Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6/4)-(2/3/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(9)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
HOU-2   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/6/3)-(9/6/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (9)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (9)-(6/5)-(8/9/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(8/9/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(8/9/5/4)-(4/8/1/5/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-4   WIN (8/9/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/4)-(8/9/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/4)-(8/9/5/4/7)-(8/9/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/5/4)-(4/8/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/5/4)-(4/8/1/5/10)-(8/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/8/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/5/10)-(4/8/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/5/10)-(4/8/1/5/10)-(4/8/1/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/1/5/10)-(8/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/5/10)-(8/7/1)-(2/5/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/1)-(8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/1)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1)-(2/5/7)-(7/6/9/1/11) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(7/6/9/1/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(7/6/9/1/11)-(8/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/6/9/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/1/11)-(7/6/9/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/1/11)-(7/6/9/1/11)-(7/6/9/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/9/1/11)-(8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
HOU-9   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY RIDGE Feb17 Dec15 Nov22 Oct26 Oct07 (kotara ronal)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of RUN SMARTY by RUN PRODUCTION)
2  JOSH'S DREAM Mar11 Feb19       (love alan)DIEGO V 123 0.40 71% 0.40    
  (by RACE DAY out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
3  VALDINA DREAMS Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 Nov11 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 7% 14.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  UNCLE BUFF Feb03 Jan13 Nov01 Oct03 Jun08 (love alan)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00 ★    
  (by HAKASSAN (CHI) out of SANTERRA by TEJABO)
5  JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Nov03 Oct22 Oct14 Sep28   (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
  (by JOHN LOUIS' MONEY out of JOHN LOUIS' PENNY by CHIEF THREE SOX)
6  VINDICATO Feb17 Feb04 Jan16 Nov25 Nov09 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATLANTIQUE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  CIBOLO ERL Feb17 Jun04       (jolley e)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
  (by ERLTON out of MISS KINDERHOOK by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  GOLD CAPO Feb17 Jan13 Jul09 Jun18 Jun10 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00 ★    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
HOU-2   03/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENCE D'ORO Dec16 Nov04 Sep16 Sep03 Jul16 (keen dallas)HAMILTON WESTON 119 12.00    
SCR  AMERICAN CODE Feb20 Dec22 Jul22 Jul10 Jun24 (ruggeri nicole)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 6% 15.90    
3  CHARLIECANDO Feb10 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Nov21 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 119 15.00 ★    
4  RED N WILD Feb20 Jan16 Dec03 Oct12 Sep14 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
5  SONNEMAN Feb11 Sep28 Sep01 Jul16 Jun16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00    
6  IM THE MACHINE Feb05 Nov08 Oct05 Jan20   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 8.00 ★    
7  RANDELLO Jan28 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 Oct26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
SCR  APPRECIATED Oct15 Sep17 Sep01     (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 119 1.60 15% 5.50    
9  IMPRESSED Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec31 Dec11 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
HOU-3   03/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICENZA GOLD Feb03 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 May27 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 30.00    
2  STAR FASHION Dec29 Nov26 Nov18     (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 20.00    
3  CHEER UP Feb03 Dec09 Nov19 Nov07 Oct14 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
4  DANZIG UP A STORM Feb11 Nov14 Nov02 Sep17 Sep02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50    
5  POET LAUREATE Feb11 Oct22 Sep30 Sep07 Jun05 (davis shawn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
6  TEMPLAR RED Feb03 Dec10 Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  CAPETOWN CANDY Feb11 Nov09 Oct11 Sep27 Aug14 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
8  SUPER EMPIRE Feb03 Dec14 Nov18 Oct14 Feb04 (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  GALILEAS PROMISE Feb11 Mar27 Feb03     (taylor larry)LUZZI J 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SPECIAL TREASURE Feb11 Jan14 Nov11 Oct21 Oct12 (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  SWEET DYNASTY Feb12 Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF MAGNOLIA Feb17 Jan13 Dec07 Nov22 Oct26 (h)DE CRUZ 123 50.00    
 
HOU-4   03/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 45 M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSITA LA CARINOSA Jan27 Nov12 Oct22     (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
2  CONTEMPO GRAY Feb12 Nov12 Sep29 Aug20 Jul24 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00    
SCR  MORO MOLLY Jan15 Dec21       (butler w)BOURQUE J 123 30.00    
4  BERING'S SPECIAL Jan29 Jan06       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WISTFULLY Feb22 Feb01 Aug20     (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00 6% 15.30    
6  MIZZ ALL AMERICAN Feb16 Jan20       (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00    
7  JUSABOXACHOCOLATES         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 ★    
8  LIL BEAN MACHINE Jan16         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
9  PASSION FOR SAND Nov18         (pruitt jo)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
HOU-5   03/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT ORB         (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 6% 14.70    
2  MAREBELL Jan15 Dec14 Nov11 Sep03   (youn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
3  FLASHY GAIL Feb10 Jan22 Dec08 Oct28 Oct05 (davis ste)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 30.00    
4  CRAFTY CHARLIE Feb05         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
5  AZUSA STREET         (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 18.90    
6  CAT TALE SKY Feb05 Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
7  MOONS MALIBU BARBI Dec08 Nov11 Oct28     (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.50    
8  TEQUILA EMPIRE Feb10 Dec30 Nov17 Sep29 Jul23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
9  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Nov11 Sep23 Sep03     (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00    
10  EMMYLOU SQUALL         (jacks karen )PIVARAL GERBER 122 15.00 5% 18.90    
 
