Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(8/7/1/5/6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (5)-(8/7/1/5/6)-(5/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-2   WIN (8/7/1/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/5/6)-(8/7/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/5/6)-(8/7/1/5/6)-(8/7/1/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/1/5/6)-(5/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/5/6)-(5/1/2/3)-(3/7/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/3)-(3/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/3)-(3/7/9/1)-(8/2/4/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/9/1)-(8/2/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/9/1)-(8/2/4/6/3)-(5/9/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/2/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/6/3)-(8/2/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/6/3)-(8/2/4/6/3)-(8/2/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/4/6/3)-(5/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4/6/3)-(5/9/1/7)-(2/9/7/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (5/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/1/7)-(2/9/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1/7)-(2/9/7/8/1)-(8/2/7/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-7   WIN (2/9/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/8/1)-(2/9/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/8/1)-(2/9/7/8/1)-(2/9/7/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/7/8/1)-(8/2/7/1/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-8   WIN (8/2/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/1/9)-(8/2/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/1/9)-(8/2/7/1/9)-(8/2/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   06/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYMN FOR CARLOS Jun03         (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 115 6.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of DIXIE HYMN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  GUS'S DREAM WORLD         (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 115 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MEGA DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GONE ELVIS         (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 10.00 10% 9.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
GOOD AND STOUT         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 115 4.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
STRONG DIAMOND         (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of SORENSTAM by SLEWDLEDO)
SCR  HE'S CHARMING Jun04 May20 May07     (gelner j)FUSILIER C 118 4.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of REALLY CHARMING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MICHAEL'S MOON         (pomier chase)MAGNON H 118 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CALLE VISTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
EVD-2   06/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE DEE KAY Jun02 May05 Apr14 Mar22 Feb10 (henry eric)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 9% 10.50    
RIPITTOTHERIGHT May13 Jul31 Jun21     (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
CHARLIE G May25 May03 Feb24 Feb15 Jan07 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 117 3.00    
GET THEM JUSTIN May19 May03 Feb25 Feb03 Dec27 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 5.00    
UNFATHOMED Jun02 Feb17 Jan18 Dec27 Dec10 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 15.00 8% 12.10    
NATE'S ATTACK May29 May15 Apr12 Dec20 Jul02 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ENTERTAINMENT Feb24 Dec22 Dec10 Sep24 Jul19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.50 10% 8.70    
JACI'S ROYALTY Jun02 May03 Aug06 Jul23 Jun04 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 117 8.00 48% 1.10    
COLONIST Apr20 Mar12 Feb19 Oct15 Aug29 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
10  STANDING MAN Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 Aug19 Jul14 (richards coral)THORNTON G 113 20.00    
SCR  MOTATAABEQ May03 Apr08 Feb23 Jan06 Dec28 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
 
EVD-3   06/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KASENS TRIBE May26 May11 Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 (shamsie randy)STOKES A 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
MS. PRIESTLY May26 Feb24 Nov25 Aug24 Aug11 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00 8% 12.20    
LACEY'S STAR May04 Apr20 Feb28     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHOTGUN ANNIE May20 Apr26 Apr07 Feb24 Jan28 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 5.00    
ZIPPING MOLLY May12 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb17 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 1.80 47% 1.10    
ABBY DABBY May04 Apr07 Mar19 Feb05 Nov02 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 118 2.50    
BATTLE OF WITS May18         (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
 
