Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (8/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/9)-(8/3/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/9)-(1/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7/2)-(1/5/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/3/8)-(6/5/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/2/5)-(7/8/6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/6/7)-(3/8/6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/8)-(10/7/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-7   WIN (10/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/4/2)-(10/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/4/2)-(10/7/4/2)-(10/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/4/2)-(3/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1)-(3/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/1)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-9   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/2/3/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/2/3/10)-(5/4/2/3/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   03/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDY CHOICE Jan07 Dec10 Oct15 Aug12   (lynch a)KRIGGER K 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CRITIC'S CHOICE by SMART STRIKE)
2  LEFTEMBEHIND Oct27 Sep29       (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LATE 'N LEFT by LUCKY PULPIT)
3  WIMHOF         (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of INFORMED DECISION by MONARCHOS)
4  WINDSOR PARK Feb04         (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CARRIAGE TRAIL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ODE TO WAR         (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ODELIZ by FALCO)
6  FORGE IN FIRE         (lynch a)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CHOIR by COX'S RIDGE)
7  CUMBERLAND Jan26         (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
8  KALIK Oct23 Sep16       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by COLLECTED out of CORONATION STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  CERTAIN Jan11 Dec08 Nov05     (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 9% 9.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of IMPECCABLE LADY by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  AMERICA'S GUEST Jan21 Aug27 Jul30     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of GAME FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  RIGEL Feb03         (sancal murat)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 6% 14.90    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of MAJOR Z by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  COSMIC STARDUST Feb19         (wilkes r)MORALES ANGEL 111 20.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DYNA STAR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  EL ORO (FR) Dec24 Nov27       (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNNATURAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
GP-2   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA MARIA Jan18 Dec30 Nov11 Oct21   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by GIRVIN out of JOE'S GIFT by SKY MESA)
2  CONFER Jan15 Dec18 Nov11     (cazares laura)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of BIRDTASTIC by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  ERIN'S MOMENT Feb17 Jan25 Dec24     (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
  (by DECISIVE MOMENT out of ERIN'S WORLD by POMEROY)
4  SASSY BUT PRECIOUS Feb12 Jan15 Dec24 Dec01 Oct21 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of NOW MY PRECIOUS by DONERAILE COURT)
5  SIN FOR A SEASON         (fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BE KIND by OVERANALYZE)
6  CECILIA'S WINGS Jan15 Oct07 Sep02 Aug19   (jimenez l)RIOS M 118 20.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of DIVA STAR by AMERICAN CHAMP)
7  PRINCIPIA Mar04 Feb12 Jan19 Dec07 Nov27 (dakin a)KRIGGER K 118 12.00 9% 10.30    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of CABINETTE by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
GP-3   03/17/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BACK TO NORMAL Dec21 Nov17 Feb11 Jan15   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  RAISE A PROFIT Mar01 Oct16 Sep11 Aug25 Jul31 (maragh)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
3  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Feb22 Jan21 Sep25 Aug27 Jul30 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 ★    
4  RUGGED UNION Jan05 Sep15 Jul20 Jun18 May01 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
5  INEVTABL CONECTION Jan21 Dec21 Oct08 Aug23 Jul17 (klesaris s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  FAMOUS GENT Feb18 Feb02 Jan08 Nov26 Sep18 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
7  BELLA FUTURE Feb18 Jan21 Dec23 Aug12 Jul29 (cazares laura)PEREZ EDGAR 120 20.00    
8  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) Feb15 Oct30 Oct16 Sep11 Aug25 (dunslow m)WILSON JAYNE 120 12.00 ★    
 
GP-4   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE TIGER Feb17         (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 122 8.00    
2  SPANISH FURY         (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00 ★    
3  SUPER UNISON Feb11         (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
4  W. P. CADET Feb19 Jan13       (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00    
5  EVENTFUL Mar02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec16   (sano antonio)RIOS M 122 5.00 ★    
6  SOUND DOCTRINE         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
7  FATHER DELAY Aug13         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  SOLOMONS GOLD Mar02 Feb08 Jan12 Dec08 Nov12 (bates larry)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
GP-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($87K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T GET KHOZY Feb18 Jan14 Dec10 Oct16 Sep10 (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  BETH'S DREAM Jan14 Jul23 Jun11 Apr22 Feb23 (barboza victor)ORTIZ L 120 1.00 63% 0.60    
3  ROSE E HOLIDAY Feb24 Jan26 Dec26 Sep18 Aug29 (hernandez jos)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 6% 15.60    
4  MUSIC CITY STAR Feb19 Dec31 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 6.00    
5  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 Oct29 Sep29 (meah m)MORALES ANGEL 115 10.00 ★    
6  SOUL OF AN ANGEL Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Dec14 Nov19 (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 12.00 ★    
 
