Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/3)-(2/6/8)-(7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(7/2/3)-(10/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-3   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(10/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(10/1/7)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-4   WIN (10/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/7)-(10/1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/7)-(10/1/7/2/5)-(10/1/7/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/1/7)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/1/7)-(3/1)-(1/9/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/9/7)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/7)-(1/9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/7)-(1/9/7/2)-(1/9/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/9/7)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7)-(1/2/3/5)-(8/7/5/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(8/7/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-8   WIN (8/7/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/11)-(8/7/5/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/11)-(8/7/5/11/2)-(8/7/5/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAURIEANN Sep03 Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 May07 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  ENVOYS LEGACY Feb22 Jan28 Dec27 Dec02 Nov11 (toups brent)STOKES J 120 12.00    
PRINCESS TRINA Apr12 Jan26 Jan13 Dec03 Nov23 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 4.00 9% 10.10    
BLONDIE LOX BABE Mar02 Feb09 Jun18 Apr13 Mar20 (zenon char)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
BE A BANDIT Apr07 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan13 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY Dec29 Oct08 Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
PEACEFUL VISION Apr07 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 2.50 10% 8.90    
MY KIKI Apr15 Feb17 Jan18 Jul18 Jun17 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
EVD-2   04/27/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIKARA SIKARA Apr08 Feb23 Jan27 Dec02 Oct15 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 112 12.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of SIKARA by AUSSIE RULES)
MISS ST. CLAIRE Apr15 Feb24       (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 117 6.00 60% 0.70    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLANCO CANYON by LONE STAR SKY)
LAST OF THE NILE Apr08 Feb09 Dec23 Jul07   (flint steve)MELANCON G 120 3.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ENCHANTRESS by MALIBU MOON)
CALIFORNIA BELLE Apr08 Feb28 Feb09 Jan20 Dec16 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ORDAIN by CONGRATS)
SCR  DIVERGENCE         (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 11% 8.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of DIVERGENT THINKING by MIZZEN MAST)
SWEET CHABLIS Mar25 Feb18 Nov26 Oct27   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CHUCHI Mar25         (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of IDE'S CHILD by IDE)
ALABAMA QUEEN Apr15 Feb22 Feb09 Jan20 Dec30 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of ALLUVIALS PRINCESS by ALLUVIAL)
TAKING PICTURES Feb28 Dec10 Nov12 Jul23 Jul04 (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 117 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HUMBLE JANET by HUMBLE ELEVEN)
SCR  BLACK ACE Apr15 Mar24 Feb22     (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of PINK LENINADE by LEMON DROP KID)
11  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Mar25 Oct29       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of KOHILI by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  ROSIE'S ANGUS Mar19         (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of LIGHTNING ROSIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  LA VILLANA Mar24 Mar01       (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MUJAAZY by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
 
EVD-3   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN TWO STEP Aug24 Aug06 Jun09 May12 Apr14 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 20.00    
MACEE Mar08 Feb12 Dec22 Jun15 May12 (david b)THORNTON G 123 1.80 21% 3.70    
JULIO CHOICE Jan06 Nov03 Oct07 Aug27 Aug10 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 14% 6.30    
JUST ANOTHER WIN Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 (woodley ca)ALBERT S 118 12.00    
BRIDLED UP Dec22 Jun03       (bourque warren)STOKES J 123 15.00    
RESPECT ALL Nov03 Aug25 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
CATALINA QUEEN Apr07 Feb06 Jan20     (thomas lee)VARGAS P 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 Dec08 Oct26 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 118 3.00    
 
