Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(7/6/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(7/6/4/5)-(2/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-3   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(2/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(2/8/3/6)-(4/1/2/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/3/6)-(4/1/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3/6)-(4/1/2/6/7)-(4/8/10/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (4/1/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6/7)-(4/1/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6/7)-(4/1/2/6/7)-(4/1/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/2/6/7)-(4/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/6/7)-(4/8/10/6)-(5/7/9/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (4/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/10/6)-(4/8/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/10/6)-(4/8/10/6)-(4/8/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/10/6)-(5/7/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/10/6)-(5/7/9/4/1)-(6/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/7/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/4/1)-(5/7/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/4/1)-(5/7/9/4/1)-(5/7/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/9/4/1)-(6/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/4/1)-(6/1/7)-(3/10/5/1/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(3/10/5/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EVD-9   WIN (3/10/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/5/1/8)-(3/10/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/5/1/8)-(3/10/5/1/8)-(3/10/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY'S LAST DANCE         (flint steve)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
  (by ONE LINER out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
2  POP'S PEPPYSTEPER         (flint steve)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
3  DEAL WITH IT DADDY Jun03         (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of GIOVANNA by GIO PONTI)
SCR  COOL RIDE Jun05 May11       (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CANDY DELICIOUS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  EL DINERO         (devereux patr)VARGAS P 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of MONEY FOR MAKEUP by FORESTRY)
6  SOUNDS LIKE POWER         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by POWER JAM out of STREET SOUNDS by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  POUND OUT A DEAL Jun05 May11       (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 118 8.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
 
EVD-2   06/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY PAL MATTIE May29 Apr23 Mar05 Oct14 Sep21 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 112 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  X CLOWN Jun03 May06 Apr20 Mar25 Feb16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 6.00    
SCR  ALEXIS S May29 May12 Mar12 Feb02 Dec16 (escobar alison)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
4  SEAU May06 Apr19 Feb10 Jan06 Nov26 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50    
5  DANCIN WITH ANGELS May06 Jan27 Jan05 Dec10 Nov11 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
SCR  PRADO'S PRIORITY May08 Feb21 Feb04 Jan12 Dec17 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SCRAPPY ARTIE May06 Apr19 Feb25 Jan27 Jan07 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 5.00    
SCR  OLD HOMESTEAD May22 Mar18 Aug26 Aug01 Jul02 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
EVD-3   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITSY C C LIL GIRL May27 Feb22 Jan25 Dec27 Dec02 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 4.50    
2  RESPOSADO May27 May11 Feb26 Jan05 Nov25 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  KAITLYN'S COURT May26 May11 Apr13 Mar19 Feb15 (constantine)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00    
4  BOSTON LUCILLE May11 Apr20 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
5  LIGHT AS A WHISPER Oct28 Oct12 Aug18 Jul28 Jun11 (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARDI GRAS ALARM May27 May11 Apr21 Mar12 Feb02 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  THE GREY BEAUTY May26 May11 Apr20 Mar26 Feb02 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
EVD-4   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE FIVE B'S Jun08 May19 Apr29 Mar16 Mar02 (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 118 1.60    
2  LONG ARROW May10 Apr13 Feb15 Oct15 Aug04 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  VEGAS GUY Jun08 Apr29 Apr14 Feb23 Jan27 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
4  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Jun01 May12 Apr14 Mar26 Mar03 (richards cor)MAGNON H 123 15.00    
SCR  THE THREE KS Apr12 Mar26 Feb21 Jan28 Dec08 (williams m)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
6  WAR REPORTER May06 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 123 10.00 8% 11.60    
7  FUNNY ACTOR May12 Apr14 Nov16 Aug18 Apr30 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00    
8  ROYAL UNLIMITED Apr22 Mar23 Mar12 Feb16 Jan01 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
EVD-5   06/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYKEN N MITCHELL May26 May12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 24% 3.10    
2  BARAHIN May26 May06 Apr14 Mar17 Feb01 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  SEEHOSS May27 Apr19 Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50    
4  BATTLE OF WILL May20 Apr21 Mar15 Feb02 Jan12 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  VALIANT DEFENDER May22 Apr26 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
6  BONUS APPRECIATION May06 Apr14 Mar22 Feb26 Feb03 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 120 5.00 5% 17.20    
7  YOUR TIME'S COMING May20 Dec17 Oct06 Sep08 Aug17 (landry ra)POMPELL L 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIN DELAY Jun01 May10 Jan21 Dec17 Nov09 (bruno rola)ALBERT S 112 15.00    
9  XIETELEHUAS May12 Apr26 Mar26 Mar08 Jun11 (broussard jarmon)STOKES A 120 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN QUALITY May27 Jan12 Dec27 Nov30 Nov05 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
 
