Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - February 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/7/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/7/1/5)-(2/4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/1/6/2)-(3/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2/5)-(4/1/6/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/2)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/2)-(3/4/2)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/4/6)-(2/5/1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/5/3)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/3/4)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/7/4/8)-(1/3/7/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/1)-(5/6/7/9/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/7/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/7/2/6)-(5/1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/6/7/9/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/6/7/9/2)-(7/9/8/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/6/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/9/2)-(5/6/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/9/2)-(5/6/7/9/2)-(5/6/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/9/2)-(7/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/3)-(7/9/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/3)-(7/9/8/3/2)-(7/9/8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Jan20 Nov07 Aug20 Jul23   (alberto antonio)STOKES J 118 4.00 ★    
2  PRATHER Jan16 Nov30 Mar12     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  MO HAWK MAN Mar31 Mar13 Feb19 Jan22   (rangel)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
4  RUSSET MOON Jan26 Dec28 Dec15 Nov10 Oct19 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
5  BEAUDEAN Oct29 Oct07       (granger randall)STOKES A 115 10.00 ★    
6  DONOVANS WARRIOR Jan11 Dec07       (reeves)RUIZ GARCIA 115 12.00    
7  SABERMAN Jan28 Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Nov10 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 4.50 ★    
 
DED-2   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDY G Jan19 Dec29 Dec08 Oct29 Oct06 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 117 4.50 20% 4.00    
1A  NATE'S REVENGE Jan12 Dec21 Nov30 Oct21 Jul29 (mojica a)MCMAHON J 117 4.50    
2  TENOR Dec08 Oct15 Sep12 Aug02 Jul21 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  SERBIAN SAILOR Jan20 Jan08 Dec18 Dec09 Oct12 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
4  ESCROW STYLE Dec29 Dec08 Nov11 Oct14 Sep05 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 117 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  OXXON Jun13 May24 May07 Feb25 Feb11 (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 117 4.00 ★    
6  PAYNT BATTLE Jan12 Dec27 Dec01 Nov11 Oct29 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
DED-3   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLING HOOK Jan13 Dec27 Nov25 Nov11 Oct26 (guillory james)STOKES A 123 8.00    
2  SILVER CHALICE Jan26 Jan13 Dec22 Dec10 Nov22 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00 10% 8.90    
3  PITCH AND RUN Jan28 Jan13 Oct20 Sep18 Sep03 (dunn ray)STOKES J 123 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  SAUCY ARGUMENT         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  PRINCE PERFECTA Jan22 Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  COLE'S SENSATION Jan13 Dec22 Dec10 Oct29 Aug24 (delahoussaye tom)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 ★    
7  CAJUN CARLOS Jan26         (grange)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 12.00    
 
DED-4   02/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM GUITAR Jan21 Dec29 Dec07 Oct29 Oct14 (melancon donald)HERNANDEZ V 117 10.00 8% 11.40    
2  TENSAS VIRGINIA Jan25 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Nov10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  I'M ALL MIXED UP Jan25 Dec29 Dec16 Oct06   (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00    
4  MAGGIE'S RETURN Jan19 Dec18 Dec01 Mar16 Feb06 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 ★    
5  TRICKY MOM Jan25 Dec02 Nov16 Oct29 Oct07 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  LA SMOOCHIE Dec07 Aug26 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 10.00 ★    
7  FORT PIKE Jan25 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Nov03 (cangemi r)STOKES J 120 8.00    
8  ALYS EPISODE Dec16 Nov26 Nov10 Oct13 Aug01 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 15.00    
 
DED-5   02/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLASH OF RAIN Oct26 Aug12 Jul29     (meza m)BOURQUE J 120 12.00    
2  BYATHREAD Jan25 Dec20       (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 6.00 49% 1.00    
3  WEST TEXAS BOB Jan18 Jan04 Dec20 Dec08 Nov23 (espinoza ed)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 8% 10.80    
SCR  OAK HILL MO Jan16 Jan04 Oct28 Oct19   (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 3.50 8% 11.00    
5  G E H GIANTS WAY Jan26 Jan12 Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  KNIGHT OF HONOR Nov30 Nov19       (averett ronn)BARRERA J 110 6.00 ★    
7  BLONDIE FIX IT Jan04 Apr30       (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
8  CALL ME FIREY Jan25 Dec29 Dec07     (dison ma)STOKES A 118 12.00    
 
