Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-1   WIN (2/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3/6)-(2/4/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/5/3)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/3)-(3)-(3/8/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/8/4)-(3/8/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(3/8/1/9/7) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3/8/1/9/7)-(4/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3/8/1/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9/7)-(3/8/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9/7)-(3/8/1/9/7)-(3/8/1/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/1/9/7)-(4/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/9/7)-(4/10/1/7)-(3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/10/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/7)-(4/10/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/7)-(4/10/1/7/6)-(4/10/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/1/7)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/10/1/7)-(3)-(4/1/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/8/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3)-(4/1/5/10/9) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (3)-(4/1/5/10/9)-(6/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/1/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/10/9)-(4/1/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/10/9)-(4/1/5/10/9)-(4/1/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/10/9)-(6/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/10/9)-(6/1/7)-(5/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
HOU-7   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7/8/3)-(6/1/7/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-1   02/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME OUTLAW Feb04 Dec16 Nov19 Oct26 Oct08 (pruitt jody )ALVAREZ L 122 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of REENLIST by MILITARY)
BOHEMIAN BO         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of SADIE BE MINE by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
WESTCOAST BREEZE         (buehrer w)DIEGO V 122 12.00 14% 5.90    
  (by WEST COAST out of MALIBU BREEZE by MALIBU MOON)
KELL'S BELLS Aug26         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNBRIDLED APPEAL by UNBRIDLED)
BARSINVIEW Feb11         (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DESIRABLE LADY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
KENTUCKY ICE Feb05 Jan14 Sep07 Jul17   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of OX EYED DAISY by OXBOW)
ANOTHER JOURNEY Sep15         (keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KISS MY SWISS by SWISS YODELER)
BLAKE FROM TISH Feb04         (buehrer w)JUDE JOHN 122 20.00    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of AHSOBURBANK by BURBANK (IRE))
 
HOU-2   02/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 45 M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAJUN KID Jan16 Oct11       (amoss m)LUZZI J 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
MY GOLDEN PRIZE Feb12 Dec09 Sep01 May10 Apr19 (prui)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00    
JAZZY LASSIE Jan16         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 10.00 21% 3.80    
MUCHO MAMA MIA Oct08 Sep04 Aug12 Jul17   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50    
SIGNE Feb12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 (swift a)JUDE JOHN 123 20.00    
MYLITTLEWISKEYGIRL Feb11 Jan16 Nov22 Nov12 Sep29 (cruz eduardo)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
BOUGIE MARIE Jan16 Sep25 Aug01 May24 Feb04 (dodson cl)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
CLAIRE JUNE Feb11 Jan21 Oct01 Sep14 Aug20 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 3.50    
FIRST RATE ROMANCE Feb17 Jan28 Dec09     (stuart shea)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
SCR  SWEET TRUFFLES Feb17 Jan07 Nov17 Oct19 Sep16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00    
SCR  TALKATIVE Jan16 Dec19       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
 
HOU-3   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIAH'S CANDY Feb05 Dec20 Nov19 Oct15 Aug06 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
HEAD OVER BOOTS Feb04 Aug27 Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
NOSTALGIA Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov20   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 25% 2.90    
PRINCESS ARANTZA Jan14 Feb25 Feb08 Jan29 Jan13 (silva miguel)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
SMOKING GUITAR Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
INDY LOVER Jan21 Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 Oct06 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
CATO'S LADY Feb04 Jan13 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 (w)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
PAYDIEM Feb11 Jan13 Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 21% 3.90    
NAUGHTY NATALIE Feb04 Dec14 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 8.00 6% 16.60    
 
HOU-4   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBY SOHO Jan15 Dec16       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.50 11% 8.30    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of KATIE'S TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY Jan06         (pish danny)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
THE NEXT BIG BLING Jan27 Jan07       (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 10.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
REASON OVER RICHES Jan27 Jan06       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
JULIE'S PASSION Feb11 Jan15 Jul21     (scholl kevi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
MOLA MIA Jan22 Jan06       (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of AWAKE MY SOUL by RAHY RAHY)
S S TURBINIA         (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 30.00 7% 14.10    
  (by FINAL ROW (GB) out of SADDLED BUT FREE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
FLAT OUT FREDA Nov10 Oct26 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 (love alan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 6.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
DESTRON BAY Jan22 Dec14 Aug19 May14   (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
  (by MOBILE BAY out of ARCH'S LI'L NIETA by EL CORREDOR)
10  SATIN HEART Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Jun19 May19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
 
