN Jun08 Apr29 Apr07 Feb18 Jan05 (toups brent)MAGNON H 115 20.00    
 
EVD-8   07/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHLEY'S GIRL May11 Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 Feb02 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN TWO STEP Jun16 Apr27 Aug24 Aug06 Jun09 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
QUALITY BOW May19 May05 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
KAPPA HILL May11 Apr20 Jul28 Jul01 May27 (journet albert)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
NAVAGATIONALBEACON Jun11 May06 Apr21 Mar17 Feb26 (wilson melt)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) May13 Apr21 Feb24 Jan13 Dec15 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS Jun16 May26 Feb26 Jan12 Nov23 (bobb thomas)STOKES J 120 20.00    
SERIOUSLY SAM Jun16 May25 May13 Apr15 Mar22 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
MARDI GRAS ALARM Jun17 May27 May11 Apr21 Mar12 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 10.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  HAL'S DREAM Jun25 Jun11 May13 Mar26 Mar05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.