Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/4/3)-(2/1/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1)-(3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/4/2/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/1)-(4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2/5/7)-(3/1/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4)-(2/1/5/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(2/1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(2/1/5/4)-(5/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4/6)-(2/1/5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/4)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/4)-(5/7)-(1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(1)-(2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/8/3/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/1)-(5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
HAW-8   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
HAW-9   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIAN ALPHABET Sep17 Aug19 Mar04     (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 20% 4.00    
2  WICKED SUPRISE Mar09 Dec31 Dec16     (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
3  GUST OF WIND Mar05 Dec31 Dec11     (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 ★    
4  ROCKET MAN ATTACK Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Oct09 Sep10 (childers vance)BAIRD T 124 6.00 ★    
5  LUKE ATTACK Oct22 Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 Jul15 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00    
6  LIGHTNING CASHES Mar09 Jan19 Dec17     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 1.80 ★    
 
HAW-2   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Mar12 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov27 (ryan a)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
2  IRONMAN RICHIE Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 115 1.80 ★    
3  K T'S JILTED GROOM Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 Aug25 Aug03 (martinez )ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00    
4  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Mar05 Feb10 Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  KANITHAPPEN Dec16 Nov27 Nov13 Nov04 Oct14 (randazzo fra)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
6  TEA AFTER BALLET Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-3   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCH FLYER Dec16 Nov20 Nov12 Sep20 Sep03 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
2  PRANCIPANTS Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec31 (sanchez o)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 ★    
3  FIRST SQUADRON Mar09 Dec31 Dec17 Nov27 Nov20 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 1.40 40% 1.50    
SCR  WANNA HAVE FUN Mar09 Dec31 Dec17 Dec03 Nov20 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
5  LADY ATLANTIC Oct29 Oct15 Sep25 Aug17 Jul07 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00 ★    
6  PRINCESS CONSUELA Feb06 Jan19 Jan11 Dec17 Dec03 (sanchez oscar)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
7  NEXT TIME YOU WIN Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul15 Jun14 (nesbitt amy)COLON H 122 12.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP LEFT Feb25 Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 Dec03 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  BELLEFIRE Sep10 Jul28 Jun26     (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
3  JEMEZ FALLS Mar12 Dec31 Dec02     (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00 ★    
4  OPALINE         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SISTER SWEDE         (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GETTIN DOWN         (rivelli l)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
7  MISS MIA Mar12 Dec02 Oct14 Sep17   (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 4.50    
 
HAW-5   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Mar12 Feb02 Dec30 Dec04 Nov13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  TIME HEIST Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 (young terry )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  CRANKSHAFT Sep16 Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jun28 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00    
4  MOVE ON OVER Mar12 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov06 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
5  NYOMAN Feb22 Jan18 Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  CHICKS FOR FREE Mar05 Jan18 Dec17 Nov19 Aug12 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 5.00 ★    
7  TWO COOKIE RULE Mar05 Dec31 Dec18 Nov26 Nov20 (martinez ral)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00    
 
HAW-6   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZWOW Mar05 Sep30 Sep06 Aug26 Aug09 (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 116 15.00    
SCR  VALIANTLY DISCREET Mar05 Dec30 Dec03 Nov19   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.20 39% 1.60    
SCR  PRAIRIE WOLF Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jun04 May14 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
4  DASTARDLY DEEDS Dec29 Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 Oct02 (candelas blan)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
5  BEEASY Mar05 Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Jan09 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 ★    
7  SOVIET STANDARD Mar09 Dec17 Dec09     (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 109 5.00 8% 11.10    
 
HAW-7   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($27.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABELLACANNETELLA Dec10 Nov25 Oct30     (jones jef)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
2  LIPLINER Dec10 Oct08 Jun24 Jun17 May15 (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
3  GHAALEB'S DOMAIN Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep06 Aug09 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  RANK AND FILE Mar12 Dec31 Nov20 Nov13 Oct07 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00    
5  JUST A WONDER Oct16 Sep20 Sep02 Jul22 Jul05 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 12.00    
SCR  RACETOTHEFINISH Sep03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun04 May07 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
7  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Dec18 Nov25 Oct30 Jul22 Jun28 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 ★    
8  MY MORNING GAL Dec02 Nov11 Oct04 Aug16 Jul19 (coontz arthur )COLON H 122 10.00 ★    
9  WAY TOO SMARTE Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 (pompell robert)ORM CORY 122 12.00    
 
HAW-8   03/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM KEEPER Dec30 Nov04 Jun29 May18 Mar27 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 5% 17.80    
2  BUCK MOON Jun10 May13 Apr13 Mar26 Feb26 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 2.00 69% 0.40    
3  W W CRAZY Nov27 Nov02 Sep24 Aug30 Aug16 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
4  LAVENDER EARL Dec04 Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 Sep25 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 ★    
5  BANDIT SWANSON Feb04 Jan04 Nov24 Nov13 Oct20 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.50 ★    
6  SEMINOLE BEACH Dec18 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Sep20 (randazzo fra)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00    
SCR  YOU'RE IN COREY Jan27 Dec31 Dec11 Nov19 Oct29 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
8  ANDREW THE GIANT Dec31 Dec18 Nov13 Oct21 Oct01 (ross bradley )SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 10.00    
SCR  SILVER QUARTERS Dec11 Nov20 Oct29     (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   03/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Mar03 Feb12 Jan11 Nov11 Aug06 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  C F V NOBODYCARES Mar09 Mar09 Feb25 Feb12   (gonzalez lili)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 6.00 ★    
3  MICHAEL GEORGE Jan19 Dec21 Nov27 Nov19 Nov01 (hernandez j)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
4  KING ZION Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Oct23 Oct07 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
5  SUPER CITRO         (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
6  LOOKING SALTY Mar09 Dec31 Dec03 Nov16 Oct31 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 124 8.00    
7  PERFUMER Mar09 Dec31 Dec16     (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★    
8  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Mar09 Feb14 Jan20 Dec31 Dec11 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00    
SCR  CAJUN PUZZLER Feb26 Jan08 Dec16 Nov12   (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.