HOU-6   03/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXETER Feb17 Jan20 Nov07 Oct26 Oct01 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 5% 18.00    
2  TURN ON THE MAGIC Feb17 Jan21 Jan14 Dec22 Dec03 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
3  MIDAS CAT Feb10 Nov07 Oct07 Sep21 Aug26 (eoff terry)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
4  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Dec22 Nov12 Oct23 Sep18 Aug20 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50    
5  DRIVEHAPPY Feb17 Feb04 Jan21 Sep25 Sep01 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
6  DREWPOWER Jan28 Dec27 Nov26 Aug12 Jun18 (briley lo)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 2.00    
7  MOOJAB JR Feb18 Jan22 Oct27 Oct12 Sep21 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 6.00 9% 10.30    
8  FREEDOM FACTOR Feb10 Jan21 Jan06 Nov24 Oct06 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  VIOLIN MAKER Feb17 Nov07 Oct07 Sep14 Sep01 (broberg karl)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
SCR  MANOR BORN Feb20 Jan08 Nov03 Oct05 Sep24 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
SCR  GOLD MONEY Feb24 Jan28 Nov21 May22 Mar17 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GO SPEED RACER GO Feb24 Jan07 Nov08 Oct27 Oct20 (scholl kevi)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00 12% 7.00    
 
HOU-7   03/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S TAQUITO Feb10 Dec07 Nov05 Oct12 Aug27 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
2  KIERKEGAARD Feb05 Jan16 Dec31 Nov26 Nov04 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  BIG MONEY MACHINE Jan27 Dec15 Nov11 Oct28 Sep28 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  J B'S LEGACY Jan22 Dec10 Nov22 Sep16 Aug20 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
5  SAMURAI CAUSE Feb24 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (t)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 13% 7.00    
6  NAUTICAL MOON Feb10 Jan08 Dec16 Dec03 Nov14 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00    
7  NEEDABETTERJOCK Jan14 Aug06 Jun27 May30 May23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 10.00 11% 7.80    
8  BLING'S BELLWETHER Feb18 Jan20 Nov08 Oct12 Sep28 (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 119 6.00 ★    
 
HOU-8   03/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JENNY'S PENNY         (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of AFLEET TEE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  OUR PASTOR         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of PASTOR PAIGE by FAYREGAMMO)
3  MISCHIEF ANGEL Jan27 Nov11       (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANGEL'S FLIGHT by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  BREEZY BELLE Jul17         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SAMMY VAN AMMY by VAN NISTELROOY)
5  LO PROFILE         (rossi j)HAMILTON WESTON 122 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  EVENING STAR         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVENING SHOW by DEVONGATE)
7  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Feb10         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
8  SEE YA BYE Feb11 Dec16       (butler w)BOURQUE J 122 30.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of ENTHALPY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  WIKI LIO         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 7% 13.60    
  (by KLIMT out of TALK SOFTLY by MALIBU MOON)
10  SECRET PASS         (offolter s)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
  (by DIAMOND out of RAPID BULL by IN EXCESSIVE BULL)
11  CAT ISLAND EXPRESS         (winslow janine)MATA U 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of SHEZAGHOSTSLAYER by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  STEPONTHEFOOTFEET Feb10 Jan27 Dec31     (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MANE PRINCESS by MINESHAFT)
 
HOU-9   03/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME CAPO Jan22 May29 May08 Mar25 Mar09 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 4.00    
2  MORO LEGEND Feb19 Jul24 Jul02 Jun16 May29 (glover tracey)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
3  PHARME'S PHAITH Feb20 Jan27 Sep27 Sep19 Sep03 (j)DE CRUZ 119 3.00    
4  EUROROCKSTAR Feb11 Jan15 Feb12 Jan28   (rossi j)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 ★    
5  TAPITS KASH Feb03 Apr01 Feb19 Jan30   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
6  CAPTAINS COVE Jan27 Jan05 Dec20 Nov05 Oct21 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00    
7  COWBOY RIDGE Jan27 Jan14 Oct22 Sep11 Aug20 (kotara ronald)MORA GERARDO 119 5.00 ★    
8  JR'S PACIFICO Feb11 Jan14 Nov04 Jul28 Jul03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 1.40 47% 1.10    
SCR  CANATLAN Feb19 Feb03 Jan13     (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 1.20 24% 3.20    
SCR  GOLIATH RIDGE Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Feb26 Jan27 Nov30 Nov05 Oct22 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00    
SCR  SILVER AND GOLD Feb20 Feb11 Jul24 Jul02 Jun23 (j)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.