EVD-6   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A BREAKUP Aug04         (bernard john)STOKES A 123 20.00    
2  PERIPHERAL VISION May18 May03 Apr20 Mar16 Feb26 (ladner joh)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
3  ELLA'S BABY May19 May06       (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 12.00    
4  CAN SHE VENT         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 4.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  CALCITE May19 Apr15 Mar25     (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUCILLE'S CANDY         (cormier win)BALTHAZAR JARED 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUNSET FLASH Jun02 May19 Apr20 Jun30 Jun04 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
8  SILK NOT SATIN May26 Apr20 Mar23     (sanchez juan)BARRERA J 113 3.50 28% 2.50    
9  A. P. STYLE Jun02 May11 Apr20 Feb18 Jan20 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
10  MARINA May27 May03 Apr12 Feb15 Dec09 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 9% 10.60    
11  AMELIES DREAMER Jun02 May03 Apr19 Feb18 Jan11 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 4.50    
 
EVD-7   06/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTIMIDATION Feb17 Jan25 Dec22 Dec03 Nov03 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHAOSMOS Jun02 May13 Apr20 Mar10 Dec28 (richard russell )MELANCON G 120 12.00    
3  GUITAR TRIBUTE May25 May13 Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
4  WHEN'S TEE TIME Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  SNIVELING Jun02 May25 May03 Apr08 Oct21 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Jun02 Apr12 Feb25 Feb03 Dec27 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 8.00    
7  G VICTORY Jun02 Apr26 Feb10 Nov30 Nov04 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 4.50 17% 5.00    
8  JUST DEAL WITH IT Jan11 Dec31 Nov14 Oct21 Sep11 (escobar aliso)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
9  U S NAVY CROSS May27 Apr30 Apr22 Jan28 Jan08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY May27 Mar18 Feb25 Jan29 Dec31 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 118 6.00    
 
EVD-8   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDIT'S PRIDE Jun02 May05 Apr13 Mar15 Feb23 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  DOLLY'S GUITAR Apr20 Apr07 Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 12.00    
3  SHESABEAUTYDANCER May10 Mar08 Feb12 Dec26 Nov26 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  A RUNNIN AFLEET May26 Mar15 Feb04 Dec22 Nov02 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 113 4.50 10% 9.40    
5  BUILDING HOME Jun01 May10 Apr14 Feb22 Feb04 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 113 3.50    
6  BLESSED ASSURANCE Jun02 Apr29 Apr15 Mar24 Mar09 (dison ma)STOKES A 113 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  CAJUN CATALINA Apr13 Feb03       (thomas lee)POMPELL L 113 10.00 7% 12.70    
8  MY KIKI Jun01 Apr27 Apr15 Feb17 Jan18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
 
EVD-9   06/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE RED ACES May25 Apr28 Feb23 Jan20 Jan07 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIGHTING SOLDIER May15 Apr20 Feb28 Feb02 Jan07 (morrell cynthia)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
3  STEAUXLIT Jun08 May04 Apr14 Mar25 Feb04 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  CHECK ME OUT Apr07 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Jan01 (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50    
5  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR May26 Feb16 Jan15 Dec31 Nov25 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 5.00 19% 4.20    
6  TEXAS PHAROAH Apr29 Mar09 Feb20     (arey anthony)MEDELLIN ERICK 123 15.00    
SCR  FRIEND'S DO CARE May26 May13 Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 (pennino fran)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
8  WICKED TOUGH May13 Apr14 Feb16 Jan18 Dec20 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ARKANSAS ZONG Jun01 May13 Apr14 Mar25 Feb23 (dison ma)STOKES A 119 12.00    
10  SUNNY SASSICAIA         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 115 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.