Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7/6)-(1/2/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/5/7)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/7)-(4/6)-(1/7/8/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/7/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/7/8/4)-(5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4/3)-(1/7/8/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4)-(5/7)-(2/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/10)-(5/7/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/7)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(2/7/5)-(4/3/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(4/3/2/7)-(8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/7)-(8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/7)-(8/2)-(6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/5/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/5/7/1)-(8/2/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(6/1/2)-(7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTEC LEGEND Jan04 Oct17 Sep28     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
2  CRUISING DEREK Jan18 Dec30 Nov25 Sep18 Sep10 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  FAST FIXER         (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
4  SMART DRESSER         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 5.00    
5  AWESOME PRINCE         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
6  ATLANTIC VAQUERO         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 12.00 ★    
7  RUSTY PISTOL Jan22 Dec30 Sep23     (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 2.50 6% 14.70    
 
TAM-2   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITIGANT Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 Jan21 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
2  EL SOLITARIO Sep25 Sep07 Aug23 Jul06 Jun19 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 15.00    
3  LAUDERDALE Jan25 Dec21 Dec02 Oct16 Sep28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00    
4  EXPRESS PHAROAH Nov25 Nov04 Sep14 Jul31   (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  OLD TIME REVIVAL Feb04 Sep11 Aug06 Jun30 Jun09 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 2.00 ★    
6  ROOKIE SALSA Jan25 Jan14 Dec31 Dec14 Nov23 (potts g)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
7  CHILL HAZE Feb01 Dec04 Nov21 Nov13 Oct18 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SWEATY FOX Feb05 Jan04 Dec28 Dec10 Nov05 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 1.40 39% 1.60    
2  SENA THE DUCHESS Jan22 Jan11 Dec31 Dec16 Nov30 (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 30.00    
3  UNKOALAFIED Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Nov21 Nov12 (king clarence )CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 ★    
4  LUNA AMARILLA Feb05 Jan22 Dec23 Nov26 May04 (marrero nesto)ALICEA JEREMY 115 8.00 8% 12.30    
5  PARTY SWAGGER Oct04         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
6  FLASH DEAR Oct05         (cascallares n)LUGO D 122 10.00    
7  DUDESFIRSTDARLING Apr16         (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
8  GINGER SPARKLE Feb19 Feb05 Dec21 Aug14 Jul30 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
 
TAM-4   02/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET IT Feb08 Jan29       (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
2  SYLLABUS Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 Dec07 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
3  LIFENHOWULIVIT Feb05 Jan22 Jun19 May15 Apr16 (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 115 6.00    
4  BYZANTINE EMPIRE Feb17 Jan22 Dec22 Dec07 Nov26 (burns patrici)ALICEA JEREMY 115 15.00    
5  NEWYEARSPRESENT Feb08         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
6  LIGEIA Feb08 Jan22 Jan01 Apr23 Mar10 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50    
7  I'LL GO ALL IN Jan29 Jan04 Dec10 Sep28 Jul17 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
8  SHE IS ROYALTY Feb01 Jan15 Dec22 Apr16 Mar18 (calixto iva)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 30.00    
9  BLACK KARMA Feb05 Jan22 Jan15 Jan01 Dec22 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
10  IRISH KITTEN Feb12 Jan04 Dec21 Dec09 Nov23 (mardif jame)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 2.50 ★    
SCR  SKYWARD PRINCESS Feb08 Jan22 Jan01 Sep24 Aug05 (lopez mari)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Feb08 Feb01 Dec30     (ubide max)ALICEA JEREMY 115 20.00    
SCR  POWERFUL NATIVE Feb08 Jul09 Feb25 Jan30   (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
SCR  AMORE MOON Jan26 Dec23 Dec02 Oct29 Oct01 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 20% 4.10    
 