HOU-5   02/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C. F. CONGRESS Feb03 Jan15 Dec19 Nov25 Nov09 (west henry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
AIR FORCE ANGEL Feb03 Jan20 Sep10 Aug16 Jul26 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
DRAKON Jan15 Nov13 Oct21 Aug24 Jul24 (diodoro robe)ALVAREZ L 123 1.40 73% 0.40    
HEMPSTEAD Jan15 Sep26 Aug16 Jul16 Jul02 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
CINCO RICHIE Jan27 Nov30 Nov05 Oct22 Oct14 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50    
CALIPARI Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 Oct13 Aug30 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
EVIE'S PRINCE Jun04 May19 Mar10 Feb25 Jan22 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50    
BRICK TOWN Dec16 Dec02 Nov22 Nov05 Oct05 (davidso)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
SCR  JOAN'S JUNIOR Feb10 Jan13 Dec03 Nov05 Oct15 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF GLORY Feb12 Feb03 Jan08 Dec09 Sep15 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
SCR  OPTIMAL TRIP Feb19 Jan28 Nov25 Nov12 Nov05 (rossi j)MORA GERARDO 123 2.00    
 
HOU-6   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ BODHI BOY Feb11         (pish danny)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 18% 4.40    
  (by HALF OURS out of CADEBRIE by TIZNOW)
LITTLE JOHN HENRY Feb11 Jan16       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of WRITE WHEN READY by MORE THAN READY)
DEVITO Jan14 Jan06 Nov07 Oct14   (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
  (by EAGLE out of LIFE IS SHORT by OLD FASHIONED)
MY BOY BLING Jan28 Jan07 Nov22 Nov07 Jun19 (baldi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GURLIN by CURLIN)
HYPERION NORTH Jan28 Jan07       (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.00 7% 13.00    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
LEGAL EAGLE Jan16 Nov25 Sep02 Jul17 Jun19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
  (by EAGLE out of PERENNIAL SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
HOT NIGHT AIR Jan28 Sep04       (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 122 30.00    
  (by MR. BESILU out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
HOLIDAY RUN Jul08         (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of RACING HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
NOISE COMPLAINT Jan07 Nov25 Jul17     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of WATERS FINE by PAYNTER)
10  BAY BE GONE Feb12 Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 Oct28 (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
HOU-7   02/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN RATE Oct01 Aug20 Jul08 Apr23 Feb26 (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
EYES ON RED Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Nov14 Oct07 (eoff terry)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
DEANOS CAPE Feb10 Jan08 Dec15 Nov21 Nov02 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 1.60    
HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Feb10 Jan14 Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 (roberts joe)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
WAVERUNNER Feb10 Dec16 Dec10 Dec01 Nov21 (davis ste)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00    
FRA MAURO Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Dec03 Oct08 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
MORHAWK Feb17 Jan28 Nov14 Oct28 Oct21 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 7% 13.50    
D TOWN BABY Feb10 Jan14 Dec02 Nov14 Sep22 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
MR. UNUSUAL Jan22 Nov09 Oct19 Jun19 May12 (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00    
 
HOU-8   02/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTRA SPICY Jan27 Jan08 Oct14 Sep14 Sep07 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 121 6.00    
WOO HOO Jan13 Jan08 Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  GEE SHE'S FANCY Feb12 Jan27 Jan14 Sep28 Sep07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50    
LEXINGTON DIVA Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec19 Dec02 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 10.00    
WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Feb18 Jan27 Jul09 Mar02 Jan27 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
MORO LINGERIE Jan27 Nov19 Oct26 Oct13 Aug27 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50    
JAGO Jul22 Jul02 Jun05 May14 Feb04 (hunt jame)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 30.00    
L L COOL GREY Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 Nov22 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 119 4.00    
KAUSE I'M DEVINE Feb12 Jul09 Jun19 May28 Apr08 (saavedra mary)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
SCR  DIAMONDS N ACES Feb12 Jan08 Jul04 Jun05 May22 (whit)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIXIE CARROUSEL Jul04 Jun11 May07 Apr08 Mar18 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 1.80 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.