Handicappers' Racing Form

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Hawthorne
Wednesday - May 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-3   Win (6/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-4   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-5   Win (6/8/11/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
HAW-6   Win (4/9/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
HAW-7   Win (8/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-8   Win (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
HAW-1   05/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL BOX May21 Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 (kirby j)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR May18 Apr30 Apr23 Apr06 Jan27 (hernandez arm)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
CHRISTMAS PRESENT May21 May11 Apr27 Apr09 Mar05 (cook brian)FELIX E 122 10.00    
BEHAVIN MYSELF May21 May07 Apr20 Apr13 Mar12 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
BLURT Feb16 Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Nov25 (rodriguez edua)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
NOT VERY GENTLE May21 Apr30 Apr16 Mar26 Dec16 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
HAW-2   05/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORRIE'S JOY Oct23 Aug04 Jul17 Jun17 May28 (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
RUSSIAN MAFIA Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan13 Dec16 (rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
KATIE M'LADY Oct23 Oct08       (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
KATHAAN Apr22 Jan19 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 (goldfine micke)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 Dec02 (goldfine mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  INDICIA May06 Apr09 Mar08 Feb12 Jan29 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 12.00    
TIMELESS ROSE Oct23 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 (granitz j)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
 
HAW-3   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETHY May16 May06 Apr18 Mar30 Aug18 (burdess ter)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAMARITA May07 Apr23 Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 (rodriguez jos)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) May07 Apr09 Mar05 Jan22 Dec16 (rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
I LUV THIS BAR Apr29 Dec02 Nov11 Sep17 Sep03 (essenpreis edward)EMIGH A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST KITTEN May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb15 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50    
LONG TALL WOMAN May07 Apr23 Mar05 Nov25 Nov11 (hernandez ar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
DOCS SEVEN May14 Apr25 Apr09 Mar09 Feb08 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
HAW-4   05/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWISS GUARD May03 Apr20 Mar19 Jan07 Dec09 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 116 3.50    
SUNDAY MISCHIEF Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 Feb10 Dec29 (campbell joel)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
SANTINO'S FANTASY May21 May04 Apr07 Feb26 Feb10 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00    
UNCLE DICK May04 Apr02 Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 (gonzalez li)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
CHIEF MYSTIQUE May14 Apr27 Apr16 Mar23 Mar09 (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTAIN CARNEGIE May14 Apr23 Mar23 Mar12 Dec30 (ryan a)FELIX E 122 10.00    
VERRAZANOINTHESKY May11 Apr16 Mar26 Dec24 Nov23 (banks chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  FROST WARRIOR May25 May06 Apr30 Apr16 Mar30 (castro isidro)GILES EMMANUEL 112 20.00    
 
HAW-5   05/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING ROSES May18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar05 Feb21 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLOW TORCH Apr28 Apr16 Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
SCR  LAKE MILLS Apr30 Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 (kirby j)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  ALPINE GHOST May09 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 Feb17 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
BALADINE May14 Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 Dec11 (poulos dee)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
FIT TO FLY May08 Sep06 Jul18 Jun11   (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 2.50 51% 0.90    
CYCLONE ATTACK Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 Aug23 Aug06 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 30.00    
TEE BURNS May18 May09 Apr16 Mar19 Jan26 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
RACARINO Apr16 Mar05 Apr20 Apr03 Jan16 (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 6.00    
10  FEVER NATION Apr20 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 (goldfine mick)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 5.00    
11  HURTS SO GOOD Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 (robertson hug)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRYUPANDBYE Apr30 Apr06       (witthauer joh)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 20.00    
SANGFROID May21 May04 Apr10 Feb17 Feb02 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
EVIE JEAN May14 Apr30 Apr20 Apr06 Mar19 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUNNY SHINE         (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SHORT STRAW Apr27 Apr06       (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 113 8.00    
HOLY STAR         (weir l)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 20.00    
MISS MIA May11 May02 Apr09 Mar23 Mar12 (quinonez max)FELIX E 118 5.00    
C V CHARISMATIC         (gonzalez li)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00 11% 7.90    
LUNARCHY Apr27 Apr20 Mar16     (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
10  VELVET SEASON         (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 118 10.00 11% 7.90    
 
HAW-7   05/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN RUSH May14 Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00 9% 10.20    
DRIVEN ONE May14 Apr21 Feb25 Feb05 Jan08 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
C F V RED NOVA Apr20 Mar26 Mar09 Dec30 Dec16 (dizeo dino)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN May04 Apr13 Mar19 Dec30 Dec02 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 6% 14.70    
THRILL RIDE May07 Jun01 May14 Apr10   (berndt joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00    
PATH TO SUCCESS May04 Apr13 Mar18 Mar01 Feb03 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
BUREAU May11 Dec17 Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 (watkins james )GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00    
HIGH BROW May04 Apr06 Mar19 Jan15 Dec30 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
HAW-8   05/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT ROYALE May11 Apr20 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 (boyce michele)COLON H 116 4.50 8% 11.10    
ROMANTIC ATTACK Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 Jul12 May28 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRL FRANKIE May21 May04 Apr18 Mar16 Dec31 (rednour j)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
SUMMER BELLE Apr20 Dec04 Nov11 Oct15 Sep04 (mitchell an)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
WANDA STRONG May18 Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Jul30 (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
SUMMER DAY Dec02 Nov04 Sep24 Aug24 Jul30 (mitchell ant)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
QUILTING PARTY May07 Apr20 Dec31 Dec09 Nov26 (kirby j)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
FROSTED ECLAIR May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar12 Oct21 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.