Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(5/3/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(5/3/1/6/9)-(6/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/3/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/6/9)-(5/3/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/6/9)-(5/3/1/6/9)-(5/3/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/1/6/9)-(6/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/6/9)-(6/3/2)-(6/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(6/2)-(3/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(3/7/1)-(9/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(9/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(9/6/7/2)-(6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (9/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/7/2)-(9/6/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/7/2)-(9/6/7/2/1)-(9/6/7/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/7/2)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/6/7/2)-(6/3)-(3/6/8/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/7/1)-(6/3/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/6/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/6/8/5)-(8/5/9/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/5)-(3/6/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/5)-(3/6/8/5/4)-(3/6/8/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/8/5)-(8/5/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (8/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2)-(8/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S LUCKY Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan11 (perez manny)FELIX E 122 6.00    
2  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr06 Jan27 Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  GOLDEN CHELLA Apr03 Mar15 Feb22 Feb08   (sullivan ell)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00    
4  RIP IT RYAN Apr06 Mar19 Feb04 Dec18 Dec04 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Mar23 Mar12 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00    
6  IMPULSIVENESS Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Dec03 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  OPTION Apr06 Nov18 Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 (meraz antonio)COLON H 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
HAW-2   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESTORING HOPE Apr09 Mar30 Dec30 Jul06 Jun11 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
2  D'FEVER Mar19 Mar09 Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
3  EASTER MUSIC Apr09 Dec18 Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Mar30 Mar12 Feb03 Jan07 Sep18 (rosin w)EMIGH A 124 3.50    
5  FREE SPEECH Jan11 Dec08 Oct04 Aug30 Jul28 (sullivan ell)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
6  D' YANK Mar05 Dec31 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 (martinez a)FELIX E 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
7  JUST BLAZE Mar24 Feb10 Mar27 Mar03 Feb10 (scherer g)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
8  IRISH MAJOR Apr16 Mar30 Mar12 Dec16 Dec02 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 15.00    
9  RISKY BOY Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Jan24 Jan14 (shephard john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00 5% 17.70    
 
HAW-3   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST MARTINI Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 Jul02 Jun16 (rosin w)EMIGH A 122 5.00    
2  IOYA AGAIN Mar24 Feb09 Dec31 Dec11 Nov26 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
3  MOVE ON OVER Mar23 Mar12 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
4  SCAT SHACK Apr06 Mar10 Jan25 Dec31 Dec18 (ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00    
5  PINEDALE Mar30 Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
6  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT Mar24 Mar02 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
 
HAW-4   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE IN COREY Jan27 Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Oct29 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
2  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Dec17 Dec04 Nov20 Oct28 Oct07 (quinonez max)FELIX E 122 8.00 ★    
4  CADET CORPS Mar09 Feb26 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.00    
5  DYNABLUE Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
6  FIRST MASAMUNE Mar30 Mar16 Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
HAW-5   04/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Apr06 Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 110 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
SCR  CLIMB TO GLORY Apr06 Mar02 Feb11     (dizeo dino)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 5.00 ★    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  HOP AWAY HOTTIE Mar16         (tracy tanner)FELIX E 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by SOCK HOP out of BLEW ME AWAY by INDY KING)
4  TAR HEEL GIRL Mar16 Jan22       (block chris)MOJICA O 117 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UPPERLINE by MARIA'S MON)
5  WICKED SKY Apr02 Dec03 Oct14 Jul23   (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 117 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
6  LIL CARRIE D Mar12 Dec30 Dec16 Nov12 Oct14 (slager mike)SANCHEZ DIEGO 117 10.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
7  SECRET OPERATION Mar26 Dec30       (slager mike)HUGHES CARLY 117 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by BELOMOR out of I'M SO BEAUTIFUL by GRAND SLAM)
 
HAW-6   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSE OF SELF Nov13 Oct01 Aug29 Jun17 May20 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00 ★    
2  SAMARITA Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 Nov25 Oct30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  RACEDAY ATTIRE Apr02 Mar12 Feb14 Dec18 Dec04 (witthauer k)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
4  FOOT RUB LOVE Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 Dec02 Nov21 (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  IGGY BIGS Dec18 Nov27 Oct22 Sep06 Aug09 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
6  AVASARALA Mar26 Mar05 Jan04 Dec18 Nov27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 7% 14.30    
7  SEAWARD Apr13 Mar26 Feb15 Jan14 Dec31 (hernandez javi)COLON H 122 6.00 6% 15.40    
8  GOOD MONGOLIA Mar26 Dec11 Nov25 Nov13 Sep30 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 124 4.50    
9  LONG TALL WOMAN Mar05 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Oct09 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.40 59% 0.70    
 
HAW-7   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z U SOON Mar16 Mar05 Feb09 Jan23 Dec30 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00 ★    
2  TRY TRY AGAIN Mar30 Mar09 Dec31 Nov20 Aug20 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
3  DARK HEDGES Mar30 Mar09 Jan19 Dec17 Nov19 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  MEDAL OF FACT Apr02 Mar16 Dec31 Nov18 Oct16 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
5  ALPINE GHOST Apr02 Mar16 Feb17 Dec31 Dec10 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 6.00    
6  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Apr02 Mar23 Mar12 Feb02 Dec30 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
7  ASTI SKY Apr06 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec09 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-8   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGNA MASSA Apr02 Mar09 Sep30 Aug09   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 15.00    
SCR  DESSERT FIRST Feb10 Jan22 Nov26 Oct13 Sep26 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 116 20.00    
3  FIRST KITTEN Apr02 Mar12 Feb15 Jan19 Jan10 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
4  TRIP TO FREEDOM Mar19 Dec17       (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 12.00 ★    
5  JOURNEYIST Apr02 Mar12 Nov27 Nov11 Oct15 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 8% 11.80    
6  STORMY EMPIRE Apr02 Mar12 Dec31 Dec18 Dec09 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  SHE'S WANDAFUL Dec31 Dec09 Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 (miller r)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
8  RAINY MOUNTAIN Mar30 Dec31 Dec11 Nov13 Aug12 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
9  CHROME ATTACK Dec18 Nov27 Oct16 Sep23 Jun17 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
 
HAW-9   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLAME SHIFTER Mar19         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 5.00 6% 16.30    
  (by BLAME out of BLING ON THE MUSIC by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH Mar26 Nov18 Sep30 Aug29   (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 118 4.50 7% 13.80    
  (by STROLL out of TOUGH RIPPLES by GOOD AND TOUGH)
3  MINING CAMP Apr13 Mar19 Mar05 Dec31   (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
4  ALL ABOUT CROGE Mar26 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Dec30 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of P D F INDYLITE by COUNT ME IN)
5  MERLOTTI Mar26         (wainwright john)FELIX E 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
6  TENPAK Mar26         (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 15.00    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
7  SARAH'S BOY BLUE Aug22         (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 20.00    
  (by NEWPORT out of SARAH'S SALLY by MALIBU MOON)
8  RUSSIAN HAMMER Mar26 Mar05 Dec30 Dec17   (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by BELOMOR out of CUTE LEGGY LADY by MASTER COMMAND)
9  BACK TO SELLING Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SALES CALL by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.