EVD-4   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDE LIKE HAWAII Apr08 Feb18 Feb01 Jan18 Jan06 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
SWIFT N TRAFFIC Apr08 Feb03 Dec02 Oct21 Aug27 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 3.50    
K R TARGET Feb28 Feb01 Dec16 Nov09 Aug26 (robert)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 20.00    
KINGS WAGER Mar08 Feb03 Jan07 Jun17   (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD Feb09 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
CIGAR VAN Mar24 Mar08 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00    
CLEVER PRINCE Feb25 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 Aug03 (bonin jr)POMPELL L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SABER STORM Feb25 Feb01 Jan20 Dec15   (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 15.00    
BARNEY'S PASSION Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec20 Nov18 (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 123 15.00    
10  CORN SOUP Apr08 Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 Dec27 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
EVD-5   04/27/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITE OUTLOOK Apr07 Mar09 Feb11 Jan20 Dec20 (chatters ben)BARRERA J 115 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CREEKSIDE Mar11 Feb10 Jan05     (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 117 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of SUNNY ISLES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct23   (courville ricky)FUSILIER C 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Feb10         (calhoun)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Apr07 Mar11 Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 8.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FREE RAMBLING MAN Mar23         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of NAUGHTY LITTLE NUN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
TACTICAL VISION         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 10.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of SHES DIXIES ESKIMO by ESKIMO)
FREE FALLING NATE Jul10         (briley lon)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ATTYIA by DIALED IN)
DEFINE         (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of DESERT MOCCASIN by YOUR EMINENCE)
SCR  NO YIELD         (pike l)THORNTON G 120 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MYDESIREISTHEWIRE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  ROCKALL Feb17         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INVARIABLE by INVASOR (ARG))
SCR  HE GOTS TO GO Mar10 Feb03 Dec22     (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 6% 15.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
 
EVD-6   04/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR HEATSEEKER Mar26 Feb24 Jan22 Nov24   (david b)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HEATSEEKER SHARON by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
DOUBLE ON THE RED Feb24 Jan22 Jan05 Jul01 Jun16 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 123 10.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of CAROLYN FRANCES by PERSONAL FLAG)
IRON MOON Mar25 Feb24 Feb02 Jan20 Dec26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 20.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
MARVINS' POSSE Mar11 Feb25 Jan27 Oct20   (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 4.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
CUSTOM CADILLAC Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Dec26   (cuccia j)THORNTON G 118 3.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LIBERINA by FORESTRY)
ZINGING BAYOU Mar25 Mar03       (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OUR ZING by HALF OURS)
COMPUTERIZED Feb05 Jan15       (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 15.00 21% 3.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of COMMERCIALIZE by ROBYN DANCER)
SEA OF LIGHT Mar26 Feb17 Jan22     (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIVINE PROVIDENCE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
BLEEP BLEEP Feb25 Feb04       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of BERTHA JO by BANKER'S GOLD)
10  CREOLE REB Mar26 Mar09       (leonard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
  (by OLE REBEL out of GAYLE'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  PARTY LITTLE BOY Mar26 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26 Jan16 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 123 6.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of PARTY WITH BRANDO by BERTRANDO)
SCR  FRIEND'S DO CARE Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 Dec08 (pennino fran)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
  (by PIMPERNEL out of SUITEFRIENDSOFMINE by RICHTER SCALE)
 
EVD-7   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZYDECO MUSIC Mar04 Feb04 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
HEI HEI CUSTIVITY Apr12 Mar18 Feb26 Feb04 Jan12 (richards coral)THORNTON G 117 2.50 19% 4.40    
ROSE PALACE Mar26 Feb23 Jan19 Dec22 Nov27 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.80 12% 7.10    
SIENNA BREEZE Apr19 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Jan12 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 20.00    
MAESTRIA Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 Dec26 Dec04 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 5.00 12% 7.70    
INAWIC Mar18 Feb11 Jan29 Nov23 Feb02 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
CONDESA'S HANDMAID Jul12 May29 Apr23 Mar27 Feb28 (shamsie rand)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
BROKE FINANCING Apr12 Mar12 Jan27 Aug19 Jul20 (jackson dway)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
 
EVD-8   04/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Apr13 Feb23 Jan28 Jan16 Dec16 (morrell cyn)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00    
ONE MORE SLEEP Apr13 Jan26 Jan05     (magnon jason)STOKES A 118 4.50    
ST JOE May27 May06 Apr06 Feb26 Feb11 (stemmans don)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00    
AMANDAS NEW MAN Apr14 Mar12 Feb16 Jan21 Oct19 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
WAR KING Jan21 Dec20 Sep26 Sep11   (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 123 12.00 8% 11.60    
D'FESTIVE CAT Jan07 Nov26 Aug26     (bourque warren)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
PAC THE PULPIT Apr13 Feb10 Jan18 Dec20 Nov22 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
RUNAWAY JIM Apr13 Mar10 Feb21     (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
ADMIRAL AFLEET Apr13 Mar22 Mar10 Feb25 Oct14 (perron ger)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 5.00    
10  HALF CRAZY Apr13 Mar10 Feb21 Oct07   (boxie s)FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
11  MULETRAIN Apr13 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan18 (bernar)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00 5% 17.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.