Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED LOLLIPOP         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  TRAPPE THE GOLD Oct27 Oct11       (sanchez emma )CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.00    
3  PREACHINGTOTHEWIRE         (larue steve)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 7% 13.10    
4  STUNNING HERO Nov01         (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00    
SCR  BRAVE HILARIO Oct31 Oct19 Sep27 Sep14   (escob)MONSERRATE A 118 30.00    
6  BRILLIANTBENNY Oct13 Sep27 Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 (skerrett je)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 9% 10.40    
7  JACK OF ALL TRADES Nov17 Oct19 Sep26     (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 20.00    
8  ENOUGH ICE Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 Sep14   (pease harry)YARANGA Y 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
9  BLAZIANO Nov01         (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.00 ★    
 
MNR-2   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 2 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'SSODONETALKING Oct12 Aug30       (smith franklin)DIAZ I 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
2  LOTTA MOSCATO Oct10 May27 Apr21     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 5.00    
3  LILLY CHROME Nov14 Nov01 Sep19 Aug24 Aug18 (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 8.00 6% 14.90    
4  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Nov07 Aug03 Jul17 Jun26   (inirio carlos)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00 ★    
5  LOVE MY CHERYL Nov01 Oct08 Sep20 Aug27   (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 ★    
6  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Oct28 Aug05 Jul13     (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  KARMA GHIA Oct24 Oct07 Sep15 Jul14 Jun17 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50    
 
MNR-3   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 2 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCHARCH CAT Nov14 Oct26 Oct16 Oct04 Sep07 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 ★    
2  LIMITED D'ORO Nov14 Sep29 Sep08 Jul15   (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 3.00 ★    
3  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Aug23 Jul14 Jun29     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 118 1.00 56% 0.80    
4  ROSE'S PEPINO Oct04         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 4.00 19% 4.30    
5  BAYTOWN JAGGER Nov14 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Aug02 (mcente)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 10.00    
6  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Nov14 Oct19 Sep29 Sep08 Jul09 (mcentee paul)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 ★    
 
MNR-4   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE BLUE Nov15 Oct23 Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00    
2  WHAT A TART Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 (ewell sr)PAUCAR E 123 12.00    
3  DESPEIGHT ALL ODDS Oct31 Oct16 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  EMPEROR'S SONG Nov06 Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep15 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  SUGAR BRITCHES Nov15 Oct23 Sep25 Sep12 Aug15 (baird john )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
6  LADY BREANNA Nov14 Oct30 Oct03 Sep14 Sep04 (mumford robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LADY MADISON Nov03 Oct05 Aug01 Jun24 May20 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 ★    
8  ORBETTE Oct23 Oct16 Sep19 Aug17 Aug09 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
MNR-5   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAN DAMME Oct19 Sep26 Jul12 Jun26 Jun12 (fairm)MONSERRATE A 120 15.00 10% 9.10    
2  BOLD PROPHET Nov14 Oct19 Oct05 Sep26 Aug21 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  HOLY TRUTH Nov22 Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  A I INITIATIVE Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 Oct03 Sep05 (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
SCR  LEMONADE STAND (GB) Oct19 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul13 (langley w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.50    
6  PONT DU GARD Sep18 Sep06 Aug07 Jul17 Jun20 (walker a)CCAMAQUE M 120 10.00    
7  ONLYATTHESHOE Nov07 Oct24 Oct11 Oct02 Sep13 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
MNR-6   11/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z U IN MY DREAMS Oct04 Sep19 Sep01 Aug10 May04 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
2  BETTABE SWIFT Nov13 Nov06 Oct24 Oct10 Sep29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
3  JUNGLE GODDESS Nov09 Oct26 Oct10 Sep27 Jul25 (ceccato sha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 ★    
4  FREEZER BURN Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 Aug18 Feb02 (montano wil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  WISH FOR MAGIC Nov01 Oct09 Sep13 Aug22 Aug07 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  FLAT OUT APPEALING Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 (knowles c)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
 
MNR-7   11/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVAGE NATION Oct26 Jul03       (davidovich an)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00 7% 13.20    
2  GRANDGRAN Oct24 Sep19 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
3  D'MONEY HONEY Nov08 Oct24 Oct07 Sep27 Sep14 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
4  POTENTIAL GRIZZLY Mar11 Feb17       (meehan eliz)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
5  TWO LAST WORDS Oct11 Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 (esquiv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
6  OUT FOR JUSTICE Nov13 Nov07 Oct17 Jul20 Jul11 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 20.00 ★    
7  GOLD SHARK Nov13 Oct10 Sep26 Aug31 Aug18 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  VALIANT THOR Nov07 Oct24 Oct16 Oct06 Sep19 (cady khalil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING FORCE Nov01 Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Aug24 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 15.00    
2  JULIE'S FERRARI Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 Aug24 Apr04 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 3.00 11% 7.70    
3  BRYTON'S D J Nov01 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
4  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Oct24 Oct05 Sep13 Sep01 Aug18 (howard john)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 6.00    
5  SHIELD OF FAITH Nov14 Oct29 Oct06 Sep22 Aug28 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  GONE ASTRAY KISS Nov19 Nov03 Oct27 Sep30 Sep17 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
7  HOLIDAY DANCER Nov15 Sep28 Aug26 Jul28 Jul13 (march willi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
8  JOCKO ROAD Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 15.00    
9  BENNY BOO BOO Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 Aug03 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
SCR  JERRY'S SECRET Nov14 Oct23 Oct05 Sep08 Aug31 (logston christ)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Nov10 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep20 (langley c)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.