Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6/7)-(2/3/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(1)-(3/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/7) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(3/4/8/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/4/8/7)-(2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7/6)-(3/4/8/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/8/7)-(2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/7)-(2/6/7)-(8/2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/8/5)-(2/6/7/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(8/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(8/2/3/1)-(9/7/6/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1/4)-(8/2/3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/3/1)-(9/7/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/1)-(9/7/6/4/2)-(5/2/8/10/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (9/7/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/4/2)-(9/7/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/4/2)-(9/7/6/4/2)-(9/7/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/6/4/2)-(5/2/8/10/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/4/2)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(8/9/5/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/8/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/10/4)-(8/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/10/4)-(8/9/5/6)-(2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/6)-(8/9/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/6)-(8/9/5/6/3)-(8/9/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/5/6)-(2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-9   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6/8/4/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/6/8/4/9)-(2/6/8/4/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOK THE CHAIN Feb24 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (greaves vernon)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00    
2  PHILMARY CASTLE Jan20 Nov18 Oct20 Sep28 Sep07 (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Mar04 Feb24 Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  WAGER WORTHY Feb24 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
5  GOLDEN SALLY Mar04 Feb11 Jan18 Jan06 Dec15 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 116 10.00    
6  MAY MAYS CASTLE Mar04 Jan20 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
7  APPEALING ROAD Mar04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50 ★    
 
CT-2   03/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE REASON Mar01 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 57% 0.80    
SCR  VALID REASON Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 ★    
3  SALSA RITA Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 Nov08 (grullon riq)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
4  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
5  UNCANNY Jan20 Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 Sep01 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00    
SCR  COLLEGE KID Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Nov02 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 ★    
7  DING DING Jan12 Oct01 Jul07 May21 Apr06 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  THUNDER PUNCH Mar01 Jan21 Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET ANNABELLA Feb22 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 8.00    
2  RAVENEL Feb26 Feb11 Dec10 Nov18 Oct06 (harting chri)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
3  MARVELLA NASTY Mar04 Feb10 Jan18 May14 Mar30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  SHINY PENNY Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 (pickett crysta)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
5  SOME IS NINE Mar04 Feb16 Jan15 Dec31 Nov30 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
6  FLOATING BY Mar04 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 (stahlin john)ADAMS L 117 6.00 ★    
7  SHEMADEMELUCKY Feb26 Feb10 Jan12 Dec27 Nov05 (pennell)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 15.00 7% 13.00    
8  MISS WILD Jan25 Dec02 Oct19 Sep24 Sep10 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 117 4.00 10% 9.20    
 
CT-4   03/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLEGHENY HERO Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Nov30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 10.00    
2  JUST A FLIRT Sep03 Aug13 Jul23     (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
3  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Mar10 Feb23 Jan11 Dec09 Nov12 (racane)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00    
4  CURB THAT TIGER Mar09 Feb15 Jan06 Dec17   (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00    
5  BOBBYS CASE LOAD Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov30 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 126 5.00 ★    
6  WINDSOR'S STAR Jan06 Dec14 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 6.00 34% 1.90    
7  DE'S CASTLE Mar09 Feb15 Dec14 Nov26 Nov05 (sigler ron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  JUBAY Mar11 Feb15 Jan06 Dec17   (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 118 5.00 ★    
9  KING KJARTAN Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26   (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
10  SWEET T Feb23 Jan28 Jan11     (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00    
 
CT-5   03/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYGIDGETMARIE Feb15 Jan25 Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 (huet k)LEWIS M 112 6.00 13% 6.90    
2  BALI'S SHADE Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec02 Oct16 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
3  DANCIN IN DUBAI Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 Jan26 Jan07 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
4  TANELEER Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug20 Aug04 (raymond donov)ADAMS L 115 15.00 ★    
5  ROCKING TO HOME Mar10 Jan12 Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
6  WAYNE'S HOPE Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
7  ANGELUS DIAMOND Feb22 Feb13 Jan02 Dec21 Nov28 (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 115 12.00    
8  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Mar10 Feb15 Dec09     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-6   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 117 30.00    
2  SPUNTACULAR Mar11 Dec02 Nov03 Oct04 Sep14 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY MIRACLE MAN Mar11 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 Dec17 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
4  AMICALOLA FALLS Jan21 Dec29 Nov21 Oct14 Oct02 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 5.00 6% 15.50    
5  MR. MOSLEY Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08 Dec18 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00    
6  WE B SHACKIN Mar11 Feb04 Nov17     (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
7  ITS OVER Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  DINNER BELL Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 (king yo)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
9  STRONGER THAN DEX Mar05 Feb12 Jan20 Dec29 Dec10 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
10  DEJOHN Mar03 Feb26 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 (aguirre anth)LEWIS M 119 4.00    
11  GILLIGAN Mar17 Jan08 Dec09 Nov12 Jun24 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 6.00    
 
CT-7   03/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REY O REYES Feb25 Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 (adorno)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
2  THEWITCHISGONE Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Nov30 Oct26 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  IN HIGH GEAR Mar10 Feb23 Feb09 Dec01 Nov12 (mcdonald timoth)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
4  JEFFERSON SECURITY Mar02 Jan11 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 18.10    
5  GET OFF MY CLOUD Feb25 Jan27 Dec08 Nov17 Nov05 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  CHASE LIL ME Feb25 Feb08 Jan13 Nov30 Nov04 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
7  ROCK FILE Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul01 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00    
8  THUNDERINREADYRICK Feb22 Feb08 Jan07 Dec16 Nov16 (bass w)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
9  SWISS LEGACY Apr27 Mar02 Feb04     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
10  TWILIGHT YEARS Feb09 Dec14 Nov23 Sep23 Sep16 (shuler john)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
CT-8   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAXJAXXORJACKS Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
2  ACASHA'S INTUITION Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 117 6.00    
3  BUDDY BUDDY Feb24 Dec08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 ★    
4  LITTLE ROO ROO Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
5  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 116 4.50 14% 6.00    
6  ENTRY TIME Feb15 Jan11 Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
7  REATA'S CASTLE Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Nov23 (collyer d)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
8  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Feb24 Feb09 Jan11 Nov30 Nov17 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
9  TOBI WAN KENOBI Feb16 Jan25 Dec14 Oct15   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
CT-9   03/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM IS RINGING Mar10 Feb22 Feb08 Jan14 Nov19 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 10.00    
2  COMPANY CLOWN Feb11 Dec01 Nov05 Sep29 Sep01 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 1.60 75% 0.30    
3  GOLDEN G Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan13 Dec16 (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00    
4  GRUMPELSTILTSKIN Feb22 Feb08 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 ★    
5  KUKULKAN (MEX) Feb11 Jan27 Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
6  MR TINGLES Mar09 Feb02 Jan21 Jan13 Nov04 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00 ★    
7  BUTTONED UP Feb22 Jan27 Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
8  NITRO TIME Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 Nov05 Sep21 (santillana )RAMGEET R 122 12.00 ★    
9  E J'S REVENGE Feb11 Feb02 Jan22 Jan13 Jan01 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 10.00 ★    
10  MI GUSTO ES Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan21 Dec28 (sandoval mic)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
11  LOADED SNIPER Feb16 Jan25 Jan14 Dec10 Nov19 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
12  INSIDE RISK Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Jan19 Jan12 (caison jody )LEWIS M 115 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.