Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1/3/2)-(6/5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/5)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3/1/2)-(4/5/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/5)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/2/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/2/1/3)-(4/5/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
CT-4   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/7/6/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4)-(8/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
CT-5   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/6/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(8/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(8/10)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/10)-(8/10/7/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/10)-(8/10/7/5/4)-(8/10/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/10)-(4/6)-(9/1/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(9/1/6/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/1/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/10)-(9/1/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/10)-(9/1/6/10)-(9/1/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR'S WISH Feb04 Jan20 Jan14 Dec14 Nov30 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 ★    
2  SISTER JOANN Feb11 Dec15 Nov19 Oct19 Sep29 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 8.00 ★    
3  SIENTE LA BRISA Jan11 Dec07 Nov11 Oct13 Sep22 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 122 4.00 ★    
4  WITNESS THE ENERGY Feb04 Jan14 Dec07 Nov06 Oct20 (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
5  RIVER REWARDS RVF Sep22 Aug06 Jun10 May19 Apr20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  JACKS SISTER JILL Jan14 Dec15       (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 41% 1.50    
 
CT-2   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE QUEEN Aug31 Aug13 Jul01 Jun15 Jun01 (rose orlan)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 ★    
2  BLUE AGAVE Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 Oct06 Sep16 (adorno l)BAEZ M 115 15.00 ★    
3  CREDIT COMMITTEE Jan27 Sep23       (runco c)LEWIS M 115 6.00 ★    
4  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jan27 Jan15 Dec29 Dec02 Oct21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.40 42% 1.40    
5  IRISH CREAM Jan18         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 8.00 31% 2.30    
6  SARATOGA CENTS Jan27 Jan18 Dec13 Nov07 Oct12 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
7  BEAUTIFUL MICHELLE Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 Oct06   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTAWAAFEQ Jan06 Dec10 Oct28 Oct13 Sep18 (ramos a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.50 ★    
2  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Dec09 Nov04 Oct02 Sep09 Aug21 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 1.60 ★    
3  PYEONG CHANG Nov17 Sep25 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 8.00 ★    
4  DEBIT CARD Feb09 Jan06 Dec09 Nov20 Oct18 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
5  JUNGLE BEAST Jan07 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
6  SANTO Jan07 Dec06 Nov03 Oct07 Aug06 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRISE HELLO Jan08 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 May28 (vick m)DELGADO A 123 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of HELLO NOW by TIZNOW)
2  SHAMELESS APPEAL         (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SHAMELESS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
3  SHADOW BOX Aug06         (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 12.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of MERCY'S DELIGHT by SEA OF SECRETS)
SCR  FULL AHEAD Jan15         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by ASTERN out of SARATOGA MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  MOSES WATER Feb10 Jan20 Dec09 Nov21 Oct30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by MOSLER out of UNION WATERS by DIXIE UNION)
6  FANEUIL HALL Feb02 Jan07 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 123 6.00 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of WILD GRACE by FOREST WILDCAT)
7  ADARA Jan28 Jan07       (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 123 6.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MATTIE CAMP by FOREST CAMP)
8  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 Oct01 (oxendine adam)PELTROCHE F 123 20.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of OVERTIMEANGIE BABY by SPECTACULAR BID)
 
CT-5   02/18/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARNOUGHT Jan26 Jan07 Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
2  ROLL DEM BONES Jan27 Jan06 Dec01 Nov07 Oct14 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  REMYS SHOWTIME Feb02 Dec16 Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 ★    
4  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Jan12 Nov25 Oct15 Sep15 Jun11 (greaves vernon)BOCACHICA O 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
5  DOC ELM Feb02 Nov16 Oct20 Oct05 Sep08 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.00 ★    
6  SO COURAGEOUS Feb02 Nov16 Oct01 Sep12 Aug23 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 ★    
7  CHARITABLY GIFTED Jan19 Dec16 Dec01 Oct12 Sep22 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   02/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY GET'N BETTER Feb01 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27   (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 118 15.00    
2  SHADE TREE CORNER Jan06         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
3  LOOKA LOOKA Feb01 Jan11 Dec04 Jul16   (mcentee paul)BAEZ M 111 10.00    
4  WESRIGHT Feb01 Jan11 Nov20 Nov04   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 ★    
5  BODYSLAM Feb01 Dec09 Nov25     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 ★    
6  MALIBU ROCK STAR Feb08 Jan13 Sep17     (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
7  TACOMA AUSTIN Jan14         (west aaro)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 ★    
8  CHROME HEIR Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
9  UNKNOWN AGENDA Feb01 Jan22 Jan07 Oct28 Sep16 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
10  TAKE AIM Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 7% 13.60    
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 Oct13 Sep24 (synnefias p)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00    
 
CT-7   02/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYSTIFIED Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 Nov24 Oct15 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Feb01 Jan07 Dec13 Nov29 Oct25 (morrell jus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 ★    
3  WITH SECRET ENERGY Jan27 Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 Oct26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 ★    
4  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 Oct06 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  ERAWAN Jan06 Nov27 Nov11 Oct09 Sep30 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
6  LATE IN THE GAME Jan07 Dec14 Nov11 Oct26 Oct08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
7  MARK DID IT Feb01 Jan19 Jan07 Nov24 Oct27 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
8  RIDICULOUS Feb01 Jan11 Oct08 Aug27 Aug13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   02/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYENNE CREEK Jan28 Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 Aug20 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
2  FRANKEE MERCH Jan28 Jan07 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  BETTER BOOGIE Jan28 Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 6% 15.00    
4  HAPPY CHAMP Jan28 Jun16 May28 May06   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
5  PENNSYLVANIA STEEL Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 Oct18 Sep28 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
6  TOMMY SHELBY Jan26 Jan06 Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
7  FORT FORTITUDE Jan26 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00    
8  SUGAR DADDY Jan28 Jan07 Oct27 Oct19 Sep24 (cruz jaime)BAEZ M 115 6.00    
9  PROTA Jan18 Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 3.00 21% 3.80    
10  ROSE'S GALAXY Feb08 Dec07 Nov22 Nov15 Oct31 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00 6% 14.60    
11  U ROCK IT Jan12 Jan04 Dec17 Dec01 Oct14 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  SHOULDA HAD IT Feb12 Feb05 Jan27 Jan16 Jan08 (serey mari)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
SCR  THE IRON BANK Jan11 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep30 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 113 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.