Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/2)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/5/2)-(2/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(2/6/5)-(8/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(8/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(8/1/5/4)-(7/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/4)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/4)-(7/5/3)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(2/3)-(6/1/8/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/1/8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/10)-(6/1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/10)-(6/1/8/10)-(6/1/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINETY NINE Mar29 Feb12       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  ALWAYS ROYAL Mar19 Mar02 Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 (hess b)CASTANON L 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  ROYAL DAME Apr02 Mar04 Feb08 Jan14 Dec03 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
4  LOVE FOREVERAFTER Apr02 Jan29 Jan06     (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 3.00    
5  SUSIE'S SAVER Apr02 Mar22 Mar08 Feb18 Dec18 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
6  HAPPY UNION Mar22 Feb12 Jan13 Dec14   (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
 
TAM-2   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY TOO SPARE Mar31 Nov23 Sep08 Aug22 Jul18 (spanabel kell)SOSA LAUREANO 116 30.00    
2  LUSCIOUS Mar31 Dec23 Nov23 Aug29 Jul23 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  PEEP'S DAY Apr12 Mar04 Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 111 8.00    
SCR  CHICAGO RIVER Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Oct27 Sep11 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.00    
5  BARBARA Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb22 Jan28 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  DIVINE CONNECTION Mar09 Jan19 Oct14 Oct02 Sep02 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 123 0.60 31% 2.30    
 
TAM-3   04/23/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELIC STORM Apr05 Mar19 Mar08 Jul30 Jun02 (chain pea)HERRERA R 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  WINE WITH A ROSE Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 Jan21 Dec16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  SONG AND TAP Mar05 Nov27       (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 8% 10.80    
4  POWERFUL NATIVE Apr05 Mar19 Feb08 Jul09 Feb25 (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 126 4.50    
5  GRAND ARROW Mar01 Nov25 Oct30 Sep18   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 1.60 19% 4.20    
6  LA DAME DE FER Apr08 Dec21       (james gerald)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
7  POLITICAL ASTRAY Mar29         (cascallares )ARROYO S 126 20.00    
 
TAM-4   04/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Apr08 Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 Jan29 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
2  FACTION CAT         (bennett )GALLARDO A 119 0.80 63% 0.60    
3  COMMODORE BARRY Mar26 Oct20 Sep27 Sep15 Sep06 (cooper thoma)ARROYO S 119 12.00    
SCR  HENRY'S WORLD Feb05 Nov26 Oct28 Aug13 Jul30 (wasiluk peter )COTTO L 119 20.00    
5  BAM BAM BLU Mar31 Mar12 Jan20 Oct22 Oct08 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THATSAFACTJACK Feb22 Jan20 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 (cahill steven )ALLEN D 119 3.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  ZAMFIR Feb08 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 Jul16 (richards rena)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JOYFUL HEART Apr05 Jan14 Dec14 Dec03 Nov12 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLANE JANE Apr08 Mar25 Jan15 Dec21 Oct21 (bennett s)FERRER C 125 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  SHE IS ROYALTY Apr05 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 Jan15 (calixto iv)ORDONEZ R 125 20.00    
3  FLASH DEAR Apr05 Feb24 Oct05     (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 118 15.00    
4  ROMAN PRINCESS         (scocca linda)GARCIA GEOVANY 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  UCAPTURED AERO Feb20         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 125 4.50 9% 10.70    
6  MY BATON ROUGE Feb22 Dec30 Dec17 Dec07 Aug30 (calixto ivan)BRACHO A 118 12.00    
7  LIVELY REMARK Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Jan29 Jan15 (nunn douglas)SOSA LAUREANO 118 8.00    
8  DUDESFIRSTDARLING Mar25 Feb24 Apr16     (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 125 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
TAM-6   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE SHORES Apr16         (james gerald)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
SCR  MASTER SERGEANT Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 Feb05 Aug19 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
3  TURESKIS Mar25 Mar04 Dec09     (raven kerri)CASTANON L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOMNUS (GB) Mar23         (sweezey ke)BATISTA A 120 2.50    
5  O ROMEO Apr08 Mar09       (ramirez lui)FERRER C 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
6  AWESOME HONOR Apr14 Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 Oct15 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 ★    
7  PRALINE'S CAT Apr07 Mar25 Mar08 Feb22 Dec28 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 56% 0.80    
8  DAD'S ON A ROLL Apr07 Mar08 Feb22 Jan27 Dec03 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
 
TAM-7   04/23/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR BEACH Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb03 Dec28 (dini mike)FERRER C 124 10.00    
2  KINGSTOWN Mar04 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec04 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.40 67% 0.50    
3  TAPINTOYOURBEER Apr16 Apr07 Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 (ubide max)ALLEN D 124 3.00 6% 14.80    
4  BLACK LIMO Mar19 Mar03 Jan22 Sep24 Sep07 (hayford jenn)BATISTA A 124 10.00 ★    
5  SANDY DUDE Mar24 Mar04 Jan27 Dec28 Nov30 (harney heather)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 ★    
6  BAM BAM WARRIOR Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan27 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50    
7  DIAMOND LUCKIE Apr07 Mar31       (gurrola ge)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
SCR  WILD IRISHMAN Apr12 Mar24 Mar11 Jan28 Jan08 (ward dennis)ARROYO S 124 10.00    
 
TAM-8   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET DUTCHESS Apr02 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec24 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  HIGH VIBES Mar22 Mar08 Jan18 Dec24 Nov26 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
3  GLITTER BAY Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 Feb03 Jan07 (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 112 15.00    
4  LALOBA FEROZ Feb11 Dec28 Sep10 Aug05 Jun26 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
5  ASTERS D'ORO Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Dec31 Dec14 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
6  SATURDAY NITE GIRL Mar11 Jan28 Aug21 Jul11 Jun11 (proctor )GALLARDO A 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  LEA RO Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 Dec14 (campb)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
8  THUNDER BUGGY Apr08 Mar01 Jan20 Jan08 Dec23 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 9% 9.90    
9  FAMILY BAND Apr08 Dec29 Nov17     (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
10  SINGALONG KAYLA Mar24 Feb22 Jan29 Jun25 May29 (king b)MENA E 119 8.00 6% 14.70    
11  MY MAGGIE MOO Mar29 Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 (mcburney patrick)BRACHO A 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.