Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/5/3/1)-(8/2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
CT-2   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/10)-(6/9/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/10)-(6/9/10/4)-(6/9/10/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/10)-(7/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/10)-(7/6/1/9)-(6/8/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/9)-(7/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/9)-(7/6/1/9)-(7/6/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/9)-(6/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/9)-(6/8/3/5)-(12/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/5)-(6/8/3/5/2)-(6/8/3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/3/5)-(12/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/5)-(12/5/9)-(2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (12/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/5/9)-(12/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/5/9)-(12/5/9)-(12/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/5/9)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (12/5/9)-(2/6/1)-(7/3/9/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/6)-(7/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/6)-(7/3/9/6)-(7/3/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET QUEEN Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 Dec09 Nov30 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 ★    
2  ISLE BE THERE Feb11 Jan21 Nov24 Oct06   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  ODINA Apr20 Apr07 Feb11 Feb04 Jan18 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 4.00 ★    
4  OK EMILY Feb22         (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
5  LADY GANGSTER Apr07 Mar16 Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 ★    
6  JUST HAVE FAITH Apr07         (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
7  CLOUD MOVER Apr07 Mar17 Feb08     (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
8  AMELIA'S DREAM Mar17 Jan18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 111 1.40 54% 0.90    
9  LOCKDOWN VANNA Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan21 Jan06 (locklear james)CECIL Y 118 20.00    
 
CT-2   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHENANDOAH CAT Apr20 Mar30 Mar23 Feb16 Jan20 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
2  MANAGED MISCHIEF Feb22 Jan13 Dec07 Nov10   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 6.00    
SCR  TWO STEP SALLY Apr06 Jan14       (malgarini mawi)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
4  CEDAR'S WISH Mar23 Feb18 Feb04 Jan20 Jan14 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 ★    
5  ARLYNE'S CROWN Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan05 Nov10 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 ★    
6  WITNESS THE ENERGY Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov06 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
7  SHUTUPN'KISSME Mar23 Feb11 Jan25 Dec07 Nov09 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  RUNNING FREE Mar23 Feb24       (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 72% 0.40    
9  JUBA'S HOUSE Apr06 Mar04 Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 ★    
10  SISTER JOANN Mar30 Feb18 Feb11 Dec15 Nov19 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 15.00    
SCR  ELLIE VICTORINA Mar31 Mar24 Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 8.00    
12  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Jul01 Apr14 Mar17 Jan26   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
 
CT-3   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEAL THE CASH Apr08 Mar01 Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
2  HERO'S MAN Nov18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
3  GALLANT GOLD Apr13 Apr01 Mar11 Feb05 Jan27 (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
4  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Apr01 Mar12 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 ★    
5  JACKIE A Mar18 Mar01 Jan16 Dec18 Nov14 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
6  KOZY'S WILDCAT Mar01 Feb17 Jan26 Dec31 Dec17 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  HELMS DEEP (GB) Mar22 Jan27 Dec14 Nov27 Nov08 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
SCR  BUBBA GRUMP Dec08 Nov12 Oct27 Oct08 Jul27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 10% 9.30    
9  FREEDOM RIDER Apr08 Mar11 Feb09 Jan19 Jan07 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
10  RAD PAISLEY Apr16 Mar24 Feb20 Jan16 Dec18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
 
CT-4   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIN ON EARTH Sep16 Sep02       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
  (by GRAYDAR out of TRAVEL WISH by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MARQUET CLASSIC         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of MARQUET MADNESS by PICO CENTRAL (BRZ))
SCR  AMERICAN DREAMER Dec08 Oct26 Oct05 Sep16   (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
SCR  DASHING LASS         (shanley)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DIBBLE DASH by JUMP START)
SCR  PRIDEFUL VILLANO         (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
  (by IL VILLANO out of RELENTLESS BARBARA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
6  ICY STARE Apr19 Feb15 Jan21 Dec11 Nov20 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TURN TO LASS by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
7  RAINBOW RHYTHM Jun24         (runco jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALTER RHYTHM by ALTERNATION)
8  CALERA LOVE Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
9  IRISH VALENTINE Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 7% 13.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of INDIAN BEAUTY by FAST BULLET)
 