DED-6   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATINANDSCATIN Jan21 Jan08 Dec19 Nov23 Nov12 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  SASSI ASPEN Jan18 Jan05 Dec22 Nov19 Nov02 (cox ed)RUIZ GARCIA 120 12.00    
3  PRODUCTION TIME Jan11 Dec15 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 (celestine cha)VARGAS P 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  DARK MATTER Jan28 Jan18 Jan07 Dec22 Dec10 (silva walter)BARRERA J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG SESSY Jan27 Dec22 Dec08 Nov04 Sep27 (washington richard)STOKES J 120 8.00    
6  SOUTH AL SPARKY Jan27 Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 4.00    
7  CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 Nov09 (pedigo randy)BACA L 120 3.50 ★    
8  COTTONCLUB SOLDIER Jan21 Dec20 Nov17 Oct29 Oct19 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 ★    
 
DED-7   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEBRITNEY Jan20 Dec30 Aug20     (richard chris)STOKES J 120 3.50 14% 5.90    
  (by KLIMT out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
2  HIDDEN LOVE Jan20 Dec16       (gelner scott)POMPELL L 120 6.00 ★    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of LIVE AND LOVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  PREACH IT GIRL Jan25 Sep26 Aug29     (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of LUCY'S MISS MUSKET by MUSKET MAN)
4  TECHE SOLUTION Jan19 Oct21 Aug10     (meza m)BOURQUE J 117 20.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of WE GIRLS RULE by FOREFATHERS)
5  LILY'S CREED Jan25 Dec18 Nov25 Oct26 Sep23 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of EVIL LILY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
6  CALIFORNIA BELLE Jan20 Dec16 Oct08 Sep14   (latour nichola)BACA L 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ORDAIN by CONGRATS)
7  BELLE ELENA Dec30 Nov10 Oct12     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
8  ALABAMA QUEEN Jan20 Dec30 Dec09     (nelson eric)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of ALLUVIALS PRINCESS by ALLUVIAL)
 
DED-8   02/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB)         (gonzalez jai)EDISON JOCELYN 112 15.00    
2  LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG Jan04 Dec21 Oct26 Aug10 Jun25 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  PAT ME DOWN Jan27 Jan14 Dec30 Dec21 Dec14 (west henry)STOKES A 120 10.00    
4  POWERSHOT Jan13 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 Sep18 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
5  HALFMOON REEF Aug16 Jul02 Mar16 Feb11 Jan16 (goins )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  MOVE IT Jan21 Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct21 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 15% 5.60    
7  FLUFFPOINT Jan21 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 Oct29 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 8.00 12% 7.20    
8  SPORTY FLYER Jan15 Dec30 Dec07 Nov19 Nov04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00    
9  BAYOU BEAUX Jan14 Dec30 Dec07 Nov10 Oct21 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 123 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
DED-9   02/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF THE NILE Dec23 Jul07       (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ENCHANTRESS by MALIBU MOON)
2  JU JU VIP Jan25 Jan13 Dec03 Nov16   (courville rick)COTTO L 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  NUBILITY         (davis h)BIRZER E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
4  HELLO MARYLOU Jan20         (bryant a)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MARYCASEY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MISS ARKANSAS Jan14         (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BURNING CREOLE by BURNING ROMA)
6  LYRICAL MUSIC Jan25 Dec30       (guillory ja)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MUSIC MAJOR by STREET SENSE)
7  MISS LONELYHEARTS Jan20 Dec16       (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
8  SWEET ALEXIS         (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 9% 10.60    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SWEET CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  LADY DREAMER Jan14 Dec19 Nov26 Oct29   (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of HOUT BAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.