Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TAM-2   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-3   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-4   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TAM-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-6   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-7   Win (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-8   Win (5/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-9   Win NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT-12:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRUDENT SONG Mar26 Mar11 Feb08 Jan01 Dec10 (hunt donald)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 1.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  FALL MOON Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Nov26 Oct01 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00    
SHERRY ORIENTAL Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
TIZ HERSELF Mar10 Feb19 Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 (rigattieri john)MENA E 121 1.80    
CHICK'S SHADOW Mar17 Jan21 Dec31 Oct26 Aug29 (rodriguez an)ALONSO LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  KATIES A LADY Mar25 Feb25 Feb03 Jan21 Dec31 (o'connell kathl)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
SILVER GLEN Apr16 Mar18 Mar03 Sep18 Jul29 (smith g)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT-12:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Apr01         (o'connell kathl)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
JUST MERCY Jan29         (preudhomme )HERRERA R 120 10.00    
OSCAR GAZE Apr15         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50    
ROMASHKA         (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00 9% 10.60    
MAGICK MINSTREL Apr12         (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00    
LOVELY DRAMA         (o'connell kath)BATISTA A 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
TAM-3   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT RULER Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 Dec23 Nov27 (amado enrique)ARROYO S 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
BLAKENSTEIN Mar15 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 Dec22 (guciardo kathy)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
INTER MIAMI Mar24 Mar03 Feb05 Jan13 Dec17 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
OLD TOWN ROAD Apr21 Mar30 Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 (morzan e)FERRER C 118 10.00    
IMPERIAL KING Apr01 Feb17 Feb01 Dec16 Nov26 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Mar24 Mar03 Feb01 Sep15 Aug01 (poole a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
 
TAM-4   04/29/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASTAGNO Apr15 Mar25 Mar12 Jan15   (gallegos jose )MENESES MARCOS 122 1.40 34% 2.00    
ENGLISH LAUGHTER Apr14 Mar12 Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 (ferraro anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
LAST PROMISE Apr14 Mar31 Nov03 Oct20 Sep01 (padilla tim)FUENTES MARIO 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  STAY HOME Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 May14 Apr15 (barrett grantle)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 14% 6.20    
TEXTPECTATION Apr15 Mar24 Dec12     (morzan e)FERRER C 122 4.50    
HONDO GUSTO Apr14 Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 Jan25 (roque elis)MERA C 122 20.00    
 
TAM-5   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF CHAOS Apr22 Apr02 Mar17 Feb19 Feb01 (nunn douglas)COTTO L 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
CREATIVE CHOICE Apr07 Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 119 15.00 6% 17.10    
BLACK SEAL Apr12 Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  SHIMMERING LEROID Apr22 Apr02 Mar17 Mar03 Feb15 (mccarthy d)FERRER C 121 1.20 32% 2.10    
LUIS TWO GUNS Feb22 Sep15 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
SKIPPERINI Apr19 Feb19 Jan29 Jan11 Dec09 (wasiluk jr)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
FREELANCE Apr19 Mar05 Jan29 Jan15 Dec09 (manning dennis )MARTIN MATTIE 112 12.00    
 
TAM-6   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLAGE PREACHER Apr12 Mar19 Feb15     (lusk r)ALONSO LUIS 123 5.00    
DUKE SKYWALKER Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 Dec16 Dec02 (gonzale)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 1.60 12% 7.40    
MAGIC BOMB Apr22 Mar15 Feb26 Nov05 Sep10 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 12.00    
UNIQUE PATH Mar15 Feb19 Mar26 Feb06 Jan23 (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
DORSODURO Apr16 Mar29 Mar10 Feb18 Jan21 (torres r)ALICEA JEREMY 116 3.50    
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Apr15 Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 Jan27 (potts g)ALLEN D 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
EDMUND FITZGERALD Apr01 Mar11 Feb01 Dec31 Dec24 (hayford jenn)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 12.00    
 
TAM-7   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE TUNE Apr05 Mar04 Feb11     (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 15.00    
SIR SAFFER Mar26 Mar05 Feb05 Sep24 Sep04 (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00    
SCR  CUZ Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Jan21 Dec28 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
ULTIMATE IRONY Mar26 Feb24 Jan21 Dec14 Nov12 (rodriguez darien)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE Apr16 Mar19 Mar04 Feb25 Feb03 (rivera xavier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 15.00    
SCR  BASSO Dec17 Oct15 Sep11 Aug24 Jul23 (sacco gregory )BATISTA A 119 4.00    
ANTHRACITE Mar19 Mar05 Feb10 Jul24 Jul01 (orseno joseph )MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
KOBLA MAS Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 Jan15 Dec23 (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Apr08 Mar26 Feb26 Jan27 Dec31 (lusk r)ALONSO LUIS 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  READY TO FLY Apr05 Sep24 Sep11 Aug15 Jul30 (mcburney pa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
11  KING RAMOS Mar26 Mar08 Feb11 Feb04 Jan21 (o'connell kathl)SOSA LAUREANO 112 10.00    
 
TAM-8   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEACON ELI Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 Feb12 Jan18 (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 125 15.00    
PERSONAL FINANCE Mar29 Mar18 Feb15 Jan27 Jan18 (carrascojr vict)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 30.00    
ANDY WALKS WITH ME Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 (posadas pedro)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 20.00    
CAJUN CRACKER Apr12 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct01 (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 10.00    
CAPE COD SUMMER Apr15         (santillana)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
MINISTER QUINN Apr02 Dec24 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 (mcgoey monica)LOPEZ E 125 20.00    
HAPPYIZE Apr15 Feb15 Apr23 Feb19   (klesari)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 3.00 7% 14.00    
BIG ROWDY DAN Apr12 Apr02 Mar17     (spanabel kelly )ALICEA JEREMY 118 30.00    
SUNSPOT Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Oct22 Sep18 (deaton william)MENESES MARCOS 125 5.00    
10  SUPER GREMLIN Mar29 Feb26 Feb01 Aug06 Jul16 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 125 12.00    
11  I LIKE BOSTON Mar29 Mar18 Feb10 Sep25 Jul23 (rigattieri john)MENA E 118 3.50 9% 10.20    
12  SEAX Apr21 Apr07 Mar22 Feb09 Jan08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
SCR  TOYI Apr21 Mar23 Feb19 Jan15 Dec11 (hernandez sandin)CAMACHO SAMY 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-9   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J BERESFORD TIPTON Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Dec14 Oct23 (delacou)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 73% 0.40    
SCR  BORGOBYTHESEA Apr14 Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 Dec10 (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 122 4.00    
HOLIDAY DANCER Dec14 Dec06 Nov27 Nov15 Sep28 (march william)SOSA LAUREANO 111 30.00    
LORD DARNLEY Apr22 Apr07 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 (machado anto)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 20.00    
SCR  CHESS'S DREAM Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 Feb08 Jan25 (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.50    
ALBIE Apr08 Mar10 Feb25 Jan04 Jun02 (ferraro ant)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
GO MIKE Apr08 Feb26 Jan28 Dec28 Oct15 (richards renaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
CARMENOOTZ Feb10 Jan13 Dec24 Nov04 Oct02 (carmichael m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00    
SCR  JOE PHILLIPS Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb17 Jan04 (raven kerri)FERRER C 118 5.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Apr22 Mar08 Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 (cascallares )ORDONEZ R 118 30.00    
SCR  STAGE READY Apr16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 May27 (hernandez sandino)CENTENO E 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.