EVD-4   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATINANDSCATIN Jun02 May19 Apr29 Apr13 Feb25 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 10.00 13% 6.90    
UNBRIDLED PULPIT May19 May10 Apr26 Mar24 Feb28 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 12.00    
SABER STORM May10 Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 Jan20 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Jun02 May04 Apr08 Feb18 Feb09 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 15.00    
SCR  TUCKER THE GRUMP May19 Apr26 Apr13 Mar26 Mar01 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 118 5.00    
WILDCARD GOLD Apr26 Apr13 Feb28 Feb01 Dec28 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
CHIEF KIMOSABI Apr14 Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 Oct28 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
BARNEY'S PASSION May27 Apr27 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 20.00    
TSURIS May06 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Oct02 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
EVD-5   06/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACTICAL VISION May20 Apr27       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.50    
EASY EDDIE A May25 May03 Feb28 Feb11 Jan25 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
POWER MASTER May25         (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE HUTCH May18         (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CREOLE REB Jun01 May06 Apr27 Mar26 Mar09 (leonard ki)MARQUEZ L 123 20.00    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON May25 May10 Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 (granger randall)STOKES A 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
BUCK'S GLORY Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar22 Feb17 (landry r)THORNTON G 114 4.50    
BLEEP BLEEP May18 Apr27 Feb25 Feb04   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 2.00 69% 0.50    
ALL TOGETHER May19 Apr28 Feb09 Jan15 Dec31 (demouchet )WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 6.00    
SCR  BASTI BLUE May25 May11 Apr21 Apr07 Dec11 (landry jaco)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
SCR  PARTY LITTLE BOY Jun02 May18 Apr28 Mar26 Mar09 (pennino fran)BARRERA J 118 12.00    
SCR  COLE'S SENSATION Jun02 May13 Feb09 Jan13 Dec22 (delahoussaye to)POMPELL L 119 20.00    
SCR  RACY BILLE Jun03 Apr21 Mar02 Jan27 Dec01 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 6.00    
 
EVD-6   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPECTOR ED May10 Apr29 Mar22 Mar12 Mar02 (prejean ray)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00 11% 8.30    
SNEAKY ALLIE KAT May19 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (ellis r)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
R T'S D'ORO May10 Apr14 Mar04 Feb11 Feb01 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 118 3.50    
K V TARGET May10 Apr29 Apr14 Feb10 Jan28 (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 4.00    
FORGED IN STEEL May19 Apr26 Mar04 Dec22 Nov02 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  PAC THE PULPIT Apr27 Apr13 Feb10 Jan18 Dec20 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
C. F. CONGRESS May10 Apr19 Mar24 Feb26 Feb03 (west henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MULETRAIN May25 Apr27 Apr13 Feb25 Feb10 (bernar)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
DARK MATTER May30 May20 Apr29 Apr14 Feb28 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
EVD-7   06/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F T W SLAM Mar02 Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Nov03 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
TACTICAL PRIORITY May26 Apr14 Mar15 Jul19 Jun02 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 113 2.50 32% 2.20    
HALF OURS N STORMY Feb16 Nov30 Nov10 Oct07 Aug10 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00    
MAD GOLD May11 Apr14 Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 (courville ri)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU May11 Apr14 Mar15 Feb16 Jan12 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
SCR  ANDIAMO GIACOMO May06 Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Feb01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 8.00    
HOLY BAYOU May11 Apr12 Mar11 Feb18 Jan11 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 113 5.00 22% 3.50    
WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG Jul06 Jun25 Jun08 Apr16 Mar13 (henry eric)STOKES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMANCHE WARRIOR Apr12 Mar23 Mar09 Nov19   (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 113 6.00 23% 3.30    
10  M AND M'S CUSTOM May19 Apr15 Feb28 Feb18 Feb03 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 20.00    
SCR  CUSTOM BOBBY'S Nov24 Sep03 Jul31 Jul01 Jun04 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
12  WIN WON DOBBS May26 May11 Mar31 Mar19 Feb10 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00    
 
EVD-8   06/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM PRAYER May18 Mar11 Feb16 Jun25 May26 (ladner joh)ALBERT S 115 10.00 9% 10.00    
COLT'S BRIM May26 May06 Apr14 Mar25 Jul02 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 115 3.50 15% 5.50    
FLASHY BOY GOES May25 May03 Mar12 Feb24 Jan21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCE May18 Apr28 Apr13 Mar25 Mar03 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 15.00    
FLASHY BOY May05 Feb22 Feb04 Jan12 Nov19 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.50    
RAZZ May13 Apr19 Mar26 Feb16 Jan26 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
D T'S DREAM May18 Apr08 Dec17 Oct29 Aug27 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 5.00 14% 6.00    
GOLDUSTER May19 Apr28 Mar15 Feb11   (landry ray)STOKES J 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE May27 Apr29 Apr14 Mar23 Mar10 (thompson kev)MAGNON H 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.