Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/1/6/2)-(4/3/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/1/4)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/5/6)-(3/1/4/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/1)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/3/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/3/6/2)-(4/1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7/1/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7/1/3/5)-(1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5/4)-(7/1/3/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(1)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/8/6/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(7/3/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(7/3/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4/2)-(7/3/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(5)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/10/2/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/10/2/7)-(5/10/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (5)-(2)-(8/10/4/5/1) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/7/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(8/10/4/5/1) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/10/4/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/5/1)-(8/10/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/5/1)-(8/10/4/5/1)-(8/10/4/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/03/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY MAN Feb11 Jan07 Dec17     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 ★    
2  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Dec02 Oct21       (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 ★    
3  GINETTES ON FIRE Feb08 Dec16 Nov30 Oct23   (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.00 18% 4.40    
4  CAJUN OCCASION Feb10 Jan18 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 1.40 57% 0.70    
5  MR JACK Dec10 Nov06       (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
6  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Feb18 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct18 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH SEA Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Oct25 Sep28 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  ISLE OF SKYE Feb05 Jan20 Dec21 Aug21 Aug05 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 4.00    
3  STRAIGHT SHOT Feb18 Jan20 Jun23 Jun07 May08 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 1.40 41% 1.50    
4  OCEAN RIDE Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Nov23 Oct21 (smith cra)CAMACHO JR 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
5  MOONSHINE NOW Jan28 Sep01 Jun23 Feb12   (smith craig )NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 15.00 ★    
6  LORD BERRIER Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 Nov23 Sep18 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-3   03/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRATEGY QUEEN Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 Oct15 Sep25 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  BALI KUTA Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 Sep10 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 123 2.50 ★    
3  BLUE NEITH Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Oct24 Sep17 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00 ★    
4  A RING THING Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 Dec21 Dec02 (delgado )GALLARDO A 120 4.50 53% 0.90    
5  AUDREY Feb10 Jan18 Jan06 Feb19 Jan12 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
6  GLITTER BAY Feb12 Feb03 Jan07 Jan01 Dec07 (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00 ★    
7  BOCA Jan28 Jan13 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 (falk jacque)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
8  TAKE TO THE SKIES Jan28 Jan01 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50    
9  JEFF'S ANGEL Jan28 Jan15 Dec30 Oct23 Jun30 (exposito ado)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
 
TAM-4   03/03/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAD RIGHT Feb17 Feb03 Jan27 Jan08 Dec02 (ochoa gerard)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  CLEAR TO CLOSE Feb11 Apr27 Mar18     (tsirigotis ja)ALICEA JEREMY 111 30.00    
3  TAPINTOYOURBEER Feb15 Jan27 Dec31 Dec21 Dec02 (ubide max)ARROYO S 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  J T'S MY BOY Feb15 Jan27 Jan06 Aug27 Aug14 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 ★    
5  POSEIDONS MYTH Jan18 Dec30 Dec02 Apr27 Apr15 (ubide max)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 7% 14.00    
6  BLACK LIMO Jan22 Sep24 Sep07 Aug26 Jul28 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 120 8.00    
7  CALZONE Feb12 Jan18 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TAM-5   03/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ TACT TOE Feb11 Jan15 Oct06 Aug19 Jun20 (o'dwyer jeremi)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  ANGEL'S MAGIC Feb15 Jan27 Dec02 Oct14 Sep10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 ★    
3  FOOD BANK HELPER Sep23 Aug15 Jul22 Jun18 May28 (mcburney p)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 12.00    
4  ANVIL Jan20 Jan06 Nov26 Oct14 Oct08 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
5  MAGICAL ADVENTURE Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
6  SHIMMERING LEROID Feb15 Jan27 Dec21 Dec02 Sep23 (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 119 5.00 ★    
7  JUST PRAISE Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
8  BUSTIN UP Jan27 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Oct18 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 121 8.00 ★    
9  MOON MISCHIEF Feb10 Jan20 Nov30 Nov14 Aug10 (caramori)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
SCR  DIAL HIM UP Feb12 Jan29 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MISTRESS Feb22 Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 May25 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 108 30.00    
2  SILVER GLEN Sep18 Jul29       (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 ★    
3  BARBARA Feb22 Jan28 Jan18 Jan01 Dec07 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  LITTLE RED BUTTON Feb12 Jan28 Jan11 Dec02 Oct08 (king claren)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 10.00 ★    
5  CSILLA Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 Dec02 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 8.00    
6  LOVIELEE Feb12 Nov27 Oct29 Oct16 Sep25 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 2.50 12% 7.10    
7  YEGUITA QUEEN Jan27 Dec23 Nov25 Oct21 Oct08 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-7   03/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE BRAINS Feb15 Jan20 Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 (downing willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00    
2  BOURBON BROWN Feb01 Nov30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun22 (ferraro anth)ALLEN D 119 6.00 ★    
3  FORMAL TREASURE May21 Apr29       (parra hernan)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
SCR  HOLY MEISTER Feb01         (marino gar)ALONSO LUIS 119 6.00 34% 2.00    
5  PIVOTAL RUN Feb15 Jan27 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  DUKE SKYWALKER Feb15 Dec16 Dec02 Jun25 Jun11 (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
7  LEOPARDI Jan13 Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug13 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 ★    
8  BOCA GUY Dec31 Dec14 Nov04 Sep24 Sep04 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
9  SHIPWRECK Feb01 Dec31 Dec02 Oct02 Sep10 (knoll d)FERRER C 119 20.00    
10  FAST PAYDAY Jan13 Dec09 Sep07 Aug23 Jul01 (manning j)BRACHO A 119 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-8   03/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Feb01 Sep15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun25 (poole jeffrey )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
2  OUR SHOT Jan19 May20 Mar29 Feb03   (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
3  LIVING WATER Jan21 Dec17 Nov06 Sep17 Jun25 (dobles eliza)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 ★    
SCR  IN THE LOOP Feb01 Jan07       (bennett s)FERRER C 118 8.00 25% 3.10    
5  CAJUN CASANOVA Feb01 Sep06 Aug16 Jul04 May29 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 15.00 ★    
6  TRIPULANTE Jan15 Jul20 Jun21 May30 May11 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 108 8.00    
7  INTER MIAMI Feb05 Jan13 Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 122 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-9   03/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLARATOR Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Dec09 Sep30 (varsi anna)FUENTES MARIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FANCYSOUL Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 Mar26 Mar06 (davis richard)SOSA LAUREANO 113 30.00    
3  BIONDA SUPRISE Feb08 Jan28 Jan13 Dec22 Nov23 (yanez r)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
4  MS BOOMBASTIC Feb08 Jan28 Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  TAMI ANN Feb03 Nov09 Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 10% 9.20    
6  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Jan22 Jan06 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
7  ROSE'S CAUSE Jan28 Jan13 Dec22 Nov25 Aug19 (guciardo kat)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
8  ENTWINE (IRE) Jan25 Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 Jun17 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  MONTANA JOYCE Jan28 Jan13 Dec23 Dec09 Nov12 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00    
10  SUMMER AT THE SPA Feb08 Jan25 Jan01 Oct22 Sep25 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.