TAM-5   02/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPALACHIAN TRAIL Jan06 Nov04       (paragallo jen)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
2  LA TACHE Feb08 Jan11 Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 (sillaman richa)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  SAWEETIE GIRL Jan29 Jan11 Dec03 Oct28   (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 113 4.50 ★    
SCR  GENERAL ROBINSON Feb03 Jan21 Dec16 Nov30 Nov06 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 8.00 ★    
5  CALISUE Feb12 Jan21 Jan11 Dec22 Dec03 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPER CARO Jan29 Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 Sep17 (dini mike)ALLEN D 118 2.00    
7  BODE'S HERITAGE Jan18 Nov21 Sep09     (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
TAM-6   02/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH FOR THE LUTE Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 Nov04 (orseno josep)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
2  NIP OF BOURBON Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Oct18 Oct04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 5.00 10% 8.70    
3  MAPACHE G Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50 13% 6.70    
4  SHIMMERING LIGHT Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 Oct19 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
5  ACTION WARRIOR Feb04 Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Oct21 (dobber w)WALES GARY 119 30.00    
SCR  GRAND PLAYER Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Oct13 Sep03 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 123 3.50 8% 11.20    
7  MACHO REAL Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Apr08 Mar30 (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  PAPA JIMMY Feb01 Jan20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 (bray michael)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00    
 
TAM-7   02/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAMOS VIEJO Nov19         (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 4.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SAUCY SYMPHONY by FIRST SAMURAI)
2  CITY HUMOR Feb04 Jan14 Sep07 Aug17   (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CITY SUCCESS by CITY ZIP)
3  EXTREME ACCESS Feb01 Jul02       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HIGH SPEED ACCESS by KINGMAMBO)
4  MYSPECIALVALENTINE         (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
  (by WAIT out of FLORENCE by KIRIDASHI)
5  DEE'S WISEGUY Feb01 Jul16       (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DEE DEE'S COMET by DON SIX)
6  INSTIGATING         (spanabel k)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH TEA by TWINING)
7  WOW WISH         (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 ★    
  (by MSHAWISH out of PAPA SIDS GIRL by SOUVENIR COPY)
8  DEPOLI Dec30 Nov30 Oct15 Aug27   (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 54% 0.90    
  (by FROSTED out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
SCR  LUNITA Feb10 Jan21 Dec31     (lopez mari)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SPANISH DREAM by SHARP HUMOR)
 
TAM-8   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS LIVIA Feb03 Aug27 Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 (padilla tim)CENTENO E 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
2  GIRLS IN CHARGE Feb03 Jan08 Dec16 Nov25 Sep18 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  LADY IN HEELS Dec31 Nov25 Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPANISH DELIGHT Feb03 Jan06 Nov20 Oct19 Oct05 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 ★    
SCR  POSH PLAYDAY Jan14 Oct06 Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 118 8.00    
6  LI'L MISS CAMILLE Jan14 Dec31 Aug19 Jul31 Jul09 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
7  DANNYHILL Dec31 Dec22 Oct29 Oct09 Sep05 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
 
TAM-9   02/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAND MARK DEAL Feb12 Jan19 Nov26 Oct15 Sep25 (gulic)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 ★    
2  MR. SARCASTIC Feb11 Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 Nov12 (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
3  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Jan01 Jul17       (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
4  ULTIMATE IRONY Jan21 Dec14 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 10% 8.60    
5  D'CRAZINESS Feb11 Jan04 Oct17 Sep29 Sep13 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 20.00    
SCR  SOUTH SEA Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Oct25 Sep28 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 50% 1.00    
7  HARD ATTACK Jan21 Dec31 Dec07 Oct08 Sep07 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 14% 6.20    
8  FLY FLY AWAY Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 (cahill steven)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00    
9  LUCA DREW THE ACE Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Aug15 Jul11 (hardesty leslielyn)BUSH V 119 30.00    
10  BORGOBYTHESEA Feb11 Jan04 Dec10 Nov25 Oct08 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Nov22 Jun17 (ryan s)FERRER C 119 20.00    
SCR  JOJO'S DREAM Dec10 May07 Jan12     (cintron juan )FLORES ADRIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALBIE Jan04 Jun02 Mar30 Mar04 Feb13 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00    
SCR  SIXTY ONE Feb05 Jan27 Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.