Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/4/2)-(3/5/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/5/1)-(7/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/2/4)-(6/5/1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/6/1)-(8/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(8/2/4)-(7/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/1/3/4)-(8/2/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(2/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(2/1/6)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3/7)-(2/1/6/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/2)-(8/7/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(8/7/6/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(8/7/6/9)-(3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/9)-(8/7/6/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/9)-(8/7/6/9/1)-(8/7/6/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/6/9)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/7/1)-(3/6/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITCHING Sep20 Sep03 Aug20 Aug02 Jul09 (lynch e)ORM CORY 122 5.00    
2  TRIP TO FREEDOM Dec17         (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
3  MY LADY SLEW Dec18 Dec02 Oct21 Oct01 Jul30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  MAYSTART Nov25 Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Aug29 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 2.50 ★    
5  NIFF Mar09 Jun10 Jun03 May07 Apr24 (hughes w)BAIRD T 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
6  FIELD DAISEY Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 (bigelow e)LOPEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
HAW-2   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIMMER ME TIMBERS         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
2  PINBALLER Mar09 Dec31 Dec16 Feb18 Jan15 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 ★    
3  TALKTOEACHOTHER Mar09 Feb21 Jan23 Dec31 Dec10 (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00    
4  RIDING THE TRAIN Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 Sep17 Aug20 (dizeo din)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 ★    
5  LUCKY SHOT Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 Jul17 May01 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 1.80 25% 3.00    
6  TEE BURNS Jan26 Dec10 Oct30 May14 Apr23 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
HAW-3   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL'S GEM Dec16 Dec03 Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 (matthews doug)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 9% 10.40    
2  PALACE MAGIC Mar05 Dec17 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  GO STORMIN GIRL Mar05 Dec31 Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 (cook brian)BAIRD T 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Mar01 Feb06 Dec31 Dec18 Dec03 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00    
5  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Dec18 Nov16 Oct24 Oct04 Sep24 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80    
6  ALMAFUERTE Jan19 Dec31 Dec16 Nov27 Nov13 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
7  KITTEN ROCKS Dec31 Dec16 Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 (cook brian)COLON H 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
HAW-4   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME SHIFTER         (vanden berg)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50 ★    
2  MINING CAMP Mar05 Dec31       (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
3  PASSING TIME         (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 111 8.00 ★    
4  CHERRY ORCHARD         (slager mike)ORM CORY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHERLOCK WHO         (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00    
6  SWISS GUARD Jan07 Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 Sep24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.50    
7  MODIFIER Dec31 Nov27       (perez manny)FELIX E 124 6.00    
8  LOCOMOTE         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
HAW-5   03/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP NOTE Mar05 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 (claire alexis)FELIX E 115 15.00    
2  STORM'S REFLECTION Dec18 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Jan27 Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 Aug05 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 ★    
4  FUTURE VISION Mar05 Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 Oct16 (juarez bl)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  KEEN RESPONSE Feb11 Dec17 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 ★    
6  WHERE'S LUCKY Mar05 Feb04 Jan11 Jun25 May27 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
7  BIG BLUE Dec09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep23 Aug27 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
8  RIP IT RYAN Feb04 Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 Aug02 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
HAW-6   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE WAY HOME Oct21 Sep13 Sep06 Aug23 Aug12 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
2  AGAVE KID Feb27 Feb02 Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 (meraz antonio)BAIRD T 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  D'FEVER Mar09 Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 Oct09 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 3.50 ★    
4  DEVIL'S RULE Mar05 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
5  KING TITO Mar05 Dec17 Nov18 Oct30 Oct21 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
6  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Mar02 Feb22 Dec18 Nov18 Oct21 (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00 10% 9.10    
7  RISKY BOY Mar05 Jan24 Jan14 Dec30 Dec17 (shephard joh)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
8  GEMO RAIN Mar05 Feb09 Dec17 Nov09 Oct24 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
9  BEL BIMBO Mar05 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 (castro isidro)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 30.00    
 
HAW-7   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDWOOD DREAMER Dec30 Dec02 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 (becker scott)EMIGH A 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  W W TRAFALGAR May27 Apr26       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  RIGHT ON RICHIE Feb23 Jan12 Dec10 Nov19 Oct21 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 116 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  EMPTY HOLSTER Mar05 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct21 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  DEMAND RANSOM Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov25 Nov06 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
6  COMING UP ACES Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov20 Oct07 (miller r)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
7  SENOR MIKE Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 Oct09 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
8  ASTI SKY Dec30 Dec17 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-8   03/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOYS DREAM Dec04 Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 Jun17 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 ★    
2  MISTER CHARMING Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov20 Nov06 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
SCR  FAITHFUL KING Nov25         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 115 8.00    
4  EDITOR IN CHIEF May30 May06 Mar10 Feb03 Jan08 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
SCR  MR. SOLO Nov19 Oct14 Sep19 Sep02 Aug13 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 10.00    
6  BEARS WATCHING Feb10 Jan27       (medina robert)COLON H 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
7  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep13 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  HIGH BROW Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov12 May06 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  EVERLOVINGHAND Feb21 Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 Nov19 (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-9   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADLY Nov08 Sep27       (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50 ★    
2  EVIE JEAN Mar05 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 4.50    
3  LADA KALINA Mar05         (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  TWICK OR TWEAT Mar05         (matthews doug)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 5% 18.50    
5  BUMPER GIRL Mar05 Dec02 Jul01 Jun07 May19 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
6  TIS SYRIAN KITTY         (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 124 10.00 27% 2.80    
7  AMARI S. Jan27 Jan13 Dec30 Dec02 Nov16 (lynch e)ORM CORY 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  MAZLAN Dec02 Nov13 Sep23 Sep09   (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 12.00    
9  PRINCESS TONI Mar09 Feb14 Jan11 Dec11 Dec02 (hernandez j)ORTEGA O 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.