Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - June 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6)-(1/5/3)-(5/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/1)-(5/4/3)-(4/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/9/8)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/8)-(4/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/8)-(4/9/8)-(4/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/9/8)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/9/8)-(4/6)-(2/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/7/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   06/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNABLUE Jun11 May21 Apr23 Mar30 Mar16 (poulos dee)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
2  DRIVEN ONE May31 May14 Apr21 Feb25 Feb05 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  FLY NIGHTLY Mar04 Jan25 Jan11 Dec22 Oct12 (vanden br)COLON H 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
4  MITZRAYIM Jun11 May07 Apr16 May13 Mar26 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
5  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Jun11 May14 Apr23 Dec17 Dec04 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
6  IOYA AGAIN Jun11 May21 Apr23 Mar24 Feb09 (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
7  KRAMDEN Jun21 Jun14 May27 May21 May07 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
SCR  NOT VERY GENTLE Jun21 May31 May21 Apr30 Apr16 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
SCR  BOURBON DELIGHT Jun21 Jun01 May21 Apr20 Apr02 (castro isidro)FELIX E 124 12.00    
 
HAW-2   06/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH BROW May31 May04 Apr06 Mar19 Jan15 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
2  GAME BOY BENNY May19 Apr13 Feb10 Jan13 Dec04 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
3  GOLD BUCKLE Jun01 May06 Apr21 Apr08 Feb19 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 9% 10.50    
4  GLOBAL EMPIRE Jun08 May14 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 3.00    
5  DANVILLE Jun08 May18 Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 1.60 18% 4.50    
 
HAW-3   06/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELVET SEASON Jun15 May31       (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ARRINGTON May30 May14 Apr26 Dec30 Nov23 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 119 5.00    
3  EVIE JEAN Jun15 May31 May14 Apr30 Apr20 (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 124 8.00    
4  SANGFROID Jun15 May31 May21 May04 Apr10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  TEXAS PRINCESS Jun04 Mar30 Mar15     (cristel j)FELIX E 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  STRONGENOUGHSTORM May25 May14 Apr27 Apr06 Mar05 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 124 12.00    
7  LOTTA ROSES Jun04 May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.60 22% 3.50    
 
HAW-4   06/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILMA MANKILLER Jun01 May04 Jan26 Dec17 Oct14 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60    
2  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jun14 May11 Apr27     (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 10.00    
3  SWEET NELLIE Jun02 Apr02 Mar19     (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
4  BLACK FOREST Jun01 Apr07 Jan22 Nov27 Nov04 (gutierrez fa)TAVARES JAVIER 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  FROSHADO Apr22 Feb18 Dec28     (harty eoin)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
HAW-5   06/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRANCIPANTS Jun18 Jun04 May18 Apr27 Apr02 (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
2  CHROME ATTACK Jun08 Apr23 Dec18 Nov27 Oct16 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  SUNSET PAYNTER Jun08 May05 Apr22 Mar25 Jan21 (knott s)HERNANDEZ K 117 8.00    
4  PEACH COBBLER Jun01 May06 Apr20 Mar15 Feb09 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
5  BIPARTISAN BROOKE Dec07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct17 Oct04 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
6  MY LADY SLEW Jun01 May18 May07 Apr13 Mar19 (rodriguez j)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 10.00    
SCR  RARE ACTION ATTACK Jun11 May25 May02 Nov27 Nov11 (childers vance)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
8  GOOD MONGOLIA Jun11 Apr23 Mar26 Dec11 Nov25 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
9  BLAME NELLIE May25 Feb19 Jan30 Jan15   (roussel j)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  GET N TIPSY May18 Apr27 Mar30 Oct29 Oct03 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
SCR  STYLE Jun01 Apr21 Feb12 Jan28 Dec30 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 4.00    
 
HAW-6   06/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE BELLA Jun11         (witthauer j)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 4.50    
2  KITTEN ROCKS Jun18 Jun07 May18 Apr27 Apr09 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50    
SCR  GHAALEB'S APPEAL Jun04 May06 Sep20 Jul02 Jun18 (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
4  FOGGY KITTEN May28 Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
5  RANK AND FILE Jun18 Jun04 May28 May18 Apr16 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
6  BAILESTON LASSIE Jun03 May07 Sep09 Aug19 Jun24 (bahena fernand)COLON H 122 10.00 32% 2.20    
 
HAW-7   06/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S SOLUTION Jun15 May28 May11 Apr16 Dec30 (rednour joh)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 10.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
2  TEN COUNT Sep30         (vanden br)COLON H 119 4.50 52% 0.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DARING DARLING by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  SHARP STICK Jun14 May28 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 119 3.00 7% 12.50    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RUSTIC CHIC by ORB)
SCR  DARK SOLUTION Jun14         (weir george)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of DARK SANDS by DESERT CLASSIC)
SCR  COOL AND COLLECTED Jun08         (block chris)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
6  JAKES CHANNEL May11 Feb03 Dec30     (rednour john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
7  EVEN THE WIND Jun08 May04 Mar31 Feb18   (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
8  ICE SHARD Jun14         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TO THE MORNING by MORE THAN READY)
9  RUSSIAN STANDARD Jun15 May28 May11     (perez manny)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.