GP-6   03/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOST WANTED MAN Feb08 Nov06 Sep02 Aug10 Jun24 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of LADY OF KYUSHU by SMART STRIKE)
2  ORTUS         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of CELTIC SUNRISE by FREUD)
3  OGLETHORPE Jul22 Jun03       (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of STAR ACT by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  DR KRINGLE         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  MEMORIES R MAGIC Feb08 Jan20       (dobber w)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  HAPPY RUNNER Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 Apr16 Mar19 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BELLE GALLANTEY by AFTER MARKET)
7  RACKET Feb10 Jan13 Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 (mckanas j)PEREZ EDGAR 122 12.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GAME FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
8  EXACT ESTIMATE Jun10 Apr24       (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 7% 14.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGIC UNION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  ZAKHARI Feb03 Dec11 Jun16     (burke nigel )BRIDGMOHAN X 122 30.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of ZELKOVA by LION HEART)
10  LEVITY Sep01 Aug12 Jul15     (oliver victor)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
SCR  BOSQUE REDONDO Feb17 Dec28       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by WAR FRONT out of NEMORALIA by MORE THAN READY)
 
GP-7   03/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEIR TO THE ROAR Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Jun18 May22 (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
2  HAY HAY PAULA Feb22 Jan01 Dec08 Nov20 Oct22 (pinchin jose)JARAMILLO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FOXY LADY Feb23 Feb01 Jan14 Dec02 Nov11 (drexler marti)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
4  TREVESS Feb18 Jan15 Dec18 Oct15 Sep25 (cazares laur)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  ONEZY'S DREAM Jan19 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 (creque rashar)MORALES ANGEL 113 12.00    
6  LOVIN MAKES CENTS Feb18 Jan14 Dec21 Dec04 Nov25 (mckath)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
7  DESIGNED BY KITTEN Feb15 Jan14 Dec15 Oct25 Oct03 (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  GOLDEN ISLE Feb10 Dec10 Nov27 Oct29 Sep30 (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 120 12.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  PROPER MANNERS Feb03 Jan04 Sep24 Aug13 Jul28 (galvan balta)ZAYAS J 120 10.00    
10  MERCURY HEAD Feb01 Jan14 Dec10 Oct21 Sep17 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
GP-8   03/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SPIRIT Dec11 Oct29 Oct07 Aug25 Jul16 (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 20.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  FATHER GLADO Feb22 Dec30 Aug05 Jul03 Feb05 (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 120 20.00 ★    
3  CHASING RAINBOWS Feb22 Jan20 Nov24 Oct28 Sep14 (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
4  GROUP HUG May30 Apr10 Mar20 Feb26 Feb04 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
5  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Jan29 Dec08 Mar31 Jan30   (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
6  SKI PATROL Jan29 Dec03 Jan13     (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 9% 10.10    
7  ROCKSTAR RO Jan21 Dec11 Oct28 Sep16 Jul31 (attard kevi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
8  MASTEROFTHESENATE Feb22 Dec30 Sep25 Aug01   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 
GP-9   03/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADE PURSE Nov11 Oct09 Sep30 Jul15 Jun25 (james gerald)MORELOS E 122 20.00    
2  SOPHIA'S STORM Feb15 Jan26 Dec28 Nov18 Oct28 (sierra ruben)SUTHERLAND C 122 4.00 ★    
3  ADIOS DIXIE Feb17 Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Aug28 (mongeon kathy )REYES LEONEL 122 6.00 ★    
4  BALI BABY Feb22 Jan19 Nov13 Aug29 Jul31 (pinchin jose)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 ★    
5  DEMURELY Feb04 Jan15 Dec14 Nov25 Oct23 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.40 71% 0.40    
6  QUEEN CUPID Feb23 Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Oct23 (hurtak daniel)RIOS M 122 30.00    
SCR  HOTLINE TO HEAVEN Feb17 Jan20 Dec26 Nov27 Nov06 (brownlee)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 20.00    
8  POLITELY CROWNED Feb22 Jan01 Dec10 Sep18 Jul16 (owens j)MORALES ANGEL 115 15.00    
9  MUDSHAFT Dec26 Dec04 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 (williams matthe)PEREZ EDGAR 122 30.00    
10  MUGURUZA Feb17 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Dec04 (morzan e)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.