CT-5   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Mar18 Feb11 Jan06     (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 30.00    
2  FRENCHIES GOLD Apr08 Mar18 Feb08 Dec02   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 ★    
3  LOVE OF GRACE Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 Jan26   (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Apr08 Mar18 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
5  JUBA BABY Mar18 Nov24 Oct13 Sep22   (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 8% 11.70    
6  KEEP ON SPURRIN Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Jan13 Dec17 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  LUCKY BLONDE Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Jan13 Dec17 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 2.50    
8  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Apr08 Mar16 Dec15 Nov04 Oct08 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 111 3.50 12% 7.10    
9  LUCKY BOP Apr01 Mar11 Jan26 Jan13   (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 116 15.00    
10  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 Jan19 Nov18 (hamlin )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
 
CT-6   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG BAD BRASS         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 7% 13.30    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
2  MEETMARYSMAN Apr06 Mar16       (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
  (by BOBALICIOUS out of MEET MISS CONNIE by MEDFORD)
3  NEEDNOEXPLANATION Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 (bowman el)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
  (by THAT'S RICH out of BEAR'SLITTLEBEAUTY by COPELAN TOO)
4  KING OF LUCK         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 6.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of HILARIOUS GIFT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Apr08 Mar18 Jan28     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GOLDEN INDEED by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
6  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Apr06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 116 5.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
7  ONE CANDY CASTLE Mar30 Mar10       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 30.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of CANDY ONE by YANKEE VICTOR)
8  B. J. MOOSE Mar16 Jan28 Nov09 Oct20 Jul23 (kopecki e)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50    
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
9  HARLEY SIOUX Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 (straughn will)ADAMS L 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  LAST PARTY Apr06         (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LADIES PARTY by SEATTLE SLEW)
SCR  GEORGE         (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 116 8.00 ★    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TURN CAPP by STREET MAGICIAN)
12  PINK DINGHY Sep24         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 1.40 57% 0.70    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PINK GLOSS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  SCARE DEM Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 Jun16 May11 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
 
CT-7   04/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Its Binn Too Long Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Oct29 Sep17 Jul02     (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 15% 5.90    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
2  GREAT SPIRIT Mar25 Mar04 Jul22     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
3  LA MADDALENA Apr01 Mar11 Mar04 Jan06 Dec17 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of OUT OF GOODBYES by OUT OF PLACE)
4  MUSIC LASS Dec17 Nov19 Oct08 Sep23   (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
5  BELLA MELA Apr14 Jan13 Dec03 Oct08 Sep23 (contreras jav)RIVERA JAVIER 122 5.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  STRYDA Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 Dec17 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MARYLAND'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
CT-8   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTFOOT MISS Mar17 Feb11 Jan14 Jan06 Dec02 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
2  STORMI CAT LADY Apr20 Apr07 Feb26 Jan22 Dec30 (libertini )RIVERA R 113 15.00    
3  FLOATING BY Mar24 Mar04 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  ONEPRETTYTHING Apr08 Mar23 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 (smith osbor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
5  KIRBY Apr15 Mar15 Dec16 Dec06 Nov22 (neilson walla)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
6  SEEDS OF TIME Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 Dec10 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 6% 16.20    
7  STYLISH PAINT Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 Dec10 Oct15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
8  SO RED THE ROSE Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 Jan18 Jun30 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
9  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Apr13 Mar10 Nov12 Oct05 Sep09 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
10  MISS WILD Mar24 Jan25 Dec02 Oct19 Sep24 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00    
SCR  MAE SAI PRINCESS Mar18 Jan21 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
SCR  EMMA AND I Nov23 Oct12 Sep22 Sep03 Aug27 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.