Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6)-(2/6/1/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LS-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/6/1/7)-(3/1/8/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LS-4   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(3/1/8/9)-(4/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-5   WIN (3/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9)-(3/1/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/7)-(4/10/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/7)-(4/10/7/5/2)-(4/10/7/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/3)-(6/3)-(8/9/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LS-8   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/5/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/5/1/2)-(6/3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(8/9/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-9   WIN (8/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/5)-(8/9/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/5)-(8/9/1/5/4)-(8/9/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA CAT May05 Apr22 Apr01 Mar16 Feb10 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
2  HAL'S DREAM Mar26 Mar05 Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
3  DIAMOND GRAND Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 Mar18 Feb18 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 2.50    
4  MARTIQUE MISS Mar31 Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Dec28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  SIMPERING SMILE May05 Mar11 Jan25 Dec11 Nov24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
6  HONEY CREEK May01 Apr11 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 (padilla ca)ERAMIA E 119 15.00 ★    
7  POETIC UNION May05 Apr07 Mar26 Mar10 Jan22 (c)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 ★    
 
LS-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITURE JONES Apr23 Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50    
2  MY BOY BLING Apr15 Mar17 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 10.00    
3  BLING BLING BLING May05 Apr07 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  I'M A COWBOY Apr23 Mar25 Feb18 Feb10 Jan28 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00 ★    
5  GUITAR BOY Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Dec19 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  HARD GOLD Apr23 Mar31 Mar17 Mar05 Feb18 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00    
7  MY LITTLE PRINCE Apr23 Apr07 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00 ★    
 
LS-3   05/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIPSY GAL Feb26 Feb12 Jan06 Dec18 Oct19 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 ★    
2  UNIQUE BABE Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Jan08 Mar27 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
3  MISSION BELLE Apr16 Feb25 Jan06 Dec22 Dec14 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 121 3.50 ★    
4  WENDY'S SONG Apr23 Feb19 Jan15 Jan03 Dec13 (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 121 20.00    
5  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Apr16 Feb25 Jan15 Nov15 Oct13 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 ★    
6  NO MAS TEQUILA Mar25 Feb18 Jul17 Jun19 May21 (jacks k)GONCALVES R 121 1.80 69% 0.50    
7  SILVERSCAPE Mar12 Feb11 Jan06 Dec07 Nov05 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 121 5.00    
8  STELLACZAR Apr08 Feb11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00    
 
LS-4   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANS HOME RUN Apr29 Mar17 Jul24 Jun23 May29 (gust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  CHIEF BRADY Apr29 Mar31 Jul22 Jun24 May14 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER May05 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15 (schneider)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 8.00    
4  BLING'S BELLWETHER Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 (tuley rhonda)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
5  RED SUMMERBIRD Apr23 Apr07 Mar05     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00    
6  QUARTERBACK DAK Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 Nov12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
7  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 May21 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  PICKNNGRINN May06 Apr27 Mar11 Feb25 Mar26 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00    
 
LS-5   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS PRADO Apr16 Mar31 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  MORO MAFIA Feb03 Dec16 Nov25 Nov16 Sep24 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 118 15.00    
3  FLY'N SEXY Apr21 Mar31 Feb25 Feb10 Jul24 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  FARM DOG May07 Apr08 Mar17 Jul23 Jun05 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50    
5  RED DRAW Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 118 12.00    
6  VICTOR VALENTINO Apr16 Mar31 Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 8.00    
7  MORO LEGEND Apr21 Mar03 Feb19 Jul24 Jul02 (glover tr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 20.00    
8  LEGAL EAGLE Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Jan16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
9  SLIM JIMMY Apr30 Apr15 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 12% 7.60    
 
LS-6   05/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Apr08         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PRIVATE OFFERING by PULPIT)
2  WILD WING Apr13 Mar24       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of TAIL FEATHER by WAR FRONT)
3  KERAUNOS         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of CITY THUNDER by CITY ZIP)
4  DAWSON CITY Apr13 Mar18 Feb05     (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWEET SARANNA by FOREST DANGER)
5  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of DAKOTA WIND by TIZNOW)
6  ANOTHER JOURNEY Mar31 Feb26 Sep15     (keen dallas)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KISS MY SWISS by SWISS YODELER)
7  PROPERLY CONNECTED Apr29 Apr16 Mar11 Feb04 Jan20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 15.00 11% 8.10    
  (by CONNECT out of UPANDTOTHERIGHT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  NERKY ROSE Apr13 Mar18 Feb12 Dec07 Oct06 (c)DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CORDELHIA by AUSTRALIA (GB))
9  IT'LL DO Apr13 Feb11       (davis)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TIZNOW'S SMILE by TIZNOW)
10  WHITEROSE JEWEL Apr15 Mar04 Feb04 Nov25 Sep26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
LS-7   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTALIZER Mar10 Feb18 Feb05 Jan21 Dec10 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
2  HAMAZING WISDOM Apr27 Apr14 Mar23 Feb26 Jan20 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  PINKY RING BLING Apr01 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 Dec03 (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
4  MORNING SNOW Apr30 Apr14 Mar18 Feb20 Feb04 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
5  SR. BI BI Apr27 Mar31 Mar11 Feb12 Jan07 (c)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
6  PRINCE RAMA Mar07 Feb20 Sep10 Aug17 Jul16 (bravo franci)FUENTES A 124 8.00 17% 5.10    
7  TRAPPE VALLEY Apr30 Mar30 Oct27 Sep23 Aug27 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 6.00    
8  GORDON ANTHONY Apr13 Mar17 Jan20 Nov08 Oct26 (butler ke)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
 
LS-8   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J M SKY CLASSIC Apr15 Jan27 Jan15 Aug14 May12 (m)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 124 15.00 ★    
2  HAILEY'S JEWEL Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb17 Jan15 (g)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 ★    
3  JUSTCAUSEICAN Apr15 Feb07 Dec05 Jul21 Jun26 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  CANDY DAY May06 Mar26 Feb17 Feb05 Jan27 (crumley)GONCALVES R 119 30.00    
5  CRANKY SHEILA Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 5.00 ★    
6  ANNA B Apr15 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb25 Jan22 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.80    
8  SKYSPEIGHT Apr15 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05   (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00    
9  PERSONAL ISSUES May06 Apr22       (russell rachell)BENAVIDES D 124 15.00    
10  OLGA'S GOLD DANCER Jun11 Apr30 Mar25 Mar02 Feb04 (pish danny)SANCHEZ M 124 20.00    
11  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Jul21 Jun11 May12     (pish )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00    
 
LS-9   05/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN FOREST Apr13 Mar31 Mar17 Mar05 Jun26 (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
2  COWBOY RIDGE Apr22 Apr02 Mar11 Mar03 Jan27 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 5.00    
3  HARRY Apr21 Mar24 Feb19 Feb03 Apr23 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00    
4  BLING MOUNTAIN Apr14 Mar11 Jan15 Nov05 Oct15 (davidson m)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 ★    
5  HELLO HELLO MISTER Apr29 Apr16 Apr02     (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 9% 9.80    
6  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Apr30 Apr21 Apr08 Mar17 Feb25 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 20.00    
SCR  IRONICAL May06 Apr21 Jun19 May29 May14 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
8  VILLAGE WAY Apr29 Mar17 Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
9  WILL THE THRILL Apr29 Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  GRAMI'S BOY Feb12 Jan15 May08 Mar23 Mar11 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.